| Posted: February 26, 2008, 12:41 pm - IP Logged |
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"That makes 239 drawings, 7 of those had all numbers 31 or less.
7/239 = .029%"
2.988% of the possible combinations in MM can be made with the numbers up to 31. Assuming you didn't miss one, or add one that fits the category it's actually rather surprising that the actual results are so close to theory.
For a while your posts have included the tag line that close doesn't count. How does it help you to "play the percentages" when close doesn't count? To win you have to get the right numbers, not just ones that are close or have the same sort of distribution. What would having a similar combination do to improve your chances?
You think that the percentage of combinations made of birthday numbers is significant , but look at the combinations that actually do win. Pick one and see how many times that combination has been drawn previously. Do the same for any other winning combination, and all of the combinations you've ever played. The percentages always said those combinations wouldn't win. Then do it for any given mega ball. In the last 279 drawings one megaball has been drawn more than any other, at about 3.94% of the time. Since you're going with the percentages I suppose you'd choose your megaball from the ones that have accounted for 96% of the winning combinations.
The way the game works is that you have to pick specific combinations. Even if the combination you pick is 1,2,3,4,5+6, the chances that it will be drawn are exactly the same as any other specific combination, whether it consists only of birthday numbers or of any random mix that covers the full range.
