| Posted: April 22, 2010, 3:31 pm - IP Logged | |
Now that MegaMillions jackpot($166.0M/$101.6M) has an edge over PowerBall jackpot($20.0M/$9.7M), if PB continues to outsell MM then look for its matrix to change.
A matrix change of 5/58 + 1/40 would increase its odds of winning the jackpot while lowering its overall odds of winning a prize more in line with PB, states would have to decide if they wanted to add the megaplier.
PowerBall present matrix:
MATCH ODDS
5/5+B 1 : 195249054
5/5+0 1 : 5138133
4/5+B 1 : 723145
4/5+0 1 : 19030
3/5+B 1 : 13644
3/5+0 1 : 359
2/5+B 1 : 787
1/5+B 1 : 123
0/5+B 1 : 62
__________________________
overall odds are 1 : 35.1
MegaMillions present matrix:
MATCH ODDS
5/5+B 1 : 175711536
5/5+0 1 : 3904701
4/5+B 1 : 689065
4/5+0 1 : 15313
3/5+B 1 : 13781
3/5+0 1 : 306
2/5+B 1 : 844
1/5+B 1 : 141
0/5+B 1 : 75
__________________________
overall odds are 1 : 39.8
A possible revised MegaMillions matrix:5/58 + 1/40
MATCH ODDS
5/5+B 1 : 183284640
5/5+0 1 : 4699606
4/5+B 1 : 691640
4/5+0 1 : 17734
3/5+B 1 : 13301
3/5+0 1 : 341
2/5+B 1 : 782
1/5+B 1 : 125
0/5+B 1 : 64
__________________________
overall odds are 1 : 35.7
Maybe better odds of winning a smaller prize is driving PB sales.
* that which happens most *
* is most likely to happen again *
