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# Powerball selling 100,000 tickets per minute

Topic closed. 67 replies. Last post 2 years ago by PrisonerSix.

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Chief Bottle Washer
New Jersey
United States
Member #1
May 31, 2000
21912 Posts
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 Posted: November 27, 2012, 9:52 pm - IP Logged

Here's a simplified version if how it works when all combinations are chosen randomly. After selling about 17.5 million tickets 10% of the combinations have been covered. That means that 10% of the next few million tickets can be expected to repeat combinations that have already been sold. After 20% of the combinations have been sold we should expect that 20% of the next few million will be duplicates. And so on. If sales are high enough that 90% of combinations have been sold  we should expect that only 10% of the next few million tickets will be unplayed combinations. When 95% are sold only 1 in 20 will use a new combination. That means that selling the last 5% of combinations would require selling 175 million tickets.

Since a lot of combinations aren't chosen randomly, it takes even more sales to cover a given percentage of the combinations. People play favorite numbers that are often calendar numbers, and they play patterns on the betslips. As a very rough guess I'd bet that a typical drawing that sells 15 million tickets uses no more than 12 or 13 million combinations.

If the jackpot gets bumped up again to 600 million it will mean that MUSL is expecting to sell about 275 million tickets. That should use about 85% of the combinations, giving us about a 1 in 6 chance of a rollover. If it does roll we can probably expect sales to use 90% or more of the combinations, but even if it jumps \$500 million there will be plenty of combinations that don't get used, and a slight chance of yet another rollover.

Great explanation.

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Mcminnville, Oregon
United States
Member #3013
December 13, 2003
2521 Posts
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 Posted: November 27, 2012, 10:27 pm - IP Logged

I am thinking that someone is going to get lucky tomorrow night on powerball.  I just hope it is me!  Good luck!-wseshar75

nc
United States
Member #99520
October 26, 2010
270 Posts
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 Posted: November 27, 2012, 11:03 pm - IP Logged

Hi LP members have an idea to come up with a winning Power ball number post the last digit or two digits of your member number on your post.Every 7 post will be a number to play, My number is 30 never can tell we may come up with the winning numbers.                                                                                                                                                      Good luck to all on the Power Ball !               #30

First thing, welcome to Lottery Post!

That sounds like a fun thing to do.   Although, over half of us have the last two numbers as non playable numbers.   But I do like your number!!

Good luck to all.

Listens to the wind
Michigan
United States
Member #81740
October 28, 2009
22671 Posts
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 Posted: November 27, 2012, 11:43 pm - IP Logged

Thats a lot of tickets being sold, had a nice line at the gas station.

Omnia in numeris sita sunt  ( everything lies veiled in numbers)

Indiana
United States
Member #122868
February 9, 2012
322 Posts
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 Posted: November 27, 2012, 11:53 pm - IP Logged

Thats a lot of tickets being sold, had a nice line at the gas station.

Maybe we have too many gas stations... Or places that sell tix here, but I've never waited in a line for ppl getting any lottery tickets... Not that I'm complaining, but could be interesting!!

I wish I may, I wish I might...
Win the Powerball jackpot THIS big night!!!

RIGHT HERE!!
United States
Member #123290
February 17, 2012
2449 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 12:12 am - IP Logged

Maybe we have too many gas stations... Or places that sell tix here, but I've never waited in a line for ppl getting any lottery tickets... Not that I'm complaining, but could be interesting!!

I was about to post the samething, I've never waited in line to buy tickets.

Those super long lines on t.v. never seen those around here.

Bahamas
Member #133462
September 30, 2012
5743 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 12:35 am - IP Logged

Someone won the MM Jackpot tonight.

With MM back at 12m there is no real competitor out there.

PB stands alone in Amercia as the Big Wig.

Sales will hit Pluto!

"Everything works  ONCE!"

Indiana
United States
Member #122868
February 9, 2012
322 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 12:41 am - IP Logged

Someone won the MM Jackpot tonight.

With MM back at 12m there is no real competitor out there.

PB stands alone in Amercia as the Big Wig.

Sales will hit Pluto!

Where'd u get that info? Isn't showing on mm website or usamega.... Not doubting u... Just curious!!!

I wish I may, I wish I might...
Win the Powerball jackpot THIS big night!!!

Bahamas
Member #133462
September 30, 2012
5743 Posts
Offline
 Posted: November 28, 2012, 12:43 am - IP Logged

Where'd u get that info? Isn't showing on mm website or usamega.... Not doubting u... Just curious!!!

GA won MM tonight!

"Everything works  ONCE!"

United States
Member #117704
October 12, 2011
109 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 1:20 am - IP Logged

Where'd u get that info? Isn't showing on mm website or usamega.... Not doubting u... Just curious!!!

It is on usamega.com posted at 1:12 AM

"1:12 am – Mega Millions Jackpot Winner!  There was one \$49 million jackpot winner from Georgia in the Tuesday, November 27, 2012 Mega Millions drawing."

Indiana
United States
Member #122868
February 9, 2012
322 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 1:36 am - IP Logged

It is on usamega.com posted at 1:12 AM

"1:12 am – Mega Millions Jackpot Winner!  There was one \$49 million jackpot winner from Georgia in the Tuesday, November 27, 2012 Mega Millions drawing."

It wasn't at the time.. took about 30-40 mins later to be posted

I wish I may, I wish I might...
Win the Powerball jackpot THIS big night!!!

United States
Member #85220
January 11, 2010
532 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 1:53 am - IP Logged

It wasn't at the time.. took about 30-40 mins later to be posted

It was posted on the GA lottery website under the MM section with the number of winners for the drawing.

New Member
flagstaff, Arizona
United States
Member #118387
October 30, 2011
14 Posts
Offline
 Posted: November 28, 2012, 2:33 am - IP Logged

Yes, someone from Georgia did win the \$49 million Mega Jackpot!!!

New Member
Mobile, AL
United States
Member #125942
April 1, 2012
11 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 3:27 am - IP Logged

500 mill.......<snip>!!!!!!!!!!

This post has been automatically changed by the Lottery Post computer system to remove inappropriate content and/or spam.

Halle berry or hallelujah

New Member
Burnsville, MN
United States
Member #113637
July 13, 2011
9 Posts
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 Posted: November 28, 2012, 4:25 am - IP Logged

Someone won the MM Jackpot tonight.

With MM back at 12m there is no real competitor out there.

PB stands alone in Amercia as the Big Wig.

Sales will hit Pluto!

Even if nobody won MM, it'd only be around 60-70M for Friday's drawing. Does anybody honestly think that a 60-70M jackpot would be serious "competition" to Powerball's sales? Pretty sure it would have had very minimal, if any, impact on Powerball's sales.  Sadly, I flew from Minneapolis to Los Angeles Monday morning for a week long vacation, and they don't sell Powerball tickets here in CA :(

Good thing I bought a 2-draw advance play ticket on Sunday night before I left the state :) I'll be celebrating plenty out here when I win! Perhaps my vacation will take a Vegas detour should that happen ;)

Best of luck to everybody!

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