Oregon Lottery will lose money on sports betting this year

Feb 25, 2020, 7:17 am (6 comments)

Oregon Lottery

Agency cites higher start-up costs, lower margins and less betting activity than it expected

Oregon Lottery Director Barry Pack will present some unwelcome news at the Lottery Commission's monthly meeting on Feb. 28. Scoreboard, the agency's new mobile sports betting app, will lose money for the fiscal year that ends June 30.

"Lottery will have a loss of $5.3 [million] from the program for the first nine months of FY '20," Pack said in a memo prepared for that meeting.

Prior to launching Scoreboard last October, lottery officials presented lawmakers with projections showing the agency expected sports to be profitable in its first year — making $6.3 million — and pick up speed after that.

Those projections can be found in the table below.

At the Lottery Commission's January meeting, agency officials warned commissioners that results were not as good as expected.

"Original projections have been revised downward to reflect evolving estimates around black market capture rate, lack of NCAA wagering, tax withholding, intrastate competition, margin and product technical issues," officials said in a presentation slide.

This month, Pack put firm numbers on that downward revision, leaving the agency's sports-betting business $11.5 million short of where the lottery had once hoped to finish the year.

Lottery spokesman Matt Shelby attributes the shortfall to a variety of issues.

"We launched a new game (sports) and a new sales channel (mobile) this year, and we knew we would have significant up-front investment," Shelby says in an email. "We also captured all expenses related to launching the game, including indirect ones. Some of those indirect expenses were already represented in other budget areas, and it was a matter of moving them into the sports column."

The lottery put a big emphasis on Scoreboard, its first new major initiative in more than a decade. The agency hoped to use sports betting to attract new gamblers as its existing clientele ages out. The agency's zeal to enter the new arena involved a hurried contracting process and has at times resulted in pushback from legislators.

Last year, legislative leaders attempted quell some of the unhappiness about sports betting by allocating the profits from the new endeavor to helping pay down the state's $25 billion unfunded pension liability — but for now, at least, there are no profits to allocate.

Lottery officials have been working on that, Shelby notes, by seeking legislative approval to make Scoreboard more attractive by including betting on college games as an option. The answer from the Capitol: no dice.

"The ability to offer collegiate wagering would speed our progress towards profitability — increasing revenue with very little additional expense," Shelby says. "But there doesn't seem to be much appetite for that in the Legislature."

News story photo(Click to display full-size in gallery)

News story photo(Click to display full-size in gallery)

Willamette Week, Lottery Post Staff

Comments

music*'s avatarmusic*

The Oregon Lottery made a bad bet.  Go Oregon Ducks!

Bleudog101

I Agree!Time to dump this and get on-line lottery!

db101's avatardb101

Black market capture... I'm not an economist but that sounds to me like something that could be solved with better marketing. What is the biggest drawback of underground betting? If the organizers stiff you, you have no recourse. Play legally with the state, you'll always get paid what you're owed.

Stack47

It looks like they underestimated the overhead, but if those costs are not reoccurring, they should be fine. Is Online poker part of their package?

noise-gate

Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Feb 26, 2020

It looks like they underestimated the overhead, but if those costs are not reoccurring, they should be fine. Is Online poker part of their package?

Did you say underestimated?  Kinda like Deontay Wilder underestimating Tyson Fury..Approve

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by noise-gate on Feb 26, 2020

Did you say underestimated?  Kinda like Deontay Wilder underestimating Tyson Fury..Approve

Wilder blamed the 40 pound costume he wore into the ring.

End of comments
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