All times shown are Eastern Time (GMT-5:00) | Home -> Forums -> Mathematics -> Give it your best MATH shot and win a prize ! Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 1:05 pm - IP Logged | |
Give it your best MATH shot and win a prize ! How many times a year does a double follow a double in pick 3 ?? What's the expected math average ? My gut says about 12 to 20 per yr. Now ...that's just a double double ...... not counting those times it goes 3 or 4 or 5 doubles in a row. * By the way .....my guess is 2 to 3 times a year we will get 5 doubles in a row. In a 365 day year .... we can expect approx 99 doubles a year ......and 263 Singles. "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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Greencastle, Indiana United States Member #75249 May 19, 2009 102 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 1:09 pm - IP Logged | |
My guess is that the expected is 27%. | | |
Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 1:15 pm - IP Logged | |
Well.... thats the overall expected hit rate for doubles at 27% Let's see ..... 99 doubles per year expected average x .27 = 26.73 ...... 27 per year. Seems high to me. How many times did IN get 2 doubles in a row last year ? Just 2 in a row now.... not counting 3,4,or 5 stacks..... just the first 2 of each stack over 2 or more "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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Clarksville United States Member #489 July 15, 2002 14257 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 1:15 pm - IP Logged | |
My guess is 6-7%. It takes Everyone's input to HIT the number..all are equally important. | | |
Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 1:21 pm - IP Logged | |
Hello little old person ! LOL I am thinking you are very close. I just did IN eve .....they had 104 doubles in the last 365 days ......and had 20 back to back doubles ...( those that are at least 2 in a row but not counting more than 2 in a row) 365 20 is 5.4 % But ...wait you could say that 20 doubles (stacks of 2) per year figure is .... 20% of all the doubles hit per yr . ( not counting singles) Until we get the real math average .... we might say " look out for a double following a double every 5th. double. Little old lady...do you happen to have Tn or KY handy? "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 4:15 pm - IP Logged | |
KY ....EVE had 86 doubles the last 365 days .............and had 17 times a double followed a double. Thats an average of around every 5th double. KY Midday had 96 doubles the last 365......and had 20 doubles occurances ..... Thats an average of around every 5th double as well. So far, it sure looks as if ..... you have not had a double follow a double in 5 or 6 doubles " Get ready." "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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germantown md United States Member #65043 August 31, 2008 2111 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 4:43 pm - IP Logged | |
for real for real i got no clue count me out. real trackers state specific should. u something else WD nice one we need pulse test like this every now and then. CONGRATS TO THE CORRECT | | |
Ohio United States Member #50440 February 21, 2007 19366 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 19, 2009, 9:50 pm - IP Logged | |
Give it your best MATH shot and win a prize ! How many times a year does a double follow a double in pick 3 ?? What's the expected math average ? My gut says about 12 to 20 per yr. Now ...that's just a double double ...... not counting those times it goes 3 or 4 or 5 doubles in a row. * By the way .....my guess is 2 to 3 times a year we will get 5 doubles in a row. In a 365 day year .... we can expect approx 99 doubles a year ......and 263 Singles. Two double numbers came out today in the Ohio Lottery. 707 Midday, and Eveing, 474 a lot of doubles have been coming lately in Ohio, 225 and a few more I just can't think of them right now. Blessings to everyone let's get this Cash Money ! 12345 67890 Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your dream Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream. Follow TaxiJohn's rule go up or down. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes says 0 or 1 for Pick 4 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P.4* or 0 thur 9 from my dreams or hunches or any numbers. | | |
CA United States Member #3044 December 10, 2003 832 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 12:25 am - IP Logged | |
There are 270 doubles in a Pick 3 lottery pool. Odds of two doubles in a row? Simply (270/1000)x(270/1000), 72,900::1,000,000, 1::13.717421, or 7.29%. Blessed Saint Leibowitz, keep 'em dreamin' down there..... Next week's convention for Psychics and Prognosticators has been cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances. =^.^= | | |
NY United States Member #24178 October 16, 2005 2248 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 2:48 am - IP Logged | |
As usual, Johnph77 has it right (but he didn't follow through). With doubles accounting for 27% of expected results, back to back doubles would be expected 7.29% of the time. If there is one drawing per day we should expect back to back doubles .0729*365 times, or 26.6 times per year. For two drawings per day it would be 53.2. For 5 doubles in a row it would be .27^5 or 0.0014348907 * 365 or 730. That's either once every two years or once per year. What did I win? | | |
Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 1:02 pm - IP Logged | |
As usual, Johnph77 has it right (but he didn't follow through). With doubles accounting for 27% of expected results, back to back doubles would be expected 7.29% of the time. If there is one drawing per day we should expect back to back doubles .0729*365 times, or 26.6 times per year. For two drawings per day it would be 53.2. For 5 doubles in a row it would be .27^5 or 0.0014348907 * 365 or 730. That's either once every two years or once per year. What did I win? Our deep respect and admiration KY ! For what thats worth. LOL Now then.....when can we expect that book ? "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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Stone Mountain*Georgia United States Member #837 November 2, 2002 9089 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 2:01 pm - IP Logged | |
Real world ways we might use that data in the Pick 3 ......such as Look for a double to follow a double around every 13.72 draws average......or about every 2 weeks. (for a 365 draw game) or...... If for example.....the last 6 or 7 times a double hit it was followed by a second double hit...... it might be the time to flip back to a LONE single double hit without the second follow up double. "It's just as important to show how you missed the number ......as how you hit it."
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mid-Ohio United States Member #9 March 24, 2001 13921 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 2:33 pm - IP Logged | |
There are 270 doubles in a Pick 3 lottery pool. Odds of two doubles in a row? Simply (270/1000)x(270/1000), 72,900::1,000,000, 1::13.717421, or 7.29%. In the thread http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/197307 a similar situation was discussed and clarified with pick3 combinations. The odds of two doubles appearing in a row are not the same as the odds of someone winning with two doubles in a row. While the odds of someone winning with two doubles in a row is 7.29%, the odds of two doubles(not the same doubles) appearing in a row is 270:1000 or 27% because the first double doesn't have any odds associated with its appearance. If that isn't the case, please explain. * that which happens most * * is most likely to happen again * 
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Ohio United States Member #50440 February 21, 2007 19366 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 3:28 pm - IP Logged | |
In the thread http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/197307 a similar situation was discussed and clarified with pick3 combinations. The odds of two doubles appearing in a row are not the same as the odds of someone winning with two doubles in a row. While the odds of someone winning with two doubles in a row is 7.29%, the odds of two doubles(not the same doubles) appearing in a row is 270:1000 or 27% because the first double doesn't have any odds associated with its appearance. If that isn't the case, please explain. we had another double today, yesterday one for Midday, and one for Eveing. and Today in Midday! I think we better stay on the doubles you all! Blessings to everyone let's get this Cash Money ! 12345 67890 Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your dream Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream. Follow TaxiJohn's rule go up or down. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes says 0 or 1 for Pick 4 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P.4* or 0 thur 9 from my dreams or hunches or any numbers. | | |
CA United States Member #3044 December 10, 2003 832 Posts Offline | | Posted: July 20, 2009, 3:30 pm - IP Logged | |
A double has a 270::1,000 chance of appearing on any particular draw, no matter what the previous draw was. If you wait for a double to be drawn, then, yes, the odds of the next draw being a double are exactly that - 270::1,000. And then you have two consecutive draws with doubles. However, the chances of the first draw being a double are also 270::1,000, therefore the chances of drawing doubles on two consecutive draws are as stated above. The caveat here, however, is that triples are excluded from these calculations. gl j Blessed Saint Leibowitz, keep 'em dreamin' down there..... Next week's convention for Psychics and Prognosticators has been cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances. =^.^= | | |
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