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Buying More Tickets Does Not Increase Your Odds.

Topic closed. 184 replies. Last post 3 years ago by THRIFTY.

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THRIFTY's avatar - darth vader-face.jpeg
NEW YORK
United States
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April 29, 2010
3528 Posts
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Posted: March 1, 2012, 7:42 pm - IP Logged

BUYING MORE TICKETS DOES NOT INCREASE YOUR ODDS.

"Neither does going in as a group. if you buy 1 ticket and hypothetically it's 1:5billion. if you buy 5, it is no longer 1:5billion, you've added 5 tickets to the equation. statistically speaking, you gain no advantage over buying more than one ticket.

But if there are 100 people playing and you are one of them (99+1), that isn't the same combination if you buy two tickets, because now there are 101 people (99+2). with the large numbers of people playing, most people don't have the cash to purchase all combinations of the lottery, so really statistically you have no better chance of winning than if you just bought one. if you buy more, you also increase the possibility that you are going to share winnings. if you also buy more, you also have the chance of losing more. so figure in all three factors and i'll stick with buying just one lottery ticket.

Oh, and the odds of winning the jackpot doesn't change regardless of the number of people. your odds remain the same for every ticket that you have. it's not a cumulative thing. for example, every ticket you possess for Powerball has the same odds: 1 in 175,223,510 no matter how many people play. The Mega Millions odds are 1 in 175,711,536 for each ticket you hold regardless of how many people play. each of your tickets represents a person playing."

    Bigheadnick's avatar - badluck
    Taunton, Ma
    United States
    Member #123010
    February 11, 2012
    136 Posts
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    Posted: March 1, 2012, 8:05 pm - IP Logged

    Have to disagree with you there. Buying more tickets ABSOLUTELY increases your chances. Although that increase is small it's real. To simplify:

    1 ticket in 1 million combinations is .000001 % odds

    10 tickets in the same drawing would increase your odds to .00001%

    100 tickets .0001% etc

    Even just adding 1+1 you go from .000001 to .000002% chance of winning. Obviously negligible but it DOES increase your chances. Pretty simple math really.

      THRIFTY's avatar - darth vader-face.jpeg
      NEW YORK
      United States
      Member #90537
      April 29, 2010
      3528 Posts
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      Posted: March 1, 2012, 8:15 pm - IP Logged

      Have to disagree with you there. Buying more tickets ABSOLUTELY increases your chances. Although that increase is small it's real. To simplify:

      1 ticket in 1 million combinations is .000001 % odds

      10 tickets in the same drawing would increase your odds to .00001%

      100 tickets .0001% etc

      Even just adding 1+1 you go from .000001 to .000002% chance of winning. Obviously negligible but it DOES increase your chances. Pretty simple math really.

      ODDS and CHANCES are two different things when it comes to lotteries.  You should research it.  Todd can explain it. http://m.wikihow.com/Figure-Your-Odds-of-Holding-a-Winning-Lottery-Ticket

      The odds to win mega millions or powerball never change. It is the game matrix equation against every ticket or chance you have. Every ticket represents a person playing or a chance against odds of 1 in 175 millions for mega millions and powerball.

        Coin Toss's avatar - shape barbed.jpg
        Zeta Reticuli Star System
        United States
        Member #30470
        January 17, 2006
        9214 Posts
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        Posted: March 1, 2012, 8:31 pm - IP Logged

        Have to disagree with you there. Buying more tickets ABSOLUTELY increases your chances. Although that increase is small it's real. To simplify:

        1 ticket in 1 million combinations is .000001 % odds

        10 tickets in the same drawing would increase your odds to .00001%

        100 tickets .0001% etc

        Even just adding 1+1 you go from .000001 to .000002% chance of winning. Obviously negligible but it DOES increase your chances. Pretty simple math really.

        Bigheadnick,

        Currengtly there are 123,870 members here on LP.

        Have them each go $1 for MM or $2 for PB and they would have to hit a jackpot, no?

        Using a round number and calling the odds against each game 175,000,000 to one, each line of number plays reduces the number of possible combinations by one combination, that's all it can possibly do.

        Using your theory above anyone with a large enough bankroll could whittle the chances down to a 'guaranteed' winner or even a + for them. Doesn't happen.

        One and only one line of numbers are drawn, one combination only. Leaving 174,999,999 not drawn. So if you play ten combinations, whooppee! - your chances for each combination are still 1 in 175,000,000.

        The only ones who promote such ideas are selling tickets or a system.

        And here we go because many here don't believe this.

        Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

        Lep

        There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.

          Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
          Chief Bottle Washer
          New Jersey
          United States
          Member #1
          May 31, 2000
          21653 Posts
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          Posted: March 1, 2012, 8:56 pm - IP Logged

          BUYING MORE TICKETS DOES NOT INCREASE YOUR ODDS.

          "Neither does going in as a group. if you buy 1 ticket and hypothetically it's 1:5billion. if you buy 5, it is no longer 1:5billion, you've added 5 tickets to the equation. statistically speaking, you gain no advantage over buying more than one ticket.

          But if there are 100 people playing and you are one of them (99+1), that isn't the same combination if you buy two tickets, because now there are 101 people (99+2). with the large numbers of people playing, most people don't have the cash to purchase all combinations of the lottery, so really statistically you have no better chance of winning than if you just bought one. if you buy more, you also increase the possibility that you are going to share winnings. if you also buy more, you also have the chance of losing more. so figure in all three factors and i'll stick with buying just one lottery ticket.

          Oh, and the odds of winning the jackpot doesn't change regardless of the number of people. your odds remain the same for every ticket that you have. it's not a cumulative thing. for example, every ticket you possess for Powerball has the same odds: 1 in 175,223,510 no matter how many people play. The Mega Millions odds are 1 in 175,711,536 for each ticket you hold regardless of how many people play. each of your tickets represents a person playing."

          Buying more tickets does in fact improve your odds.  You have odds and chances mixed up.  Your odds get mathematically better the more tickets you buy, but your overall chances remain low.

           

          Check the State Lottery Report Card
          What grade did your lottery earn?

           

          Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
          Help eliminate computerized drawings!


            United States
            Member #111446
            May 25, 2011
            6323 Posts
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            Posted: March 1, 2012, 9:31 pm - IP Logged

            Buying more tickets does in fact improve your odds.  You have odds and chances mixed up.  Your odds get mathematically better the more tickets you buy, but your overall chances remain low.

            Although your overall chances are low, we continue to play for that shot at a dream. A dream can never be under estimated. For many of us

            It's what gives us hope, and keeps us going.  For those who discourage us from playing, thank you for your advice.... but no thanks.   Smash

              psykomo's avatar - animal shark.jpg

              United States
              Member #4877
              May 30, 2004
              4641 Posts
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              Posted: March 1, 2012, 9:52 pm - IP Logged

              BUYING MORE TICKETS DOES NOT INCREASE YOUR ODDS.

              "Neither does going in as a group. if you buy 1 ticket and hypothetically it's 1:5billion. if you buy 5, it is no longer 1:5billion, you've added 5 tickets to the equation. statistically speaking, you gain no advantage over buying more than one ticket.

              But if there are 100 people playing and you are one of them (99+1), that isn't the same combination if you buy two tickets, because now there are 101 people (99+2). with the large numbers of people playing, most people don't have the cash to purchase all combinations of the lottery, so really statistically you have no better chance of winning than if you just bought one. if you buy more, you also increase the possibility that you are going to share winnings. if you also buy more, you also have the chance of losing more. so figure in all three factors and i'll stick with buying just one lottery ticket.

              Oh, and the odds of winning the jackpot doesn't change regardless of the number of people. your odds remain the same for every ticket that you have. it's not a cumulative thing. for example, every ticket you possess for Powerball has the same odds: 1 in 175,223,510 no matter how many people play. The Mega Millions odds are 1 in 175,711,536 for each ticket you hold regardless of how many people play. each of your tickets represents a person playing."

              thrifty<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

              BUYING more ABORT'$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$does increase UR odd's of no BEING"$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

              BORN<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

              BUY>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>MORE LOTTERY>>>>>>>>TICKET'$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

              JACKPOT$$$$$>>>>>>not abort ur ticket!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                Bigheadnick's avatar - badluck
                Taunton, Ma
                United States
                Member #123010
                February 11, 2012
                136 Posts
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                Posted: March 1, 2012, 10:51 pm - IP Logged

                ODDS and CHANCES are two different things when it comes to lotteries.  You should research it.  Todd can explain it. http://m.wikihow.com/Figure-Your-Odds-of-Holding-a-Winning-Lottery-Ticket

                The odds to win mega millions or powerball never change. It is the game matrix equation against every ticket or chance you have. Every ticket represents a person playing or a chance against odds of 1 in 175 millions for mega millions and powerball.

                 Chance of winning +/- odds. Of course the odds/chances against each individual ticket remain the same, however each ticket you buy knocks off a potential combination thereby effectively increasing your CUMULATIVE or OVERALL odds of winning. If it's 1 combination out of a possible 175 million that wins, You still can increase your CUMULATIVE/OVERALL odds by playing more tickets/combinations. Granted, the difference is neglegible but it IS a difference.

                  Lucky Loser's avatar - bucks
                  Texas
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                  January 30, 2010
                  1441 Posts
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                  Posted: March 1, 2012, 11:03 pm - IP Logged

                  Anytime more numbers are involved, chances of a win are also increased. However, on the really big games like Mega, Power Ball, 6/54 etc., it's unclear on whether it's better to play one's own numbers over and over, or, have some QP's kicked out. Both have won almost equally as far as I've read. The larger games have just too many numbers for a player to try and "put together" the winning numbers on a single try. Personally, I've had QP's match 4 of 5 just as I matched 4 of 5 by playing the same numbers over and over for weeks on end. 

                  L.L. 

                    Bigheadnick's avatar - badluck
                    Taunton, Ma
                    United States
                    Member #123010
                    February 11, 2012
                    136 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: March 1, 2012, 11:04 pm - IP Logged

                    Bigheadnick,

                    Currengtly there are 123,870 members here on LP.

                    Have them each go $1 for MM or $2 for PB and they would have to hit a jackpot, no?

                    Using a round number and calling the odds against each game 175,000,000 to one, each line of number plays reduces the number of possible combinations by one combination, that's all it can possibly do.

                    Using your theory above anyone with a large enough bankroll could whittle the chances down to a 'guaranteed' winner or even a + for them. Doesn't happen.

                    One and only one line of numbers are drawn, one combination only. Leaving 174,999,999 not drawn. So if you play ten combinations, whooppee! - your chances for each combination are still 1 in 175,000,000.

                    The only ones who promote such ideas are selling tickets or a system.

                    And here we go because many here don't believe this.

                    Yes for each combination your chances are the same. That's not what I said , I said your OVERALL chance to win will increase with each combo you play. I kinda thought this would be obvious. You play 10 combos at 175 mil to 1 , yes it's still 175 mill to 1 for each but Overall it's 175 mill to 10.

                     As far as a big bankroller buying all the combinations, Of course it doesn't happen because the jackpot will never be big enough to make it profitible. The logistics alone of buying all the combos are mind boggling.

                     If all 123,870 members of LP each bought a different combo for a lotto with 175million combinations the odds of 1 of us having the winning ticket would be .00014. I'm pretty sure that's no garantee lol as you seem to think I'm suggesting. The odds are still better than .0000000175

                      Avatar
                      NY
                      United States
                      Member #23835
                      October 16, 2005
                      2874 Posts
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                      Posted: March 2, 2012, 2:20 am - IP Logged

                      "I kinda thought this would be obvious."

                      Some people can't understand some things no matter how simple or obvious they are. Here's an explanation I've used before in trying to explain it to people who are challenged by the obvious.

                      Sort all 175,711,536 possible combinations into 2 groups of 87,855,768 based on whether the mega ball is odd or even. Buy 1 ticket with a mega ball number that's odd and 1 ticket with a mega ball number that's even. If the mega ball number in the winning combination is odd you have a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning. If the mega ball number in the winning combination is even you have a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning. Since the only possible results are that the mega ball is odd or it's even your 2 tickets gives you a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning.

                      The same reasoning makes it obvious that buying 46 tickets makes you 46 times as likely to win. Buy 1 combination for each mega ball number, and no matter what mega ball number is drawn you have a 1 in 3,819,816 chance of having the 5 regular numbers that were drawn on the ticket with that mega ball number.

                      I would think that this would make it completely obvious to even the dumbest of people, but experience has proven me wrong.

                        savagegoose's avatar - ProfilePho
                        adelaide sa
                        Australia
                        Member #37136
                        April 11, 2006
                        2831 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: March 2, 2012, 2:35 am - IP Logged

                        we could simplify it to a cointoss. buy 1 ticket heads, you can lose buy 2 tickets 1h1t you always break even buy 2 tickets,2xh or 2xt you could win big or lose big.

                        i hope you see where im going?

                        2014 winnings S= spent W= won

                        JAN S 119/ W71 ; FEB S90 /W 13 ; MAR S93/ W75 ; APR S146/ W50 ; MAY S94/ W32 : JUN S98 /W 13 JUL S110 /W21 ; AUG S185 / W56 ; SEP S 140/W 13 ; OCT S 130 / W 66 ; NOV S104 / W47

                        S $1313W $461Tot -$851

                         

                         


                          United States
                          Member #111446
                          May 25, 2011
                          6323 Posts
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                          Posted: March 2, 2012, 5:55 am - IP Logged

                          "I kinda thought this would be obvious."

                          Some people can't understand some things no matter how simple or obvious they are. Here's an explanation I've used before in trying to explain it to people who are challenged by the obvious.

                          Sort all 175,711,536 possible combinations into 2 groups of 87,855,768 based on whether the mega ball is odd or even. Buy 1 ticket with a mega ball number that's odd and 1 ticket with a mega ball number that's even. If the mega ball number in the winning combination is odd you have a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning. If the mega ball number in the winning combination is even you have a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning. Since the only possible results are that the mega ball is odd or it's even your 2 tickets gives you a 1 in 87,855,768 chance of winning.

                          The same reasoning makes it obvious that buying 46 tickets makes you 46 times as likely to win. Buy 1 combination for each mega ball number, and no matter what mega ball number is drawn you have a 1 in 3,819,816 chance of having the 5 regular numbers that were drawn on the ticket with that mega ball number.

                          I would think that this would make it completely obvious to even the dumbest of people, but experience has proven me wrong.

                          Hey KY, I think referring to any percentage of our LP members as "dumbest of people" was a pretty "dumb" remark on your part.

                          Even Einstein had humility and respect for those not as gifted as he. If you show respect you'll receive in return. In your case you

                          can't expect much more than contempt from others reading your posts.  No No

                            SergeM's avatar - alas
                            Economy class
                            Belgium
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                            February 27, 2012
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                            Posted: March 2, 2012, 6:20 am - IP Logged

                            There are odds and there are payouts. - S.


                              United States
                              Member #123432
                              February 20, 2012
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                              Posted: March 2, 2012, 12:43 pm - IP Logged

                              BUYING MORE TICKETS DOES NOT INCREASE YOUR ODDS.

                              "Neither does going in as a group. if you buy 1 ticket and hypothetically it's 1:5billion. if you buy 5, it is no longer 1:5billion, you've added 5 tickets to the equation. statistically speaking, you gain no advantage over buying more than one ticket.

                              But if there are 100 people playing and you are one of them (99+1), that isn't the same combination if you buy two tickets, because now there are 101 people (99+2). with the large numbers of people playing, most people don't have the cash to purchase all combinations of the lottery, so really statistically you have no better chance of winning than if you just bought one. if you buy more, you also increase the possibility that you are going to share winnings. if you also buy more, you also have the chance of losing more. so figure in all three factors and i'll stick with buying just one lottery ticket.

                              Oh, and the odds of winning the jackpot doesn't change regardless of the number of people. your odds remain the same for every ticket that you have. it's not a cumulative thing. for example, every ticket you possess for Powerball has the same odds: 1 in 175,223,510 no matter how many people play. The Mega Millions odds are 1 in 175,711,536 for each ticket you hold regardless of how many people play. each of your tickets represents a person playing."

                              BedSleepWhat?Doh

                              Thinking of...

                                 
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