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Does picking the hottest number improve your odds?

Topic closed. 21 replies. Last post 1 year ago by SergeM.

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SergeM's avatar - alas

Aruba
Member #123712
February 27, 2012
1799 Posts
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Posted: June 2, 2012, 4:55 pm - IP Logged

Hi,

  I think you will find that in general this strategy will not work well for you.

  If you track the amount ocurrance that each number has over a paricular time frame, you will find that the hot numbers will probably only happen for only one, or maybe two, of the numbers picked in the next draw.

  Most draws are a mix of hot, medium, and cold numbers.

  Like coin flipping, at some point there will be an equal amount of heads and tails. Just because heads is hotter than tails at the moment, the higher ocurrances of heads won't hold true for an extended period of time. The only exception is if the coin itself is flawed by having one side heavier than the other.

Notice that you can have 1000 times tail in 1000 flips!

Stop breathing!

.

    LottoBoner's avatar - tumblr mctrk0S6aB1r3u0hko1_400.jpg
    KEEP YOUR EYE ON THE BALL!
    NYC
    United States
    Member #124503
    March 14, 2012
    5164 Posts
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    Posted: June 2, 2012, 5:45 pm - IP Logged

    Notice that you can have 1000 times tail in 1000 flips!

    Unlikely...boy you must have been a terrible croupier...Thud

      SergeM's avatar - alas

      Aruba
      Member #123712
      February 27, 2012
      1799 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: June 2, 2012, 5:57 pm - IP Logged

      I have seen a roulette machine doing more than 40 black numbers in a row.
      Odds, if I am not mistaken: <0,000000000000304.
      Cool

        LottoBoner's avatar - tumblr mctrk0S6aB1r3u0hko1_400.jpg
        KEEP YOUR EYE ON THE BALL!
        NYC
        United States
        Member #124503
        March 14, 2012
        5164 Posts
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        Posted: June 3, 2012, 6:18 am - IP Logged

        Thats when the pit boss said..."go take a cigarette break sergio"LOL

          SergeM's avatar - alas

          Aruba
          Member #123712
          February 27, 2012
          1799 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: June 3, 2012, 1:23 pm - IP Logged

          I don't smoke. Agree with stupid

            GM1258's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg
            Lake Winola, PA.
            United States
            Member #92402
            June 5, 2010
            22 Posts
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            Posted: June 8, 2012, 3:52 pm - IP Logged

            I don't play the 'hottest' number(s).

            By the time they get that hot they're due to cool off.

            Using frequency analysis I will look for a very warm number.

            For example, if the hottest number has hit 10 times in a given

            period I will omit that number from my wheel.

            Rather, I will play a number that has hit 8 or 9 times within

            the same time frame and make that my constant in all pics.

            Those number(s) still have momentum and are still a good bet

            because they're between warm and hot (not yet due to cool off).

            No rocket science math involved here.

            Just standard freq. analysis.

              SergeM's avatar - alas

              Aruba
              Member #123712
              February 27, 2012
              1799 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: June 10, 2012, 6:20 am - IP Logged
              12345678910
               1112 11  
              111121    
                1 1 32  
                23 2    
               111 22   
              1 221 1   
                 31111  
               122 2    
                   411  
              2111 11   
                 1213   
               1 1 221  
               1 12111  
               1 11211  
              111 12    
              1   221 1 
              1 12 1    
              1   13    
              111  11   
                 1 3 3  
                 2 131  
                1 24    
               1   231  
                 3 211  
              1  2  121 
               1  22 2  
               1 2211   
                2 221   
                1122 1  
                 3 31   
               1 3 21   
              113 2     
              1 1131    
               21  21   
                 122    
               21112    
                  421   
               1 1121   
              1  3 3    
              11  122   
                1212    
              1  2 21   
                 2221   
                1121    
                  5 2   
                213     
                  421   
                1222    
               11131    
               1 231    
              2121 1    
                23 11   
               31111    
               23 11    

              Table Header: Rank in frequency
              Table Data: Count of numbers that were drawn of that frequency rank

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Rank 1 = mode

              Stop breathing!

              .