Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Dec 18, 2012
"The mean what is 1 and the mean what is around 7?"
I did some very sloppy research and read a post from this month saying there were 300 MM drawings. The mean is actually 20 for the game history.
"Of course it's possible to win more than 1 in 39 in short tests."
The only possible long test is the history of the game and that's 781 drawings. You're mileage might vary, but to me 0.02% is considered a very short test.
"It's not possible to create a system which averages more than the odds dictate."
It's mathematically possible to place all 56 numbers in the correct order into 12 line wheel and have a five number match. Not saying it's easy, but it's possible. Better yet use a 46 combo wheel and use all the bonus numbers.
"It's like if the number "5" came out two draws in a row you'd claim that probability is wrong since that number should come out less than every draw on average."
The here question is "do some number combinations have better odds" and because we know there will be several 28 number groups matching five numbers in the last and next 5 consecutive drawings, the answer is yes. If you want to use "5" repeating as an example, there is a probability of numbers repeating. If the more numbers are repeating than the probability, a system might include using that.
For individual numbers in the last 50 drawings the average should be 4 or 5 hits, but less than 50% of the numbers averaged that. The majority were more frequent of less frequent. There are many ways to create a group of 28 numbers that should beat probability over short periods and many others in other short periods.