"The odds weren't reduced."
"in that drawing the odds were reduced from 3,819,816 to 1 to 98,280 to 1."
It's not about 1 in 39 or 1 in a million, just the fact when a group of 28 numbers matches five numbers, the odds are reduced. Your argument makes no sense because several people successfully predicted their 28 number group would match five numbers before the drawing. Just because your group crapped out doesn't mean when it does finally match five the odds are not reduced in that drawing.
"But if you think just taking them off a list reduces your odds, whatever, I give up."
They only draw five numbers so in every drawing 51 numbers are taken off the list. Any group of 28 numbers has 23 useless numbers. The difference here is when a group matches five numbers (and probability says it should 1 in 39) the odds are reduced.
"That's inherently fallicous"
Look at the facts, there are 19,656 groups with each group only having a 2.56% chance in every drawing, yet all 19,656 did or will match five numbers in 5 consecutive drawings. That's 766,584 groups in 39 drawings and I'm only saying any one group should match five numbers only once in 39 drawings and get a 1 in 98,280 chance.
A group of 28 numbers creates 98,280 combos and once in about every 39 drawings one of those combos will match the drawing. Please explain how trying to choose one combo out of 98,280 is exactly the same as trying to choose one out of 3,819,816 combos?