Megamillions and Powerball GamesPrev Topic Next Topic

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Which Play is the Best Bet?

Powerball

[ 9 ]

[ 24.3% ]

Powerball with Powerplay

[ 4 ]

[ 10.8% ]

Megamillions

[ 12 ]

[ 32.4% ]

Megamillions with Megaplier

[ 12 ]

[ 32.4% ]

Total valid votes

[ 37 ]

Discarded votes

[ 7 ]

jimmy4164

United States
Member #93,943
July 10, 2010
2,180 Posts
Offline

Mar 16, 2014, 3:30 am

This website might help you decide:

http://justwebware.com/megamillions/megamillions.html
helpmewin

100

u$a
United States
Member #106,660
February 22, 2011
19,960 Posts
Offline

Mar 19, 2014, 1:18 am

what about probability
pickone4me

Wisconsin
United States
Member #104,957
January 23, 2011
1,153 Posts
Offline

Mar 19, 2014, 9:55 pm

Wow! The numbers I put in only generated only the single dollar amounts going into the 20 year mark. That is pretty awful! My answer to which is the best, is stop playing the national ones and play your state lotteries instead.
adulane62

From Denver, Rocky Mountain Empire,
United States
Member #49,748
February 13, 2007
583 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:22 am

Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Mar 16, 2014
This website might help you decide:

http://justwebware.com/megamillions/megamillions.html

Jimmy the joy killer - stop telling people they can't win the jackpot. It can be done. It is mostly a matter of luck to be sure, however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting! By picking 3 out of 5 regular numbers I was able to reduce:

From =combin (75,5) 17,259,390

To =combin (75,3) @ 67,525

67,525/17,259,390 = 3.91%, I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!

And all of it wasn't luck either. I have a little system where I choose the LIKELY numbers to be drawn usually between 21 to 25 numbers for both MM & PB. I then wheel 10 lines for MM and 5 lines for PB. I am aiming to match the 5 regular numbers for a second tier prize of a MILLION! However, I will admit winning the jackpot with the red ball is still a tall order, however it can still be DONE. So get lost and stop spreading negative stuff!

https://app.box.com/s/zidot15y37ms9s25nrf1
pickone4me

Wisconsin
United States
Member #104,957
January 23, 2011
1,153 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:32 am

Quote: Originally posted by adulane62 on Mar 20, 2014
Jimmy the joy killer - stop telling people they can't win the jackpot. It can be done. It is mostly a matter of luck to be sure, however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting! By picking 3 out of 5 regular numbers I was able to reduce:

From =combin (75,5) 17,259,390

To =combin (75,3) @ 67,525

67,525/17,259,390 = 3.91%, I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!

And all of it wasn't luck either. I have a little system where I choose the LIKELY numbers to be drawn usually between 21 to 25 numbers for both MM & PB. I then wheel 10 lines for MM and 5 lines for PB. I am aiming to match the 5 regular numbers for a second tier prize of a MILLION! However, I will admit winning the jackpot with the red ball is still a tall order, however it can still be DONE. So get lost and stop spreading negative stuff!

https://app.box.com/s/zidot15y37ms9s25nrf1

Good luck with those awful odds! If you live in the right place the MM and PB is biased to, you have a fighting chance.
JAJNUB

United States
Member #153,273
March 11, 2014
23 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:39 am

Mega Millions has horrific odds and payouts. You won $5 on a 766 to 1. You broke even on your purchase.
LottoMetro

Happyland
United States
Member #146,338
September 1, 2013
1,176 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:41 am

Quote: Originally posted by adulane62 on Mar 20, 2014
Jimmy the joy killer - stop telling people they can't win the jackpot. It can be done. It is mostly a matter of luck to be sure, however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting! By picking 3 out of 5 regular numbers I was able to reduce:

From =combin (75,5) 17,259,390

To =combin (75,3) @ 67,525

67,525/17,259,390 = 3.91%, I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!

And all of it wasn't luck either. I have a little system where I choose the LIKELY numbers to be drawn usually between 21 to 25 numbers for both MM & PB. I then wheel 10 lines for MM and 5 lines for PB. I am aiming to match the 5 regular numbers for a second tier prize of a MILLION! However, I will admit winning the jackpot with the red ball is still a tall order, however it can still be DONE. So get lost and stop spreading negative stuff!

https://app.box.com/s/zidot15y37ms9s25nrf1

however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting!

Please explain how winning $5 is exciting?

If the chances of winning the jackpot are so slim, why play when the jackpot is so small? Your chances never change, but the potential payoff does.
If a crystal ball showed you the future of the rest of your life, and in that future you will never win a jackpot, would you still play?

P&L % = Total Win($)/Total Wager($) - 1
JAJNUB

United States
Member #153,273
March 11, 2014
23 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:47 am

Quote: Originally posted by LottoMetro on Mar 20, 2014
however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting!

Please explain how winning $5 is exciting?

Lmao, he did not even win $5. It was a break even ticket. Its a roller coaster ride, spend $5 win $5. For some that's exciting.
jimmy4164

United States
Member #93,943
July 10, 2010
2,180 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 4:14 am

Quote: Originally posted by adulane62 on Mar 20, 2014
Jimmy the joy killer - stop telling people they can't win the jackpot. It can be done. It is mostly a matter of luck to be sure, however even getting 3 of 5 in a 75 number Megamillion ticket can be exciting! By picking 3 out of 5 regular numbers I was able to reduce:

From =combin (75,5) 17,259,390

To =combin (75,3) @ 67,525

67,525/17,259,390 = 3.91%, I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!

And all of it wasn't luck either. I have a little system where I choose the LIKELY numbers to be drawn usually between 21 to 25 numbers for both MM & PB. I then wheel 10 lines for MM and 5 lines for PB. I am aiming to match the 5 regular numbers for a second tier prize of a MILLION! However, I will admit winning the jackpot with the red ball is still a tall order, however it can still be DONE. So get lost and stop spreading negative stuff!

https://app.box.com/s/zidot15y37ms9s25nrf1

"I have a little system where I choose the LIKELY numbers to be drawn usually between 21 to 25 numbers for both MM & PB."

For any given drawing, what do you think is going on with the numbers other than these 21 to 25 that would make the balls carrying their labels LESS LIKELY to pop up? Is it a physical phenomenon, or something else?
adulane62

From Denver, Rocky Mountain Empire,
United States
Member #49,748
February 13, 2007
583 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:07 pm

For any given drawing, what do you think is going on with the numbers other than these 21 to 25 that would make the balls carrying their labels LESS LIKELY to pop up? Is it a physical phenomenon, or something else?

Physical phenomenon? You are talking gibberish again! As for the other posters, I misspoke. It is not winning the $5 that is exiting, it is reducing the astronomical odds to a manageable 10 line bet that I am excited about! The other two numbers I missed could have been winners with a little bit of luck!

By the way, when I play MM & PB the red balls are an afterthought for me (i.e., they don't matter) because it is like betting on a second game within the game. My focus is on the regular 5 balls only. Now that I see MM has been won, I am going to lay low for a while and not play until the jackpot climbes again. However, I will still play my 5 lines in PB and keep a POSITIVE attitude about it! So there!
LottoMetro

Happyland
United States
Member #146,338
September 1, 2013
1,176 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 1:29 pm

Quote: Originally posted by adulane62 on Mar 20, 2014
For any given drawing, what do you think is going on with the numbers other than these 21 to 25 that would make the balls carrying their labels LESS LIKELY to pop up? Is it a physical phenomenon, or something else?

Physical phenomenon? You are talking gibberish again! As for the other posters, I misspoke. It is not winning the $5 that is exiting, it is reducing the astronomical odds to a manageable 10 line bet that I am excited about! The other two numbers I missed could have been winners with a little bit of luck!

By the way, when I play MM & PB the red balls are an afterthought for me (i.e., they don't matter) because it is like betting on a second game within the game. My focus is on the regular 5 balls only. Now that I see MM has been won, I am going to lay low for a while and not play until the jackpot climbes again. However, I will still play my 5 lines in PB and keep a POSITIVE attitude about it! So there!

Well, you're not reducing anything as far as the odds are concerned. Playing more combinations increases your chances of winning. Playing select combinations does not. If you choose to play from a pool of 3.91% of 5-ball combinations, then on average one of the combinations in that pool will win 3.91% of the time. It's basic math. If there are 100 different ways of organizing numbers and I play 5 of those ways, I have a 5/100 or 5% chance of winning, regardless of how I pick or which of those 5 ways I choose. I could choose 5 even-numbered sets, 5 odd-numbered sets, or 5 sets out of a subset of 20 combinations— does not matter. I'm still picking 5 out of 100 ways to win, which means there are still 95 out of 100 ways to lose.

If the chances of winning the jackpot are so slim, why play when the jackpot is so small? Your chances never change, but the potential payoff does.
If a crystal ball showed you the future of the rest of your life, and in that future you will never win a jackpot, would you still play?

P&L % = Total Win($)/Total Wager($) - 1
jimmy4164

United States
Member #93,943
July 10, 2010
2,180 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 2:46 pm

Quote: Originally posted by LottoMetro on Mar 20, 2014
Well, you're not reducing anything as far as the odds are concerned. Playing more combinations increases your chances of winning. Playing select combinations does not. If you choose to play from a pool of 3.91% of 5-ball combinations, then on average one of the combinations in that pool will win 3.91% of the time. It's basic math. If there are 100 different ways of organizing numbers and I play 5 of those ways, I have a 5/100 or 5% chance of winning, regardless of how I pick or which of those 5 ways I choose. I could choose 5 even-numbered sets, 5 odd-numbered sets, or 5 sets out of a subset of 20 combinations— does not matter. I'm still picking 5 out of 100 ways to win, which means there are still 95 out of 100 ways to lose.

Well put LottoMetro.

Adulane62:

"You are talking gibberish again!"
If you look up "phenomena" you'll find that what I'm asking is what you think the "cause" is of your 21-25 balls being more likely to pop up, and consequently, what causes the other balls to lay low. Does it still sound like gibberish?

Looking at it another way, when you say...
"...I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!"
... another question comes to mind. How do you manage to transfer this information to the balls inside the machine which will be used in the drawing you're betting on?

Sorry for asking hard questions, but I would think that a lot of people here would like to know the answers.
LottoBoner

United States
Member #124,487
March 14, 2012
7,021 Posts
Offline

Mar 20, 2014, 3:36 pm

Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Mar 20, 2014
Well put LottoMetro.

Adulane62:

"You are talking gibberish again!"
If you look up "phenomena" you'll find that what I'm asking is what you think the "cause" is of your 21-25 balls being more likely to pop up, and consequently, what causes the other balls to lay low. Does it still sound like gibberish?

Looking at it another way, when you say...
"...I was able to eliminate 17,191,865 combinations!"
... another question comes to mind. How do you manage to transfer this information to the balls inside the machine which will be used in the drawing you're betting on?

Sorry for asking hard questions, but I would think that a lot of people here would like to know the answers.

How do you manage to transfer this information to the balls inside the machine which will be used in the drawing you're betting on?

Maybe its a physical phenomena information transfer byproduct developed from meticulous mental RV training during his time staring at goats?
RL-RANDOMLOGIC

United States
Member #59,352
March 13, 2008
5,626 Posts
Offline

Mar 21, 2014, 5:59 am

I am not very good at suffering dumb-asses and thought that jimbo left LP for good but I see that

he just can't seem to stay away. If he want's to hang around that's fine but maybe he should do

something useful. His longstanding arguments have been repeated so many times that I for one

feel ill every time I see his avatar. I would like to suggest that he do something useful like maybe

supply us idoit's with a list that clearly defines the number of hits for each prize level for every game

matrix. This way all we would need to do is just check his list and instantly know how we are doing.

Please don't take him too serious as he has issues. He believes he is enlightened but a quick read

of some of his past post clearly show us that he does not apply his knowledge evenly. One instance

of this brought to bear is he believes in evolution even when the second law of thermodynamics is

in direct conflict. True science has proven that evolution is a false. This will no doubt go over his head

but it would be a good starting point for him, if he's really interested to upgrading his thought processes

If I add randomly generated code into any program that I have ever written I am reasonably sure that

it would not make the program better. I started another post where I am testing a new prediction algorithm

and jimbo has decided that he needs to insert his comments without even reading the post to see what it

was about.

RL

....
SergeM

Economy class
Belgium
Member #123,694
February 27, 2012
4,035 Posts
Offline

Mar 21, 2014, 7:21 am

Quote: Originally posted by LottoBoner on Mar 20, 2014
How do you manage to transfer this information to the balls inside the machine which will be used in the drawing you're betting on?

Maybe its a physical phenomena information transfer byproduct developed from meticulous mental RV training during his time staring at goats?

Eventually the goat died because of high age, or they forgot to feed it. Probably the goat never picked the right numbers.

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