Quote: Originally posted by PeerGynt on Sep 16, 2014
Tia, and WinD, and GaryO: I like your cold-reality reasoning. It's something I always fall back on myself, and for all that the algorithmic "secret hand" may be at play, it is amazing how the constant play of the game seems to usually conform to standard results consistent with random probability.
No pool of any kind could be mechanically perfect: you don't get a pool of ten numbers out of one hundred paying off every tenth time, bam bam bam bam bam. That would be a fixed game. So, one would expect swings - consistency, rapid-payoffs, long-outs. And like the world's climate, one would also expect much larger and longer and even more sweeping "seasons" to the game, too - periods where there will be a drought of doubles, or where doubles fall like snow, etc.
But CTNY does what I try to do, and want to do in more perfect form: isolate a pool, and apply filters. Just to clarify: I'm not saying there's one standard pool that stays constant all through all plays of the game, day in and day out, hope everyone knows I don't mean that. I believe every draw creates a pool, or contributes to one; and there's always any number of pools at play, waiting to pay off. I call them "pools," because I don't have a name for whatever it is the game is doing internally, where there's no language to communicate abstract possibly-Adobea78-ian calculations: even Adobea has a series of numbers he plays for when the situations arise.
The 111 system Calady provides every day on the California Lottery thread is a great example… but a bit unwieldy, with eighteen numbers that pay out over 30 days, and has anyone back-tested it for consistent pay-off time-frames? The "Holy Grail," as I posited it, is (1) a small pool of numbers, (2) guaranteed to pay off over a short (let's say, not unreasonable) period of time, that is (3) entirely pre-filters. This ensures small bets consistently placed, that results in either smaller losses (i.e., you play a few times then miss it because say you calculate wrong, but only lose a negligible amount of $$$), or larger wins (i.e., compared to the $$$ invested to get that win).
But yeah, even as I look at what I just wrote, what I want… ha! Why don't I just throw in a pink unicorn and world peace, while I'm at it?