Original Blog Entry: Atlantic Cyclone Power Observational Bias Update

JADELottery — Wed, 29 Nov 2017 17:54:17 GMT

Below are graphs of our calculated values of Atlantic Cyclone Power of each event.

You'll notice there is no Y-axis scale.

That's not a problem, because, all we want to show is relative power between events.

Also, for the same justification that some professionals have used the presentation of data in the anomaly format.

Don't like it, Go Function Yourself.

This graph show all the power values with any observational bias due to policy and/or technology.

Just looking at this we can see there are some differences between year ranges.

We detected at least 6 different ranges and have highlighted those suspected years.

The differences seem a little more clear.

Below, we have changed the Y-axis to a Logarithmic scale, and the range differences become even more clear.

We can adjust for these differences to make the values relatively matched for the changes in policy/technology.

Here we can see the graph with these observational bias removed.

Next, we can average these yearly, non-linear values in to a yearly average.

Below is the adjusted yearly averages for cyclone power.

We can see around 1947 the power has been fairly level till about 1999, then peaks at 2005 and comes down.

It has risen by looking at the Regression Wave, but next year's average may play a factor in the direction of the Regression Wave.

The next 3 years could be interesting.

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