Comment #2

hypersoniq — Tue, 06 Feb 2024 12:54:35 GMT

That's true.

Comment #1

eddessaknight — Tue, 06 Feb 2024 00:39:40 GMT

Good Luck will never make a player wiser

Original Blog Entry: The purpose of each game in the wagering system

hypersoniq — Mon, 05 Feb 2024 13:29:21 GMT

The lottery plan for 2024 is covering a total of 9 games...

PA Pick 2 mid and eve ($50 on $1 straight) - the purpose is to increase exposure to playing on their money. No box plays.

PA Pick 3 mid and eve ($500 on $1 straight) - while also a great opportunity to play on house money longer, it will also trigger a hot week , where the wagers go from $1 straight to $5 straight across the pick n games. No box plays

PA Pick 4 mid and eve ($5,000 on $1 straight) - just 1 hit covers the entire cost of the system for the entire year AND leaves a decent profit. Allowing for $1 box play if and only if the pick is 2 pair. $800 ($400 on each 50 cent ticket)

PA Pick 5 mid and eve ($50,000 on $1 straight) - the ultimate goal! Allowing for box play if and only if the pick is 5 unique digits ($425 on a $1 box)

PA Match 6 (minimum $500,000 jackpot if 1 winner) - a daily chance at life changing money. This one is played in a 26 day rotation, as that is as far as PA lets you play this one in advance. The ticket cost is $2, so that is $52 per ticket a little over 14 times per year. Most of the time the small winners either defray the cost of the next ticket or cover it entirely.

Part of the plan, including box tickets under strict conditions, is in place because the amount is high enough to trigger a hot week, but under the $600 claim form requirement.

With a plan in place, a total budget can be made.

The Match 6 will cost $730 in this leap year. $14 per week.

The daily games estimate is based on a worst case scenario of all picks triggering box plays for a total daily cost of $12, which on a worst case scenario 5 days of play per week instead of the usual 4 places the potential cost at $60 per week.

Therefore the high end of the potential budget will be $3,850 for the year.

This can be eliminated by just 1 straight hit on the pick 4 or pick 5 games, one jackpot hit on the match 6 (or four 5 out of 6 matches), or 8 hits on the pick 3.

If I were to eliminate all but the goal of the pick 5, that cost would drop significantly to $520 for the year at 5 days a week, but what fun is that?

Since I already know the total potential cost, I only need to track wins this time and not expenses as with past systems. Also, without a clear plan, I never stuck with any of the older systems more than a few weeks.

This is my comprehensive plan for 2024. A new picking system (error corrected mirrors) and a new wagering system with a play strategy and a known potential loss. Keeping in mind I usually only play 4 days a week and most pick 4 and pick 5 selections do not meet the box criteria, I know I will not reach that maximum -$3,850 loss potential even with zero wins. (which, unfortunately is the expected scenario in a one pick straight shooter system where a rare hit is coincidental at best)

Luck will still be the most elusive independent variable.

Happy Coding, and best of luck in your picks!... [ More ]