Original Blog Entry: A test for lag in the Markov Chain

hypersoniq — Sat, 17 Jan 2026 11:45:33 GMT

Since I have over a week left on the Match 6, I plan to run a back test on the lab (script) version of the Markov Chain follower program. The data is exact between the app and the script, and the lab has it's own copy of the data files.

Test 1. Check for lag by deleting the last 21 draws and running the script, checking the highest output as it prints for a straight hit over the next 21 draws.

Test 2. Using the 10 most recent followers that outputs with each column, see if that adjustment appears straight anywhere over the same 21 draws.

By deleting draw history, the test has zero cost!

Also, as a new year thing, I am going to begin back testing jackpot games as well. I usually stuck to back testing the pick 3 because I would not mind if I missed out on a $500 win, but without testing on the other games, how do I make improvements?

I will go back 10 times, so the test will cover 210 draws, and I will repeat it on the pick 5.

Then, when the Match 6 cycle is complete, I will run a similar test on that game.

The classification portion will be used as a reference, so the follower data is not picking all colds. Guess we could say that will be the third test....

3 picks...

1. Raw frequency of the followers

2. Followers guided by the most frequent of the last 10 followers

3. Ranging for the pick based on placement in the Hot, Neutral and Cold table.

Whichever method works best in the back test will be carried forward for the first cycle of the pick 3 and the pick 5.

Hoping this will be the year I can do better than a handful of pick 3 straight hits...... [ More ]