Original Blog Entry: Overfitting numbers

Il2c — Mon, 06 Apr 2026 03:12:57 GMT

Been wanting to blog about this for a minute, finally found the time.

First you get a good hit streak of sequential back to backs, then there comes a point where the game diverges and you get a bunch of options. Where you see a clear pattern of what to play, then you see more and more, which causes you to weaken your once solid hand.

Kind of like a game of Uno when you have highs and a bunch of disposable cards that you need to get rid of.

Pick 3, I've noticed tends to do this in all states at a point. That gamers intuition kicks in and tell you not to play, but you have two or 3 straight roads. You already know some of the soldiers aren't going to hit. Just one vs 15 other boss plays, yep this is the threshold. It's normal. The worse u can do is jump in when it's clustered, unless you find a way to master throgh the cluster. So yeah trust that feeling, know when to take your money honey, and run! Skip town.... [ More ]