Compute this !

Reply #18

fenris — Wed, 29 Dec 2004 15:37:17 GMT

On the Flipside, you might wonder how many days a double could go with out being picked:If doubles were not drawn today, what is the chance that doubles will not be drawn tomorrow? In other words, what is the chance that doubles will miss twice in a row?(1-0.27)^2 = 0.5329Miss three times in a row:(1-0.27)^3 = 0.3890Miss 4 times in a row:(1-0.27)^4 =0.2840

Reply #17

cd_shopper — Tue, 28 Dec 2004 23:01:31 GMT

To Fenris: Thats correct. Thats the mathematical result. If we see the Real world drawings that vary....To WinD: read your inbox, ill wait for your reply. CUL.

Reply #16

johnph77 — Tue, 28 Dec 2004 04:54:35 GMT

WIN D -fenris is correct in his formulas and response, and thank you. Sorry it took me this long to get back; I was unaware a question was asked. The only caveat here is that triples (is that included in your requirement for a double?) are excluded.gljohn

Reply #15

fenris — Mon, 27 Dec 2004 19:54:11 GMT

Quote: Originally posted by WIN D on December 24, 2004 Thank you very much John. A man after my own heart and a great person to ask about the doubles question. What is the probability of back to back doubles. ....3 in a row...4 in a row? The odds on a double are 27% and average a hit every 3 or 4 days but what is the probability this will happen 2 days in a row. Thank you for your help on this John. Probability on equally like dvents is one thing .....I have posted that before, here and in my b... [ More ]

Reply #14

Badger — Sat, 25 Dec 2004 20:56:35 GMT

Quote: Originally posted by WIN D on December 23, 2004A Numbers First for Louisiana LotteryBATON ROUGE, La. (AP) _ Anyone who won the Louisiana Lottery's Pick 3 daily game earlier this week should have tried again the next night, too _ with the same numbers. Zero, five and one were winners for the Louisiana Lottery's Pick 3 daily game on Tuesday. They were winners again on Wednesday. That's the first time in the near 11-year history of the lottery that that's happened for Pick 3, said lottery s... [ More ]

Reply #13

WIN D — Fri, 24 Dec 2004 12:44:59 GMT

Thank you very much John. A man after my own heart and a great person to ask about the doubles question. What is the probability of back to back doubles. ....3 in a row...4 in a row? The odds on a double are 27% and average a hit every 3 or 4 days but what is the probability this will happen 2 days in a row. Thank you for your help on this John. Probability on equally like dvents is one thing .....I have posted that before, here and in my blog. This doubles thing however hurts my feelings ...LO... [ More ]

Reply #12

johnph77 — Fri, 24 Dec 2004 06:24:28 GMT

Any way you want to look at it, any particular number has a chance of coming out once every thousand draws. If the number 000 comes out an one day, 000 had a one in a thousand chance of coming out the very next day. It's more surprising to me that this hasn't happened at all in the Louisana Lottery's history of over 3,200 draws in their Pick 3 game.A boxed number of three differing digits has a chance of repeating itself in any order once in every 166.67 draws, including the original order. Prob... [ More ]

Reply #11

MADDOG10 — Fri, 24 Dec 2004 00:17:38 GMT

geez, no wonder the bug, is having no lick down there.

Reply #10

WIN D — Thu, 23 Dec 2004 18:29:57 GMT

A Numbers First for Louisiana LotteryBATON ROUGE, La. (AP) _ Anyone who won the Louisiana Lottery's Pick 3 daily game earlier this week should have tried again the next night, too _ with the same numbers. Zero, five and one were winners for the Louisiana Lottery's Pick 3 daily game on Tuesday. They were winners again on Wednesday. That's the first time in the near 11-year history of the lottery that that's happened for Pick 3, said lottery spokesman Dudley Lehew. What the odds are I couldn't e... [ More ]

Reply #9

four4me — Thu, 23 Dec 2004 04:55:42 GMT

Maryland 12/19/04 midday 870 eve 66712/20/04 midday 737 eve 22512/21/04 midday 379 eve 136

Reply #8

JAP69 — Thu, 23 Dec 2004 04:44:01 GMT

After rereading your question it looks like I did not answer correctly.

Reply #7

JAP69 — Thu, 23 Dec 2004 04:16:39 GMT

Search past results provided by lottery post 58% probability of a 0 and 1 return after 2 or more doubles in the state of New Mexico during the past year.date skip reflects no sunday draw in N.M.1Mon, Nov 8, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 1-4-7 Sat, Nov 6, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 2-8-2 Fri, Nov 5, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 8-4-4 Thu, Nov 4, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 2-2-9 Wed, Nov 3, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 0-8-82Mon, Oct 18, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 9-6-5 Sat, Oct 16, 2004 New Mexico Pick 3 5-8-8 Fri, Oct 15, 200... [ More ]

Reply #6

cd_shopper — Wed, 22 Dec 2004 22:37:31 GMT

Sure, i can give you all the statistic you want in a sight.Remember the system here:Two machines give 2 pick-3 numbers each every day for a total of 4 numbers per day.Facts have shown that machine A and B have never come with the same number (as far as my DB goes) this is exciting but not as good as to make a profit of it.In other hand, the Machine A can give the same number two times in a row (i will post the probability, im not at home right now) but never three times in a row (strange isnt it... [ More ]

Reply #5

WIN D — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 22:58:32 GMT

Cd shopper ..... Is it possible for you to know the number of times your data base has had 2 consecutive doubles? Looking for some real world results over several years. How often does that happen in your country on average per year? If thats possible to know ... how often do the 6way numbers that follow those 2 doubles contain a digit Zero and or a digit ONE? There are 64 6 way numbers that contain those 2 digits. 012 013 014 015 016 017 018 019 023 024 025 026 027 028 029 034 035 036 037 03... [ More ]

Reply #4

cd_shopper — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 22:25:10 GMT

Hi,Some say that the probability to get 567 three times in a row is the same as getting any other combination.I dont think so, lottery companies have to had an insurance because if a number keeps coming 3 or 4 times then people will play it in the 3rd and 4th time and the company and all the dealers will be broke after that.Here in Venezuela, they have another insurance . They use two machines at the same time, can you believe that in two years of drawings the two machines have NEVER come with

Reply #3

Sedertree — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 19:18:37 GMT

Win D,I'm getting ready for work. So I'll come back to this tonight. You are correct. Odds don't change but Probability does if using priors.That is the magic of using Bayesian Analysis.

Reply #2

WIN D — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 18:29:47 GMT

Todd ....please consider the source. Of course I should have said ......what is the increased probability of the 72% 6 way group hitting after 2 doubles . The fella that can answer that question knows probability.... and can also compute the probability of 2 doubles hitting back to back. Even though they are the 27% group.....probabillity of back to back doubles much lower. Over the years I have always said.. The Odds never change... but probability does . The odds of 123 hitting 4 days in

Reply #1

Todd — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 14:01:54 GMT

If you're looking at this mathematically, it wouldn't change the percentage at all. Each drawing is disconnected from every other drawing. It's like someone who plays roulette: they see five blacks come up in a row, so they say the next number must be red. Then black comes up again.

Compute this !

WIN D — Tue, 21 Dec 2004 11:45:25 GMT

If one only plays 6 way numbers after 2 doubles hit .....how much would that increase the expected 72 % hit rate for that group? After ...3 doubles in a row? If anyone just has some empirical data ... I guess that will do for now. Anyone?? Thanks