Benford's Law

Reply #10

psykomo — Thu, 18 Aug 2005 23:58:09 GMT

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Reply #9

sagan — Thu, 18 Aug 2005 23:15:09 GMT

i think chaos is the best predictor, if one could only predict it.even if you know the picture is going to be completed, there is no telling when.

Reply #8

LANTERN — Fri, 29 Jul 2005 03:36:50 GMT

Probability or random that does not take into account pass behavior or past draws, will give fewer right predictions, than probability that does take into account the past draws.General probability is good in general, but not so good for particular uses like the lottery and even less usefull for a particular lottery like pick 3 than for the lottery in general.Results is all that counts.Good luck.

Reply #7

NemeSys — Fri, 29 Jul 2005 03:22:49 GMT

Briefly, Bayes' Theorem states that the probability of A given B times the probability of B equals the probability of both events A and B occurring together and also equals the probability of B given A times the probability of A. As an equation: P(B|A) P(A)P(A|B) = -------------- P(B)Both the law and the equation can be extended in several ways.Bayesian probability is not the same as frequency probability (which is what most people are talking about when they mention... [ More ]

Reply #6

sagan — Fri, 29 Jul 2005 02:54:32 GMT

what about bayes theroremdoes it apply and if it does how

Reply #5

Badger — Fri, 22 Jul 2005 01:33:22 GMT

For the heck of it, I did a backcheck on IN and WI Pick 3, using all drawings that have been picked since the games started. (using Versabet34 software) All ten digits came out in the first position between 9.5% and 10.5% which is what you would think for a random game. Benford's Law didn't apply, so it appears that at least those two states aren't cheating.

Reply #4

NemeSys — Thu, 21 Jul 2005 19:03:34 GMT

Interesting. I'd never heard of Benford's law. If lottery numbers followed it two conclusions could be drawn:1) The lottery operator is cheating.2) The draw machine just wasn't designed well enough (the standard statistical tests for randomness would also indicate this).

Reply #3

SirMetro — Mon, 18 Jul 2005 20:19:00 GMT

Scrapped the underground house plan last year to keep Terry and Alex happy. Sounds like a familiar statement...reckon it goes without saying...pick your battles carefully, some you just know you can't win. BTW...an Underground house is my ultimate dream home.Sir Metro

Reply #2

CARBOB — Mon, 18 Jul 2005 11:18:21 GMT

George, Nice to hear from you. Sounds like, you are enjoying yourself and wish you success in the future. I always found your posts on the lottery very informative.Carbob

Reply #1

LANTERN — Mon, 18 Jul 2005 00:20:38 GMT

Glad to have you back again George and good luck.

Benford's Law

Sedertree — Mon, 18 Jul 2005 00:06:16 GMT

Hi Friends, While researching unrelated scientific subject matter I came across an article on Benford's Law. I decided that LP should/could benefit. I see that Win D already brought this up on November 25, 2004. Of particular interest is how it can be used to determine whether a lottery is being run fairly or not. You could probably sue the state lottery if Benford's Law proves that they are cheating.http://www.abc.net.au/science/k2/moments/s116315.htm Hope you enjoy it as much as I did.... [ More ]