First MM JP Rollover too small?

Reply #14

Just6ntlc — Fri, 29 Jul 2005 18:23:56 GMT

I'll change my prediction to $18 million RJOh if no one wins tonight.

Reply #13

RJOh — Thu, 28 Jul 2005 07:13:40 GMT

I think the next roll over will be $3M also, maybe $4M.

Reply #12

Just6ntlc — Thu, 28 Jul 2005 04:07:28 GMT

I agree what you said dvdiva. I think it will be 20 million for Tuesday if no one wins this Friday.

Reply #11

dvdiva — Thu, 28 Jul 2005 04:06:00 GMT

Rollovers are based on sales. Sales are only ok and no big pot has occured yet to drum up more sales. It's better than the usual 2 million rollover before though. It used to go from 10 to 12 million.

Reply #10

RJOh — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:45:16 GMT

MATCH GAME ODDS 5 / 5 +B 1 : 175711536 5 / 5 1 : 3904701 4 / 5 +B 1 : 689065 4 / 5 1 : 15313 3 / 5 +B 1 : 13781 3 / 5 1 : 306 2 / 5 +B 1 : 844 1 / 5 +B 1 : 141 0 / 5 +B 1 : 75 overall 1 : 39.8

Reply #9

Just6ntlc — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:31:06 GMT

I go to the California Web Site for Mega Millions to check on the odds of winning the MEGA Ball and odds of winning. CA had a lackluster sales drive in MM this time with $2 for 1/5+MB and $1 for 0/5+MB.

Reply #8

CASH Only — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:29:51 GMT

Somebody else said the odds of winning $2 are 1:75. But that's for a 0+1 match ONLY.

Reply #7

RJOh — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:17:28 GMT

Cash, where did you see that 1:75 odds

Reply #6

CASH Only — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:11:58 GMT

The overall odds of winning are 1:40, not 1:75.

Reply #5

RJOh — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 16:09:37 GMT

In the last drawings there were 297,984 winners. Since the odds of winning something is 1:40, there had to be about 11,919,360 tickets sold and 32% of those sales going to the jackpot would mean that $3,814,195 was available for the jackpot. If you figure the states put up the cash to guarantee the $12M starting jackpot and $9M is needed to guarantee the $15M jackpot, the jackpot may be ahead of actually tickets sales for the first few drawings with the $3M rollovers. This is the kind of situ... [ More ]

Reply #4

ryanm — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 15:22:58 GMT

They took in only an estimated $14.5 million in sales (according to lottoreport.com) for this drawing. Therefore, the $3 million rollover is normal at the starting level.

Reply #3

four4me — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 14:54:16 GMT

even though the jackpot was small with 12 states involved in the game they still probably took in over 50 million. Or close to it, many people buy tickets no matter what the jackpot amount is. With this many states 1 million per state should be the minimum required amount for each roll over.

Reply #2

lchoro — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 13:40:11 GMT

if the odds are perceived as terrible, people will just hold off till the jackpot justifies throwing the money away at the one chance. you have only a 1 in 75 chance of even winning the $ 2 ticket. most people will need a lot of persistence to keep playing if they're not teased with periodic winnings.

Reply #1

Just6ntlc — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 07:53:33 GMT

I think the rollover is fair with long odds and lack of sales.

First MM JP Rollover too small?

danisiri — Wed, 27 Jul 2005 07:17:53 GMT

Is this first MM JP rollover from the starting pot too small given the new matrix? I mean only $3 million (from 12 to 15) seems pretty small for a game with such long odds. Are they anticipating that not many people will play with a JP at this level