VRA and Crazy Outriders

Reply #7

dee man — Tue, 08 Nov 2005 07:14:31 GMT

Ooops!My apologies to hypersoniq - it wasn't until I was on my way home from work that I realised that I had boo-booed when typing your user name. Sorry about that mate!Regards.Tony.(deeman).

Reply #6

dee man — Tue, 08 Nov 2005 03:12:29 GMT

My apologies for the delay in replying, due in no small part to the rapidly descending silly season (and the longer hours at work) and the time difference which I had neglected to remind everyone of.Thank you Ricky, RJOH and hypersonic for your advice. Our data here seems to be similar to that of the 6/42 Belgian lottery in that these crazy draws seem to occur less than 1% of the time.The consensus and common wisdom seems to be to leave these draws in and I must admit that, that was what I

Reply #5

hypersoniq — Mon, 07 Nov 2005 02:05:53 GMT

those spikes are the nature of the beast, any attempt to smooth the data will result in a guaranteed error ripple effect later on.unless they change the rules, like PB did when they added #'s 54 and 55in that situation I scrapped all previous white ball draws... PB data is still valid tho, so now all my research is in that area.

Reply #4

RJOh — Mon, 07 Nov 2005 00:09:51 GMT

If you are basing you predictions on historical data then all the data is important. I doubt you expect your predictions to be correct 100% of the time so you need to know how correct they must be to cover your expenses in a reasonable amount of time. When playing a multi-state game with jackpots of $20M+, being correct less than 1% of the time is good enough if you can be confident that a 100% correct prediction is in the works in a reasonable amount of time. However if you playing a pick3 or... [ More ]

Reply #3

paurths — Sun, 06 Nov 2005 23:23:55 GMT

Well, 2 draws ago, here in Belgium where a 6/42 is, the numbers have been: 2 - 5 - 7 - 14 - 16 - 20Only happened 15 times, on 2084 draws or so.Thing is, they happen...Could be that if you decide to delete them two draws, that you suddenly have a good prediction result.Could be that if you decide to delete them two draws, that you suddenly have a bad prediction result, b/c the following draw is another not stable range .Most draws will have numbers that have 3 nbrs lower than 20 and 3 nbrs highe... [ More ]

Reply #2

dee man — Sun, 06 Nov 2005 23:06:00 GMT

Hi Ricky, thanks for your post.I understand what you're getting at but my experience is that, the range of numbers for our lottery fall within a fairly stable range, not only overall but positionally as well.My feeling is that these two draws are going to skew the results, in the near future anyway.Thanks for your input.Regards.Tony.

Reply #1

paurths — Sun, 06 Nov 2005 22:53:29 GMT

Hi dee man,deleting a draw or 2 from the history-list?Why not?Why not delete all the draws from which you think they have strange numbers ?All the draws together are going to colour all your future attempts, might as well delete them all.Just kidding, sorry...I have not used it in quite a while now, but deleting a draw (or two) has never crossed my mind b/c then it would be me that was colouring further attempts...G'sRicky

VRA and Crazy Outriders

dee man — Sun, 06 Nov 2005 22:48:13 GMT

I had only just started experimenting with this program when two unfortunate events occurred:1) The original VRA thread (started by NemeSys) was closed and2) The range of numbers from two of the last three draws of our 6/40 Lotto, were so far out of the ball-park that I am finding it difficult to get a working range of Dim and Delay values.Three draws back: Lowest #= 1, Highest #= 16.Two draws back: Lowest #= 20, Highest #= 37.My concern is that these two way-out (consecutive) draw ranges are... [ More ]