a sorta stupid question for the math type

Reply #18

KY Floyd — Mon, 10 Apr 2006 07:12:06 GMT

Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on April 3, 2006meg4m1|10ns,

I still don't understand what information your 5X56 chart with 68211 in every position is trying to show. What law of physic did you use to define the perfect world you described? I would think in any world perfect or not, if five balls were randomly drawn out a pool of 56, the results would be just as unpredictable each time. In the last 56 MegaMillions drawings 74% of the numbers were from a pool of 33 which might suggest a bias... [ More ]

Reply #17

jcshay56 — Tue, 04 Apr 2006 03:33:54 GMT

I wouldn't play 1, 13, 29, 45 and 47 if I were you. Not only did I point out what was cold by this method, and anybody could play this, many hundreds if not thousands already have. I say this because this is one of the easiest ways to look at the lottery.

this is reminiscent of brian arthur's academically world famous santa fe bar problem : if a bar is most enjoyable when it's not packed, and people think it's not going to be packed, everybody shows up. then it's packed. if people... [ More ]

Reply #16

RJOh — Mon, 03 Apr 2006 21:36:49 GMT

I agree that I don't understand your chart and it doesn't show a bias.

Reply #15

m3g4m1ll10ns — Mon, 03 Apr 2006 21:20:34 GMT

I should add that there have been 80 MM drawings since they changed the format. That leaves just 175,711,456 combinations that haven't hit.

Reply #14

m3g4m1ll10ns — Mon, 03 Apr 2006 21:13:20 GMT

You won't understand. There is no pattern or formula, forward or back, to give you what the next numbers will be or what the previous numbers were. Period.

Wasn't it the Pennsylvania Daily, sometime back in the 80's, where somebody injected a drop of paint into some of the balls? THAT IS BIAS

Reply #13

RJOh — Mon, 03 Apr 2006 20:01:15 GMT

meg4m1|10ns,

I still don't understand what information your 5X56 chart with 68211 in every position is trying to show. What law of physic did you use to define the perfect world you described? I would think in any world perfect or not, if five balls were randomly drawn out a pool of 56, the results would be just as unpredictable each time. In the last 56 MegaMillions drawings 74% of the numbers were from a pool of 33 which might suggest a bias that can be exploited.

RJOh

Reply #12

m3g4m1ll10ns — Sun, 02 Apr 2006 00:04:17 GMT

RJOh

There are 5 columns and 56 rows in my chart. Each row adds up to 341,055. Each column adds up to 3,819,816. That's MegaMillions.

You make my point perfectly when you say, any number may be drawn at any time . In a perfect world, after 56 drawings, one could expect each number to have been drawn 5 times. This would make the lottery kinda pointless because it could only last 56 drawings, getting easier with each draw. From that point on, the only numbers that could hit was the... [ More ]

Reply #11

RJOh — Sat, 01 Apr 2006 17:35:44 GMT

meg4m1|10ns

Your chart lacks any rows or columns definitions, what does it all mean? While any number may be drawn at any time, once sorted the number 1 can only occupy the first position as with the highest number in the pool can only occupy the last position.

RJOh

Reply #10

m3g4m1ll10ns — Sat, 01 Apr 2006 16:41:25 GMT

This chart is interesting (and correct) but meaningless. It only tells you how many other combinations are available if balls are drawn and reported in numerical order. For those of you that do not know what this chart means, for example, if the number 23 is the 3rd ball drawn (in numerical order, not actual draw order), there are only 121,968 other posible combinations in the 1-5 positions, mega ball not included. The real odds from here (23 in 3rd spot is 121,968*46=5,610,528). If balls we... [ More ]

Reply #9

johnph77 — Thu, 30 Mar 2006 06:34:51 GMT

Frequency chart per column for 5/56 matrix:

ABCDETotal

1341055341055

231625124804341055

3292825468521378341055

427072566300397852341055

52499008330076502041341055

623030098000122505005341055

72118761105441764098015341055

819458012107223688168035341055

917836512972030268263270341055

10163185136620372603864126341055

11148995141900445505400210341055

12135751145684520307260330341055

13123410148092595989460495341055

141119301492406715812012715341055

Reply #8

four4me — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 19:21:56 GMT

Rjoh i have no complaints with your picks in fact some of your wheeling methods are great. i have tried several ways to wheel the whole set of numbers for mega and many times depending on how i input the numbers i have got 3 of 5 now all i need to do is get lucky and trap all 5...

Reply #7

RJOh — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 19:15:10 GMT

d : a functional relationship between two or more correlated variables that is often empirically determined from data and is used especially to predict values of one variable when given values of the others <the regression of y on x is linear> ; specifically : a function that yields the mean value of a random variable under the condition that one or more independent variables have specified values

That's the definition that jschay56 was referring to, but just adding up the numbers in each co... [ More ]

Reply #6

four4me — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 19:00:56 GMT

regression

1 : the act or an instance of regressing

2 : a trend or shift toward a lower or less perfect state: as a : progressive decline of a manifestation of disease b (1) : gradual loss of differentiation and function by a body part especially as a physiological change accompanying aging (2) : gradual loss of memories and acquired skills c : reversion to an earlier mental or behavioral level d : a functional relationship between two or more correlated variables that is often empirically

Reply #5

RJOh — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 18:34:05 GMT

When you look at the last 80 drawings of MegaMillions since the matrix changes and use plain math instead of statistical regression and use the most active numbers, you get the following.

Column One = 02,14

Column Two = 16,17,20

Column Three = 27

Column Four = 50,51

Column Five = 52,54

MegaBall = 04,36

When you compare the group with the actually drawings, the following show up.

03/10/06 04 17 18 51 54 +31

11/11/05 09 14 34 50 51 +40

08/02/05 17 22 39 50 52 +46

RJO... [ More ]

Reply #4

johnph77 — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 07:59:05 GMT

What may (and probably will) happen is that the numbers in the inside columns will trend toward the most likely number to hit within that column - somewhat like a frequency chart for that particular lottery matrix would indicate. 01 will always be the number occurring most often in the first column and the highest number drawn in the matrix will always be the number occurring most often in the last column.

gl

j

Reply #3

Raven62 — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 02:24:53 GMT

Maybe it's a Term from Statistics: Regression is a way of defining the extent to which two variables are related. Regression can be used in an attempt to predict Lottery Numbers, but this can be tricky. The existence of a correlation between variables does not always mean that there is a cause-and-effect link between them.

Reply #2

jcshay56 — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 02:16:44 GMT

you throw the historical numbers into an excel file

(sort the results from each drawing so that the numbers are in numerical order -- as it's reported on powerball website)

then today's 1st ball is some kind of weighted average of the previous few 1st balls

and today's 2nd ball is some kind of weighted average of the previous few 2nd balls

so on and so forth

essentially a statistical software package can approximate what weighted averages are the best for predicting future ball... [ More ]

Reply #1

RJOh — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 02:06:42 GMT

autoregressing never heard of that math term, what is it? Even the spell check didn't recognize it.

.

The word you've entered isn't in the dictionary. Click on a spelling suggestion below or try again using the search box to the right.

Suggestions for auto regressing:

1. outorganizing

2. outorganized

3. autoradiograms

4. autoradiographs

5. outorganizes

6. autoradiographies

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9. autor... [ More ]

a sorta stupid question for the math type

jcshay56 — Wed, 29 Mar 2006 01:50:11 GMT

anybody ever tried autoregressing numbers for jackpot lotteries