Betslips Plays for 11/7

Reply #25

cps10 — Wed, 08 Nov 2006 14:27:52 GMT

That's right...you've got to crawl before you can walk

Reply #24

calabs — Wed, 08 Nov 2006 14:23:28 GMT

Hey Rick - Last night IL hit another rt sum due, this time rt sum 8. But 332 was not on the list........bummer

Reply #23

Rick G — Wed, 08 Nov 2006 01:20:27 GMT

cps, when we have a better handle on the capabilities of these lists then I'll know if I can apply my old profit progression method to this idea. (I think I've posted it in a very early blog or thread) It is essential to have a very solid idea of straight-bet wins expectations for the state being played. Time will tell in this respect.

Plus I have to figure out how to apply it money-wise to this shotgun approach which is new for me.

First things first, right

Reply #22

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 23:22:24 GMT

I'm open to discussion anytime you would like, my friend

Reply #21

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 22:22:09 GMT

Thanks Rick - Yeah, played that 613 last night in GA.... came out midday today!! DOE!!!! When will I learn to play back my numbers... this happens all the time to me!!!!

Anyway, I've got a good feeling about GA tonight too!!! Let's get paid

Reply #20

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 21:59:50 GMT

Calabs, believe it or not I'm still chuckling at your last post. Good one...that kind of humor makes my day.

I'm feeling real good about the lists tonight. Had a good feeling when I posted 'em and we're behind in the expectations so I'll be disappointed if we have another bad night, but not discouraged. (I hope...two bad nights in a row hasn't helped).

Good luck in GA tonight...a favorite lottery state of mine with some favorite LP members from the get-go.

Reply #19

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 21:45:09 GMT

Hehe!! I think once I go out and vote tonight, I may NEED to release some negative energy by destroying something!!!!

Got a good feeling about GA tonight Rick!! Maybe the rt sum 5 coming in... the pressure relief valve on 5 is about to blow big time!!!! Lots of good numbers in you list too

Reply #18

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 21:38:06 GMT

HA! Gave me my first good laugh of the day. Still laughing....be careful with those tools

Reply #17

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 21:27:36 GMT

Thanks Rick - As long as you provide the numbers, I'll work the rt sum thing!!!

I love your analogies!! This time, I feel like going home and working with POWER TOOLS!!! Maybe a table saw or saws-all!!! Something with a real RIP to it

Reply #16

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 21:18:41 GMT

Calabs this is an interesting approach and I'm glad you're investigating it. Looking at cps10's spreadsheet, there were more box hits in the midday but less straight hits in the midday. Since we're using close to 40% of the combos we should expect a 40% boxed hit rate in the long run so I'm not impressed with my evening list until it can produce 50% wins using less than 40% of the combos, know what I mean?

My honest opinion is that the states threw an extra draw in there (midday) to mess w... [ More ]

Reply #15

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 20:59:32 GMT

Thanks Rick - I understand what you mean by the premise of your system. While supposed to be for eve only, it's apparent that the numbers are also working midday. So using a tool (like rt sum) to narrow down the picks to a fraction, you can play both midday AND evening and get the benefit of both draws..... Nice work Rick.. keep it up man, keep it up

Reply #14

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 20:47:12 GMT

Cps,

Yes, I think TN is the state to be watching now....way behind in expectations. I'm really expecting a flurry of wins there.

Calabs, I can't take credit for the IL midday 178 because technically it was for the eve. draw. IL has had a few wins in a row in the evening though, so I'm not real confident of a hit tonight. If nothing else I hope people see the power of always playing their combos in ascending numerical order. When taking doubles and singles into consideration it is l... [ More ]

Reply #13

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 19:54:59 GMT

OK!! Now this is what I'm looking for:

Midday IL - 178 STR8!!!!! You had it Rick, and it's one of the rt sums I was looking for (7)!!!

Now were getting somewhere

Reply #12

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 19:50:17 GMT

Rick

You are welcome. I think you are correct in that this is a correction. And that is a good idea to check to see when there has been a streak of losses and jump in at the right time. I couldn't imagine these numbers being cold for much longer, if at all. SC EVE might be prime, as is TN EVE and they are both ball-drawn - I watch the SC draws daily.

Reply #11

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 16:38:31 GMT

Cps, thanks much for the spreadsheet. Very well done.

The thing that jumps out at me today is SC EVE and TN EVE with four losses in a row. If I was playing this I would look for situations like that and concentrate on those states. SC had a major winning streak just before the four losses so this is a correction. But TN is way behind in the hit rate. I know this state's drawing is going to pop a few winners in a row soon. If we conclude that it is a continual aberration to the norm for... [ More ]

Reply #10

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 16:17:44 GMT

greeneyes,

The only states that will be covered are the six listed above. Since it is geared towards Betslips players and they can bet any state they want, it doesn't matter what states are being covered. Six states offer the player a chance to spot individual state trends and capitalize on them.

They were picked based on member interest in the subject.

Sorry I don't have time to include more.

Reply #9

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 16:03:22 GMT

Latest statistics are available for this test....in spreadsheet form like you saw yesterday. To access the spreadsheet:

CLICK HERE

Enjoy

Reply #8

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 15:55:12 GMT

Thank you! I hesitate to ask about that :) I will just follow the lead

Reply #7

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 15:47:20 GMT

CPS - They are based on hot/cold/due sums which follow particular trends....

Reply #6

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 15:35:46 GMT

Best of luck again Rick

Reply #5

cps10 — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 15:35:25 GMT

calabs - are these based on numbers that are out

Reply #4

greeneyes — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 15:29:42 GMT

What about Texas.

Reply #3

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 14:46:10 GMT

OK, here are the rt sums to watch for today:

NJ - rt sum 5 or 7

SC - rt sum 2 or 4

TN - rt sum 2 or 4

GA - rt sum 5 or 8

IL - rt sum 5, 7, or 8

Reply #2

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 14:44:05 GMT

You're welcome, calabs

Reply #1

calabs — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 14:31:16 GMT

Thank you Rick!!

Well last night TN got yet another due rt sum.. that's 2 in a row, however, this one was not on the list... :-( Seemed to be on every OTHER list though! :-)

I'll keep tracking.

Betslips Plays for 11/7

Rick G — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 14:28:55 GMT

11/07/06

Long-term expectations:

50% of the time the number drawn will be a box from the list.

11% of the time the number drawn will be a straight from the list.

Box-only betting on all combos in the list will yield a 11.18% profit using Betslips current payouts.

Straight-only betting on all combos in the list will yield a 16.74% profit using Betslips current payouts.

Straight/Box (recommended) betting on all combos in the list will yield a 13.82% profit using Betslips current payouts.... [ More ]