What % of Straights repeat each year?

Reply #5

Thoth — Fri, 01 Jun 2007 04:14:24 GMT

In 365 Pick 3 draws there should be right around 59 repeats. Most of those will be 2nd time hitters and a few will be three or more time hitters.

Reply #4

KY Floyd — Thu, 31 May 2007 00:22:30 GMT

Repeating numbers is a simple probability that we should expect, so assuming you accept that the results are essentially random, there is no advantage to using past repeats. If a particular number turns up much more often that is expected it's possible that it really is more likely to be drawn for some reason, but that sort of thing also happens due to the normal workings of random events and simple probability.

Reply #3

doodoohead — Mon, 28 May 2007 15:30:16 GMT

That was great. Thanks KY Floyd.

Trying to figure an advantage to using those past Straights over say, just picking 100 random straights that are un-hit so far.

My mind is heating up on that sliding scale as the year progresses along. Seems there might be some clear advantage in using the already hit Straights over the random un-hit straight picks.

Just using a random 100 straights (as an example) from one of the 10 columns of 1000 we could expect only an average of 10% hit rate. Not... [ More ]

Reply #2

KY Floyd — Mon, 28 May 2007 05:16:35 GMT

All 100% of the possible numbers will get a chance to hit every time there's a drawing. Assuming 365 drawings per year the maximum number of the 1000 numbers that could be drawn is 365 or 36.5%. Of course that could only happen if there were no repeats at all, which is extremely unlikely (far less than 1 in a trillion, FWIW).

For a simplified version of what is likely, let's assume there is only one drawing per day and that there are no repeats during the first 100 drawings. At that point... [ More ]

Reply #1

lacie — Sun, 27 May 2007 20:00:01 GMT

I'd say that It's less than 5% but more than 1%.

What % of Straights repeat each year?

doodoohead — Sun, 27 May 2007 18:35:22 GMT

On average what % of Straights repeat each year?

Only 36 % of the 1000 numbers get a chance to hit each year anyway.

Of those 365 hits what % are repeat straights?

What's your guess?

1. Less than 5%

2. Less than 2.5%

3. Less than 1