Statistics question

Reply #12

RJOh — Wed, 08 Aug 2007 03:11:27 GMT

Rather than you losing a zero I apparently found an extra zero

I figured as much after I rechecked my calculations. I've now written the routine into my odds calculations program and have checked it with several casino sites for accuracy.

Reply #11

KY Floyd — Tue, 07 Aug 2007 18:27:39 GMT

I forgot about this thread for a while.

Rather than you losing a zero I apparently found an extra zero, or at least an extra place. I forget what I came up with but I rounded a number that was the same (or at least similar) to your figure of 3,176,716,400. Maybe I punched a 3rd 0 before saving it in the calculator's memory, since I came up with odds around 1 in 90 million twice. I think I did the math right, but that doesn't matter if you start with the wrong numbers. The Windows calculator... [ More ]

Reply #10

johnph77 — Sat, 04 Aug 2007 06:33:19 GMT

https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/159377

Reply #9

Just6ntlc — Sat, 04 Aug 2007 06:06:55 GMT

What are the odds where a Mega Millions winning numbers [5/56+1/46] can become a California Super Lotto Plus pick [5/47+1/27]? How about Powerball winning numbers [5/55+1/42] to become a California Super Lotto Plus pick [5/47+1/27

Reply #8

RJOh — Thu, 02 Aug 2007 16:52:22 GMT

Thanks John, I always appreciate my calculations being confirmed by a serious mathematician.

Reply #7

johnph77 — Thu, 02 Aug 2007 13:51:53 GMT

Before you could calculate the odds of there being 14 winners in any lottery game the number of tickets sold would be necessary. Everybody and their brother doesn't quite cut it.

RJOh's figures of x of 7 if 11 of 80 are correct - no missing zeroes. I do my calcs with a spreadsheet.

7 Spot - 11/80BetHitsPossibilitiesOdds - 1::

31767164001010788972482.94

113186521922.41

26181182155.14

314264266522.27

417290020183.73

510838522930.95

63187899652.31... [ More ]

Reply #6

RJOh — Tue, 31 Jul 2007 18:38:38 GMT

I didn't find a missing zero in my calculations, so I added the routine to my odds calculator which allows me to make other calculations about regular lotteries that are useful also. I'll never have to calculated it by hand again.

Reply #5

RJOh — Mon, 30 Jul 2007 03:17:33 GMT

If you find the missing zero let me know, I calculated that by hand using some information I found on the Internet about calculating Keno Odds. I plan to write the routine in GWBasic and add it to my ODDS calculation program since Ohio is coming out with a Keno game called Ten OH! next week.

Reply #4

KY Floyd — Mon, 30 Jul 2007 03:04:40 GMT

If you want an answer with an explantion you should provide the necessary information. The matrix and jackpot amount aren't enough for a definite answer, bu here's a rough estimate.

Yes, the change makes a big difference, but I'm not sure you know what the difference is. In the first version there was an extremely slim chance it might happen, but it's almost a slikely as the chance that there will even be 1 winner inth enew version.

RJ: You lost a zero somewhere.

Reply #3

RJOh — Mon, 30 Jul 2007 01:42:57 GMT

There could be 14 winners in any lottery that players are free to chose any combination, but I doubt if any 6/49 game would have a jackpot that big if it had a cash value of half that amount as most lotteries jackpot do now days.

Lotteries with odds of 1:10M or more seldom have a cash value greater than the odds of winning them since that investment syndicate won the Virgina lottery over ten years ago as far as I know.

Pick5 games with odds of 1:1M or less of winning the jackpot get ja... [ More ]

Reply #2

RJOh — Mon, 30 Jul 2007 01:24:00 GMT

You would figure the odds like you would any keno type game. There would be 3,176,716,400 possible outcomes if you could pick seven numbers.

MATCH COMBOS OF 7 FROM 11of80 NUMBERS ODDS

7330 1 : 9626413

6 318781 : 99652

5 10838521 : 2931

4 172900201 : 184

3 1426426651 : 22

2 6181182151 : 5

1 1318652192 1 : 2

0 10788972481 : 3

Reply #1

JusticeSeeker — Mon, 30 Jul 2007 00:24:13 GMT

EDIT: Change the type of drawing in this scenerio to this:

The lotto is played by drawing 11 numbers, from 1 through 80. Players have to match only seven of the 11 numbers drawn to win a jackpot.

Now, this makes a big difference, right? Two people can win and have completely different sets of numbers. But it makes the challenge of figuring the statistically possibility of 14 winnings tickets being drawn even sweeter.

Statistics question

JusticeSeeker — Sun, 29 Jul 2007 23:52:53 GMT

Hey all...here's a challenge out there for anyone in to the statistical nature of the lottery:

Let's say we are talking about a standard 6-ball lotto, 49 balls. I'm pretty sure I read somewhere that the chances of winning said lotto is 1 in 13,983,816. Well let's say that a particular lotto has reached a respectable $115 million and everyone and their brother is purchasing tickets. Here's the big question: what are the odds that 14 (yes, that's FOURTEEN) winning tickets will be drawn for... [ More ]