I'd estimate the probability of two more MM rollovers as being... https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722 Lottery Post Forum Topic: I'd estimate the probability of two more MM rollovers as being... en-us Lottery Post RSS Generator Reply #6 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/892256 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/892256 Wed, 05 Sep 2007 20:05:30 GMT Just6ntlc Correction, in the 330 million jackpot in MM, 4 winning tickets happen in TX, VA, MD, and GA.

]]> Just6ntlc Reply #5 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/888807 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/888807 Thu, 30 Aug 2007 18:39:05 GMT Just6ntlc I hope there is a MM jackpot winner in the next draw.

]]> Just6ntlc Reply #4 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887366 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887366 Tue, 28 Aug 2007 11:48:10 GMT Prob988 If MM sold 300M tickets to reach a 500M jackpot the largest single most likely outcome would be 1 winner at about 30%. Another rollover would have an 18% probability.

]]> Prob988 Reply #3 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887327 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887327 Tue, 28 Aug 2007 04:54:51 GMT dvdiva I'd be happy with a single rollover. Odds of a single winner would be pretty low if there are two rollovers.

Sales are a little lower this time though so the chance of a rollover is a little higher. I'd say sales for the current drawing will be around $95 million then around $165-175 for the next drawing. Just about even with it's odds. Maybe a little less.

I have a feeling it gets hit on Tuesday though.

]]> dvdiva Reply #2 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887311 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887311 Tue, 28 Aug 2007 04:05:42 GMT Prob988 I'd guess that you may not see one. It is possible that a jackpot reaching the high $300's would jump straight to the $500's.

I'd like to see it, just to see some old fashioned lotto fever.

By extrapolation of past behavior I crudely estimate jackpots of around 310-320M, then 380-400M and then 550-580M.

It could happen, probably won't, but could.

]]> Prob988 Reply #1 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887305 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722/887305 Tue, 28 Aug 2007 03:45:18 GMT Guru101 I'm still waiting for a $400M+ jackpot.

]]> Guru101 I'd estimate the probability of two more MM rollovers as being... https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722 https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/161722 Tue, 28 Aug 2007 03:39:58 GMT Prob988 ...somewhere around 16%.

The last 15th draw sold around 111M tickets, for a rollover probability of about 53%. The subsequent drawing, the sixteenth, sold around 212M tickets, for a rollover probability of about 30%. Carrying some insignificant figures through the calculation suggests a 16% of two more rollovers.

This is unlikely but more than barely possible. If so, it would almost certainly produce a $500M jackpot.

I don't think it will happen, but it could.

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