What hit rate percentage does your system have?

Reply #19

garyo1954 — Wed, 28 Jan 2009 23:19:41 GMT

Interesting question. It appears the answer is in determing how many sets you have to play.

For example, if a Pick 3 player in Texas plays 10 lines each draw at .50 box per line, all that is necessary to break even is a win every 8 draws, excluding doubles or triples. Even with a win ratio of 12.5%, you've invested $40 in those 8 days and have won $40 with one win.

Another extreme would be the person who plays .50 straight, ten lines a draw and wins 1 out of 8 drawings as well. He sti... [ More ]

Reply #18

js1237 — Sat, 27 Dec 2008 04:57:09 GMT

Hi mprober,

So what is the latest on your system? When will you have a profitable system and will you post it here? Thanks, JS...

Reply #17

RJOh — Mon, 06 Oct 2008 14:30:11 GMT

Even when a system gives you a win almost every time, spending $20 and winning a couple of dollars every time gets old after a while.

Reply #16

guesser — Mon, 06 Oct 2008 03:00:02 GMT

One thing that is really important that folks don't take into effect is, sometimes a 'system' will not give you anything worth playing for a particular drawing, so don't feel compelled that you MUST play every drawing.

I noticed this about 6 months ago, where I didn't have anything come up that fit, so I didn't play: and I have tracked those that I didn't play, and it was absolutely correct: I would have not won anything had I played. But in all fairness, there are games that I play because t... [ More ]

Reply #15

RJOh — Wed, 01 Oct 2008 13:55:19 GMT

While it's only $37 - until Midnight, * October 2, 2008 *

the ad should read

While it's only $37 - until Midnight, * tomorrow

Reply #14

time*treat — Wed, 01 Oct 2008 11:33:41 GMT

I'm going to check this link periodically and see if the price good only until date changes.

Reply #13

Stack47 — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 20:12:48 GMT

RJ, when I first saw the 44% I thought maybe he did mean hit ratio because the poll is about hit rate percentage until I did the math. By playing $1 boxes on non-matching combinations in a pick-4 game, a 44% hit ratio would give you a $8700 profit on every $100 bet.

In Pick-3 and pick-4 games half the digits are odd and half the digits are even and expected results based on probability is that in 100 drawings, the first digit should be odd about 50 times and the even about 50 times. The games... [ More ]

Reply #12

diamondpalace — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 15:33:50 GMT

Yes, it is actually higher, not much I would say. With the pre-tests I can only test 1 system at a time, with 50 numbers limit. Currently I am using and testing other's systems as well.

Reply #11

diamondpalace — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 15:30:19 GMT

Oops, I ment prize ratio. The hit percentage as you can see is very very low.

Reply #10

pumpi76 — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 14:06:31 GMT

i remember reading a system by an australian man, who won the Australian lotto 2 times or 3 i can't remember...And he was basically saying that with the right wheels you had a better chance at hitting the big jackpot by playing and trying to hit multiples lower tier prizes....

i found them with these books: snip Edited - don't post spam

Reply #9

pumpi76 — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 13:54:01 GMT

As low percentage hit rate you system have be proud of it because remember if it wasn't for pre-test, your system percentage might have been higher...

Reply #8

RJOh — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 13:44:30 GMT

diamondpalace: Statistics Summary

Summary

Statistic Current Month Last Month Current Year Last Year Lifetime

Picks 33,143 10 33,369 0 33,369

Hits 85 0 86 0 86

Hit Ratio 0.26% 0.00% 0.26% 0.00% 0.26%

Winnings $14,800 $0 $14,840 $0 $14,840

Prize Ratio 44.65% 0.00% 44.47% 0.00% 44.47%

Stack, are you figuring the stats the same way as LP

Reply #7

Stew12 — Tue, 30 Sep 2008 01:41:32 GMT

My CT Cash 5 system has been the most beneficial of my systems over the past few months. According to the stats page it has a 96.77% prize ratio, with a 3.23% hit ratio. I'm very happy with that.

Reply #6

Stack47 — Mon, 29 Sep 2008 23:48:47 GMT

Hit ratios (on the LP predictions) are determined by dividing the number of hits by the number of bets and creates a hit percentages . A hit ratio of 44.65% would mean you have 4465 winning tickets out of every 10,000 tickets you play. The lowest payoff on a $1 bet in pick-4 games is $200 on a box bet. Base on hit ratio your system is getting back at the least $893,000 for every $10,000 you wager. A 1% hit ratio in pick-4 games means you're getting back at least $200 for every $100 you bet.

H... [ More ]

Reply #5

diamondpalace — Mon, 29 Sep 2008 06:30:56 GMT

Well, I am testing my system at the moment. Pick 4 games. Right now it is at 44.65% hit rate.

Reply #4

rcbbuckeye — Sun, 28 Sep 2008 13:26:10 GMT

What's a hit rate percentage??????

Mine is so low it can be measured! LOL

Reply #3

BobP — Sun, 28 Sep 2008 05:14:23 GMT

For Pick-3/4 it has to play at a profit because there is nothing else to look forward to.

For Pick-5/6/7 lower tier prize wins don't really matter except to lower the overall playing cost while we wait to win the big one. Winning 3 and 4 number prizes are not an indicator we're on the path to a jackpot.

BobP

Reply #2

pacattack05 — Sun, 28 Sep 2008 04:34:24 GMT

I picked 10 percent.

There was a horse racing system I bought that showed the reader NOT how to grow rich over night, but a long term, 5 year retirement plan. He had a system that guaranteed a win, 80 percent of the time, at only a 10 percent gain each time, but compounded.

Now, if we could only do the same with the lottery.

10 percent might not seem a lot at first, but patience and self control will pay off in the long run.

Over the years, I've seen so many folks come on here looki... [ More ]

Reply #1

RJOh — Sat, 27 Sep 2008 21:22:04 GMT

It all depends on the number of lines played and the game played. Most pick5 games are designed to give up a winning ticket (matching 2of5) every 10 lines or so which usually pays $1 or a free ticket, so a 10% hit percentage is within the normal odds of winning something regardless of how the combinations are picked.

For system players, any system that's within his budget that improves his overall odds of winning is worth trying. Such system may exist but no one is coming forward and proving... [ More ]

What hit rate percentage does your system have?

mprober — Sat, 27 Sep 2008 20:11:09 GMT

I'm trying to tweak my system but I don't know what hit rate would be acceptable to settle for.