How to calculate "HITS" based on a numbers hit dates?

Reply #9

SergeM — Tue, 03 Apr 2012 11:23:27 GMT

HINT: average number of not drawn in endless time: '999'

You have a dice with 1000 faces! You get [500 - bet] when you are right.

If you pay 50% of the combinations and you will have guessed right,

then you didn't win anything.

Reply #8

time*treat — Tue, 03 Apr 2012 05:45:27 GMT

Is there something that would have predicted those outlier numbers?

If you add the heights of every person, you can calculate an average height -- yet relatively few real people will be that height. The outliers tell you where the limits are. You also aren't getting any/many repeats.

Reply #7

Googler — Tue, 03 Apr 2012 05:36:24 GMT

I understand sorting this list from low to high. 384 + 465 + 398 + 9 + 51 + 139 + 62 + 155 + 92 + 20 I'm not sure if I should remove the outlier numbers like 9, 465, 398 because they will skew my result. There are several solutions to will give me a hit date, I just don't know which way would be the correct method.

1) I remove the outliers.

2) Include numbers that aren't outliers, for a total of 10. I add, then divide the 10 to arrive at a suggested hit date.

Reply #6

Googler — Tue, 03 Apr 2012 05:18:03 GMT

Sorry, I don't know about skips.

Draws between Draws is used on another site. Say that 234 hits today and again in 10 days. That 10 days is 20 Draws between Draws. The sit list each time that a number hits by Draws between Draws, and other ways. Being that the hit date varies, I was trying to decide if I should remove the outlier number to predict the next hit date. After I convert 10 Draws between Draws into days, I put the days into a Date Calculator on the web. This method gives you a sugg... [ More ]

Reply #5

BlueDuck — Mon, 02 Apr 2012 04:26:00 GMT

OK. Sequence of next hits something like this: 716 617 167 176 671 from 3-27-2012.

Reply #4

time*treat — Mon, 02 Apr 2012 00:29:10 GMT

Can be harder to calculate: you need to sort the list first

Harder than what? If you're clever enough to graph the data, you're clever enough to sort the data.

Not as well-known; when you say median , people may think you mean average

Not important. Hit your numbers a few times, people will learn whatever definitions they need to.

Reply #3

BlueDuck — Mon, 02 Apr 2012 00:02:47 GMT

Googler,

Made a graph of days, 0 to 1400 on the X-axis and Hits, 0 to 750 on the Y-axis to see if any patterns could be recognized, but no luck, with only 10 points to plot.

My math background not strong enough to answer your question but think a few more data points will be needed to make any useful predictions. What do you think

Reply #2

LottoBoner — Wed, 28 Mar 2012 05:05:49 GMT

interesting stuff... when you say draws between draws...do you mean skips? i think most people would categorize it as skips ...

i dont even really worry about the date i just look for a symmetric skip...using skip i cant remove outlier...if a skip of 100 occurred i would expect possibly a skip of 100 again...i do use dates as a timer though.

i suck at algebra.

Reply #1

Googler — Tue, 27 Mar 2012 23:55:39 GMT

This may be useful to someone. It seems that in math, the Median is used to remove outlier numbers.

Median

The median is the item in the middle . But doesn t the average (arithmetic mean) imply the same thing? What gives?

Humor me for a second: what s the middle of these numbers?

1, 2, 3, 4, 100

Well, 3 is the middle of the list. And although the average (22) is somewhere in the middle , 22 doesn t really represent the distribution. We re more likely to get a number close... [ More ]

How to calculate "HITS" based on a numbers hit dates?

Googler — Tue, 27 Mar 2012 20:13:45 GMT

Does anyone know how to calculate these Draws between draws to create a suggested hit date. I totaled the numbers, 384 + 465 + 398 + 9 + 51 + 139 + 62 + 155 + 92 + 20 and divided the total by 10. Converted the draws into days and months.

My question is how would you handle the outlier numbers like 384, 465, 9 and 20? Is there a better way using this data to create a hit date?

Number Draw Date How many draws ago Draws between draws Time between draws

716 Saturday, May 01, 201... [ More ]