Is Mega Millions paying ?? Or are the odds just too high?

Reply #15

Editgap — Mon, 09 Dec 2013 16:59:25 GMT

I don't know what everyone one else does or what the stats or perdictions they make, but i was an avid player and played almost every drawing for a decade, with all these changes I play about half the drawings because I don't care if I miss a drawing or two because going to buy my tickets, all I have in mind is I hope I get the bonus ball. It is good to have a billion-dollar jackpot for those who want to spend $1 for that jacpot, but you have to get the suckers who will fund it to that point and... [ More ]

Reply #14

sully16 — Sun, 08 Dec 2013 15:51:19 GMT

Way to high

Reply #13

kapla — Sat, 07 Dec 2013 13:22:08 GMT

Still no Jackpot..... the plot thickens....

Reply #12

DC81 — Mon, 02 Dec 2013 08:16:59 GMT

Well, it's close...

They slashed payouts for every sub-jackpot tier except the second which I'm sure that along with the massive odds increase (as if they weren't massive already) turned a lot of people off, also doesn't help that a lot less money is going into the jackpot thanks to the changes and it's rising slower than ever. The cash option is currently only 54% (rounded) of the annuity amount where as before it was up to 69% (rounded) and I think slightly higher at a point or two. Less... [ More ]

Reply #11

SergeM — Sun, 01 Dec 2013 21:06:52 GMT

https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/268180/3365742

Reply #10

kapla — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 21:43:14 GMT

WOW, could you imagine you WIN a BILLION dollar jackpot, BEFORE taxes...

Reply #9

Cupcake10 — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 16:32:59 GMT

The odds are just simply ridiculous

Reply #8

LottoMetro — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 16:18:43 GMT

MUSL jackpot estimation sheet issued yesterday. I get all my MM/PB projections from official sheets. That is their forecast for jackpot-contributing sales. Lately they have been over-estimating sales though, a couple of jackpots ago they didn't even have enough money to fund the advertised jackpot.

Reply #7

Jon D — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 16:15:50 GMT

Where do you get $46.5M projected sales? Is that including Megaplier sales? Megaplier does not contribute to the jackpot, nor does it increase chances.

Reply #6

LottoMetro — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 16:00:49 GMT

JonD, we all know there is a 0% chance of a winner in a previous draw but the lottery (or at least MUSL) looks at the cumulative probability this way (see point 2 at the bottom of any recent official Powerball jackpot estimate sheet...they call it cumulative coverage ).

Also, prior to 10/22 draw was the old MM matrix, a different game with different odds, so it does not make sense to include those draws.

No, you're right, but it is possible to include draws with different odds because th... [ More ]

Reply #5

Jon D — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 14:21:18 GMT

According to the Poisson cumulative probability distribution, if you include the non-winning draws before the matrix change there is about 84% chance of a winner in this draw or any of the previous ones.

Unless you've invented a time machine, there is 0% chance of a winner on previous draws!

The probability of having a winner for an upcoming draw is independent of past draws, and is based on projected sales. There is a probability of about 15% that there will be a winner on 12/3 based on... [ More ]

Reply #4

SergeM — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 11:01:38 GMT

When the jackpot is up to a billion, I will buy one, just one, online ticket somewhere on internet.

Reply #3

kapla — Sat, 30 Nov 2013 10:25:31 GMT

Great point! Its moving just as slow as ever, or maybe even slower.

Reply #2

LottoMetro — Fri, 29 Nov 2013 21:38:05 GMT

According to the Poisson cumulative probability distribution, if you include the non-winning draws before the matrix change there is about 84% chance of a winner in this draw or any of the previous ones. Really not that significant. Sales have not really increased after the change, and with odds of more than double the prior matrix likewise it will take longer before there is a winner.

Honestly, I don't understand the fanfare with the previous $205 million and current $230 million jackpots. L... [ More ]

Reply #1

RJOh — Fri, 29 Nov 2013 21:21:55 GMT

With five 5+0 winners the last drawing and only 15 possible megaballs, can there still be any doubt about there being a MM jackpot winner in the near future

Is Mega Millions paying ?? Or are the odds just too high?

kapla — Fri, 29 Nov 2013 21:09:04 GMT

There have been NO JACKPOT winners yet. I count 12 2nd place wins and 1 BONUS 2nd place win since the change of the game. While Powerball has had multiple jackpot winners, and 2 times as many 2nd place wins in the same amount of time.

So are the ODDS just too high? I kinda think they may be, I am wondering if we WILL see a jackpot winner? Or if it will just grow grow with no winner...