SmartFactor analysis for Florida

Reply #6

MeintooL — Mon, 21 Aug 2017 16:43:39 GMT

BTW SS,

I noticed the newish $30.00 200x ticket is not included in your list, It has been out for a while now and no one has hit a 15mill top prize yet, but all other tickets that were released on the same day have had jackpot winners, is this not a good ticket to play?

Actually just noticed the $20.00 10mill Gold ticket isnt included either, been out for a while and only 1 top prize has been won same deal with this ticket

Reply #5

MeintooL — Mon, 21 Aug 2017 16:33:08 GMT

Thanks ScratchSmarter, your awesome! I knew the High roller ticket was a good one to play and ive been palying it quite a bit, I thought the $25 Granite state gold was a good one to buy but apparently I was wrong!

Thanks again very much

Reply #4

uwnups — Tue, 15 Aug 2017 22:04:51 GMT

Hey SS can u do florida again for 8- 11 ty

Reply #3

ScratchSmarter — Tue, 15 Aug 2017 17:34:30 GMT

Here's MASS as of 8-11-17

MASS is MUCH MUCH Harder to calculated because they're very inconsistent with their data and their reporting, but we try to stay on top of them as much as possible.

STATE OVERALL_RANK PRICE GAME_NAME GAME_NUMBER FACTOR

MA 1 $30.00 Games World Class Millions 2014 6 98720 00488 2 3.365

MA 2 $10.00 Games $4,000,000 Winfall 2015 6 98720 005 90 2 2.025

MA 3 $10.00 Games Hit $1,000! 2016 6 98720 16 122 6 2.025

MA 4 $10.00 Games 100x the Cash 20... [ More ]

Reply #2

ScratchSmarter — Tue, 15 Aug 2017 17:31:57 GMT

Honestly, it isn't easy to calculate. You end up having to build a database of all games over time. We've been doing this for all US lotteries since 2011 - so our database is pretty deep and consistently updated.

Here's the analysis for NH. I'll Post MASS next.

STATE OVERALL_RANK PRICE GAME_NAME GAME_NUMBER FACTOR

NH 1 $5.00 Games High Roller 1305 4.144

NH 2 $2.00 Games The WIZARD of OZ 1285 4.018

NH 3 $5.00 Games Double Sided Dollars 1335 4.015

NH 4 $2.00 Games Huntin... [ More ]

Reply #1

MeintooL — Tue, 15 Aug 2017 02:14:39 GMT

Hey scratchsmarter!!

Is it possible to get a list for NH and MASS? Love your lists, wish I knew how to determine how many tickets are left in the game, aside from multiplying the $1k prizes by the original odds of $1k prizes for a rough approximation, I'm at a loss. Whether or not you can provide an updated list for the 2 states I mentioned, thanks anyway

SmartFactor analysis for Florida

ScratchSmarter — Thu, 03 Aug 2017 19:53:09 GMT

A few have ask for this, so here is the ScratchSmarter analysis for FL as of 7/21/17:

Read this to help understand this analysis:

1) This is statistical analysis based on data that the FL lottery sends us through a freedom of information request for a FL instant game liability report - this is detailed data that they DO NOT publish on their website.

Yes - you'll have a hard time finding the very best games listed because:

2) the lottery will 'pull games' from circulation early (and e... [ More ]