how to use bayes theory in the lottery?

Reply #30

adobea78 — Mon, 30 Apr 2018 03:45:00 GMT

Bayesian concept is simply apportioning probability ratios to a parameter(target of your data analysis), but finding the PRIOR is the challenge. You need the PRIOR to adjust the CURRENT state. Lets say your current state of string 1237 is the ratio 0.47, with new draw(additional data), how do you adjust or calculate the current ratio of 1237 or any string for that matter

Reply #29

Spot9 — Sun, 29 Apr 2018 01:21:44 GMT

Hi,

I wonder if a PNN could be useful in classifying patterns in lottery

as it is a type of Bayes' classifier.

See the bottom of this page.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_neural_network

Spot9

Reply #28

dr san — Fri, 27 Apr 2018 19:20:18 GMT

ok EDD, thank you

Reply #27

eddessaknight — Fri, 27 Apr 2018 16:14:06 GMT

Bayes' Theorem the maths tool we probably use every day, but what is it?

Bayes' Theorem explained

by Mike Lee And Benedict King, The Conversation

~With Compliments

FYI Intriguing, broke the enigma code, worthwhile reading.....

Pro Player FairGame Avocatus

Eddessa_Knight with Bayes' Light

https://phys.org/news/2017-04-bayes-theoremthe-maths-tool-day.html

Bayes' Theorem the maths tool we probably use every day, but what is it?

phys.org

Our world... [ More ]

Reply #26

sherikoko — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 22:59:48 GMT

Thanks Soledad i will be watching how did you get to those numbers

Reply #25

dr san — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 17:11:00 GMT

Hello, ok, is to mount small arrays of 3 to 4 rows and columns

In each row and column a different pattern so that when

Cross line x column (Cartesian) join two patterns, which intersect with another small matrix

We will have in 16 lines, a line with the 4 basic patterns to begin to see the filters

From this reference, because each pattern alone is nothing, but crossing helps a lot

Reply #24

Soledad — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 16:59:22 GMT

877- 292, 29, 22

836- 266, 26,66

-* mind you MN pick3 drawings are computerized, and this formula is based on gravity, i.e. gravity mix machines air ball machines etc, so I can t really say much about that, NY is 100% true lottery drawings, which is why imo it works well in NY. But suggest perhaps just watch and see. Or if you can look back at the previous 877 and 836 drawings and see if any of those pairs did show up. It s tough to say with computerized drawings as I don t play in or with... [ More ]

Reply #23

sherikoko — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 16:23:39 GMT

4/26/18 - 877

4/25/18 - 836

Look like MN is the only state that is hard to crack.

Reply #22

Soledad — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 13:57:14 GMT

I think matching more than one pattern is a very good idea. It does work very well. For instance, My post This is one if my systems from last year, creates 6 numbers 1 of which I expect to show in the month, then it creates 6 extra subsets of numbers based on the numbers actually drawn. It s not profitable by any means if you play all the numbers all the time, but when matched with pairs for instance from that gravitational constant formula, I can narrow down and eliminate much easier. In Januar... [ More ]

Reply #21

dr san — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 10:32:41 GMT

Hello, SOLEDAD. what do you think of creating an array of patterns and then crossing Cartesian type? You will always have the union of two patterns then where you would have numbers

Have standards, in the 1st matrix two to two join with the 2nd matrix we will have the union of 4 basic patterns.

Reply #20

Soledad — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 01:48:46 GMT

I would post a system but 1000 numbers it would take forever for me to just do. I haven t done it yet, as it s only a year old since I discovered.

Reply #19

Soledad — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 01:41:33 GMT

But seriously just give me a number

Reply #18

Soledad — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 01:40:25 GMT

I would love to, but it s really good. I ll have to learn about you tbh. Give me a number, I ll tell you something to watch out for. People like to claim paranoia over here like people are watching or something. Look I ve looked backed decades, it s very consistent. Give me a pick3 number I ll tell ya the answer. With all the computer algorithms these days who s to tell who can say. IMHO

*I use it with an existing way that I ve used for years. Like I said I like dividing, adding, multiplying

Reply #17

sherikoko — Thu, 26 Apr 2018 01:24:56 GMT

Hi Soledad,

Can you explain how you use the gravitational constant formula 6.67408 (x) 10^(-11) how does it work

Reply #16

dr san — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 17:19:16 GMT

Hello, ok on pick3 we have the pattern of 67% repeat a digit but not in the position

It was the example that showed there was repetition of the digit 1, but not in the position

Let's try to cross, repetitions and bayes

Reply #15

Soledad — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 13:15:08 GMT

Hey drsan, I m sorry but I have just used this for pick3, as I am mostly a pick3 player; unless the win4 mixes into the pick3, which it does from time to time.

Take another example from NY. The 441 draw that happened.

-2ln(1000)+30ln(441) = 168. Well 441 came April 17th evening, and April 18th evening 816 came.

Of course some will say oh just happenstance, that s not what that is used for, but still the 168 or 816 came right after the 441 on the evening side. So to me it can be helpful... [ More ]

Reply #14

dr san — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 09:11:49 GMT

hello SOLEDAD lotery 42/14

http://www.mediafire.com/file/w3so53mq7pi9299/lottery_42_-_14.xlsx

Reply #13

Soledad — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 02:01:22 GMT

-2 (times) ln of 1000 ( for the amount of possible combinations ) plus 30 for the amount of balls used for the combinations and then times ln (times) the last result

like I said I improvised, and it s not really what the formula is for. As others would probably disagree with my thinking. But I used that basic foundation which was created by Bayes. I liked what I saw.

problem I find with using things like this though are how to interpret the results. For instance perhaps all answers will ha... [ More ]

Reply #12

Soledad — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 01:57:23 GMT

Tell me which lottery. The name so I can understand

Reply #11

dr san — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 01:56:02 GMT

how would you use the formula, in my lottery it's 01 to 42 with 14

We have 42 numbers where it is drawn 14 or 42/14

How to use your formula in 42/14? Please

Reply #10

Soledad — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 01:44:30 GMT

No drsan. Sorry. The formula well the part that I used was

I improvised or just played around with it until I liked what I saw. There was a time when I was into trying to learn about him due to thinking about probability. I wished I understood him more. Or could use his work more.

Also the gravitaional constant formula 6.67408 (x) 10^(-11) is what I m working with now. It shows pairs like crazy. Like crazy. But it s really how you use it with the results.

I like multiplying and divid... [ More ]

Reply #9

dr san — Mon, 23 Apr 2018 01:19:07 GMT

SOLEDAD, do you have this formula in excel of bayes? predicting

for the next sweepstakes

Reply #8

Soledad — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 23:42:49 GMT

-2ln(1000)+30ln(#)

This is how I tricked it. It has been a while though. I think that is the way I did it. Perhaps there s a plus sign missing. Adding the answers as well show interest. For instance take 524 as the #. The answer was 174. 524 on the 10th. 741 on the 20th.

Reply #7

dr san — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 21:05:46 GMT

Ok, RAVEM we can use artificial intelligence to see the frequency or repetition cycle

Of numbers and digits and try to apply bayes theory

Reply #6

Raven62 — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 20:14:56 GMT

In probability theory and statistics, Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule, also written as Bayes's theorem) describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem

Reply #5

realtorjim — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 19:23:27 GMT

Would the difference be acceptance of likelihood versus determined outcome

Reply #4

Soledad — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 19:13:03 GMT

Information criterion is interesting. To say the least. Use it with whatever model you re using. It may work. To your delight. Perhaps maybe. Why not; Bayesian modeling. He was quite smart.

Reply #3

Raven62 — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:51:52 GMT

Is that different than Baysian Statistics

Reply #2

dr san — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 17:46:50 GMT

intersection of statistics

Reply #1

Raven62 — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 14:47:34 GMT

What do you suggest: Bayesian Modeling

how to use bayes theory in the lottery?

dr san — Sun, 22 Apr 2018 14:01:11 GMT

how to use bayes theory in the lottery