My Method: A linear congruential generator picker

Reply #18

mitachoo — Tue, 06 Aug 2019 11:50:10 GMT

After many hours of testing the crap out of various scenarios, unfortunately I ve concluded that, for my states Pick 3 at least, using an LCG does not afford any improvement over random play in terms of narrowing down the field of play for the next drawing. It s almost like random is REALLY random!

Here s a brief summary of what I looked at. By the way, I ran my simulations for only one set of LCG parameters, it s the set of parameters on Wikipedia s LCG page, Number 15 or 16 in their table

Reply #17

mitachoo — Sun, 14 Jul 2019 04:30:54 GMT

Of all the #$!!**

I was getting wacky results from my VBA program and after several days of de-bugging, I finally found the culprit . . . I had several equations typed-in backwards ! It was in the subroutine that calculates the average error and standard deviation between X1 values for a given Seed Increment versus the actual draws .

I went through and re-checked all my subroutines and I'm good, so I'm back in business and testing various scenarios.

Reply #16

garyo1954 — Sat, 13 Jul 2019 03:49:44 GMT

I'll be the first to tell you, DO NOT GIVE UP!

Sit back and think of your idea and see if there is another path you're missing. Forcing a square peg in a round hole never works out right.

Good Luck!

G

Reply #15

mitachoo — Sat, 13 Jul 2019 02:57:07 GMT

garyo1954, I'm still testing the crap out of this, and this phrase from your post sums up what I found so far: The bigger problem is your 4 digit combination. Just because you find the highest producing set doesn't guarantee its are going to hit .

What you've stated is exactly what I've found so far. For example, for a given two year (730 draw) window for Connecticut Pick 3, and a given M, A, and C, I identify a list of the best Seeds, i.e. the Seeds that produce the most exact matches when e... [ More ]

Reply #14

garyo1954 — Wed, 10 Jul 2019 02:02:49 GMT

That's true Allen. Knowing the game and history of the game keeps the player from stepping in a lot of potholes.

There was once a guy whose entire system was playing every combination of 30s. Naturally in a 5/35 there are only six sets from 30, 31, 32, 33, 34 to 31, 32, 33, 34, 35.

It is the perfect plan (on the opposite end of playing 1,2,3,4,5,6).

The only thing that spoils the plan is if a number starting with 30 or 31 doesn't hit. And through the first 6606 draws it hasn't, g... [ More ]

Reply #13

AllenB — Tue, 09 Jul 2019 19:51:57 GMT

Seams like no matter what or where you numbers are derived from, you still go back to the Draw History before the Final Out Put.

With regard to all Jackpot or Pick 5 of 35+ Game the Draw History is very short compared to the number of possible draws. About the Only Sure Thing is that you do not want to pick a combination that has already been drawn. I have not looked at the History but I am Guessing you could apply the same thing to a 4 Number Sequence and find that you do not want to repeat

Reply #12

garyo1954 — Tue, 09 Jul 2019 18:58:54 GMT

A linear congruential generator (LCG) is an algorithm that yields a sequence of pseudo-randomized numbers calculated with a discontinuous piecewise linear equation. The method represents one of the oldest and best-known pseudorandom number generator algorithms.[1] The theory behind them is relatively easy to understand, and they are easily implemented and fast, especially on computer hardware which can provide modulo arithmetic by storage-bit truncation.

RNG, PRNG, LCG basically the same t... [ More ]

Reply #11

AntonisCh — Tue, 09 Jul 2019 13:15:28 GMT

Thanks for your remark!

(and thank you all for your comments)

I understand it is really difficult to elaborate on this and make it clear.

But I will try as this is the essence of my method:

Let's focus on this claim:

If we know just FOUR numbers: MULTIPLIER, SUMMAND, BASE and SEED I can produce with my formula above a pseudorrandom sequence of numbers.

Do we all agree with that?

Forget for a moment your lottery game.

Just think that there are infinite quadruple... [ More ]

Reply #10

lakerben — Fri, 05 Jul 2019 04:21:23 GMT

I read back in the 90's a farmer in Texas put a piece of paper with all the lottery numbers on it. He put the paper outside his chicken coop and watched the chicken poke several holes in the paper . He used the holes to select his numbers and won millions.

Random generator

Reply #9

mitachoo — Thu, 04 Jul 2019 20:31:51 GMT

I don't know if anyone is still doing anything with this, but I've been plugging away at an LCG-based system. I'm not ready to report anything yet, I'm stuck in development hell where in the midst of my Excel VBA programming, I'll go down a rabbit hole and waste HOURS trying to fix something stupid ( why is my progress tracker not updating? WTF

Reply #8

mitachoo — Mon, 10 Jun 2019 08:11:47 GMT

OK, I figured out the big number thing and I was able to test ALL the parameters in common use listed at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_congruential_generator#Parameters_in_common_use. Assuming a window of 1 draw (i.e. the previous draw is used as the seed and we extrapolate forward for 1 draw), and further assuming we limit play to only +/- 10 from the number the LCG spits out (21 picks total), 2 years of backtesting for Connecticut's Pick 3 yields the ROIs listed below. Item 2 (m = 2^32,... [ More ]

Reply #7

lakerben — Sun, 09 Jun 2019 23:57:09 GMT

Nice!

I'll be waiting for your program so I can test.

Reply #6

mitachoo — Sun, 09 Jun 2019 21:34:20 GMT

Well, looks like the window size is irrelevant, the measured error is nearly the same from small to large windows. Plan to look at a) use of other seeds, and b) other values of m.

Reply #5

mitachoo — Sun, 09 Jun 2019 19:50:56 GMT

Adobea78, I've been working an Excel VBA Macro to do some backtesting for Pick 3 along your line of thinking. I'm using LCG numbers from a list of Parameters In Common Use I found on Wikipedia (m = 134456, a = 8121, and c = 28411), using the previous draw as the seed, and testing different draw history windows.

For example, my testing of a 7 draw window goes something like this: Where Draw #1 is the draw I'm trying to predict, Draws #2 through #8 are the 7 draws of history I'm using, and Draw... [ More ]

Reply #4

adobea78 — Sun, 09 Jun 2019 19:02:26 GMT

Let's start.

What is a linear congruential generator?

Well is a simple method to produce pseudorandom number sequences. Meaning, it is a formula that you can use to get a series of numbers that they LOOK like random BUT they are not. They are PREDICTABLE as long as we know the exact parameters of the formula.

What I am using is this:

(NEXT NUMBER IN SEQUENCE)=((MULTIPLIER*PREVIOUS NUMBER IN SEQUENCE)+SUMMAND) MOD BASE

Ok, so how I start as the first number has no previous...

Reply #3

garyo1954 — Mon, 13 May 2019 15:13:40 GMT

BUT! Assume that another fellow somewhere in the universe participates in his/her local lottery and until now has observed the SAME draws history as you.

This alone negates your idea. If no draw could be the same, than that guy on Jupiter (or wherever) wouldn't be working with the same draw history, therefore wouldn't arrive at the same next draw.

Simply put, since no future draw could be the same, none of the past draws (which were future draws at one time) could be the same either.... [ More ]

Reply #2

PREDICTOR 2019 — Fri, 10 May 2019 20:39:35 GMT

after 84 and 82 =8 4=32 8 2=16 3216 then 3and6=9 and 1and2=3 won 93 yestarday night last results 96 and 27 then 9 6=54 and 7 2=14 5414 then 5and 4=9 and 4 and 1=7 then 79 today last result 82 and 93 8 2=16 and 9 3=27. 1627 6and 2=4 , 7and 1=4 44 for tomight last result 27 and 79 2 7=14 and 7 9=63 [1463] =4and 6=0-2 -8 1and 3=2-8-4 combined [04-24-84-02-22-43-48-88-82-28-08 ]crossing [39-33-73-37-71-17-15-51-57-75. []751 ] tonight with florida lottery

Reply #1

cottoneyedjoe — Fri, 10 May 2019 17:33:25 GMT

As you say,

ANY method will fail, UNLESS your prediction IS NOT based on your lottery history

but what you are describing (retrofitting a modular linear recursion to the data) necessarily uses the lottery history, so, by your own words it should fail to predict the right numbers. Nevertheless, it sounds like a fun math/programming project. I suspect you will feel too boxed-in with only four parameters and eventually increase the number. When you complete it I'm sure there will be people... [ More ]

My Method: A linear congruential generator picker

AntonisCh — Fri, 10 May 2019 10:13:20 GMT

Hi all,

I am watching quietly LP for a long time now and I am an active researcher in lottery subjects.

Have done all the usual drills, such as passing from neural nets to ARIMA models and from statistical methods to randomizers...

A brief conclusion so far from me: The main reason these methods fail is simple, known and let me put it in a simple yet intuitive way which will help me later to present my latest finding:

(useful remark: for practical reasons I will refer to a 5/45 Lotte... [ More ]