Pick 3 Repeat Probability

Reply #13

cottoneyedjoe — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 21:53:49 GMT

Sanny, I'm not downloading your spreadsheets, making drawings, or working on your planilias. Best of luck with your project.

Reply #12

dr san — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 19:05:39 GMT

hello cotoney, this planilia already has the formula, you can place new drawings, it will do automatically, it is

select and drag, you can place sweepstakes from any American state, exchange them and put new ones, cotoney, well now you need to find a way to see the patterns delayed in a certain number of sweepstakes starting from the last one.

ex = the default 101 is delayed, that is, to see the frequency of the patterns, can you put this feature? please

Reply #11

dr san — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 18:46:57 GMT

hello= cottoney=

http://www.mediafire.com/file/adg00wmhoyuxs1z/3_padroes_repetidos.xlsx/file

Reply #10

dr san — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 18:32:15 GMT

repeat table or not at 100%

repeat pattern = worth 0 0

do not repeat voucher = 1 1

defaults are odd / even

always from last to next

the list is an example I will put lots of draws on pick3, the macro has automatic

0 0 0

0 0 1

0 1 0

0 1 1

1 0 0

1 0 1

1 1 0

1 1 1

Reply #9

lottologix — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 18:05:40 GMT

I do agree with you. I find probability very interesting in its own right. However

being we are on lottery post I also think alot of people are approaching the idea

of probability with that low hanging fruit in mind how will this help me pick winning lottery numbers? .

In my post I was trying to point out that I find it very interesting how the idea

of repeat probability sort of points to patterns in numbers and how it can have many

rabbit holes in this train of thought. Which cou... [ More ]

Reply #8

dr san — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 17:49:12 GMT

ok, good job, don't repeat the same

position from the last draw we can create a filter, since when you repeat in position, you can use direct, we can also see the probabilities of repeating and not repeating even / odd patterns = 0,2,4,6,8

odd = 1,3,5,7,9

ex = 456 = last

263 = next

default for valley = 0

odd = 1

last draw = 456 = 010

last 263 = 001

repeated the even pattern in the 1st position,

then we can see in excel the repetition of the digit

and also standar... [ More ]

Reply #7

cottoneyedjoe — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 16:02:27 GMT

Thank you dr san. The probabilities I worked out are for repeats in any position -- same position and different position. I didn't break it down further than that. If you want a more granular analysis of repeats in pick 3, you would have to work out the probabilities of 9 outcomes:

0 digits repeating

1 digit repeating (same pos.)

1 digit repeating (diff. pos.)

2 digits repeating (both diff. pos.)

2 digits repeating (1 same pos., 1 diff. pos.)

2 digits repeating (both same pos.... [ More ]

Reply #6

cottoneyedjoe — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 15:41:35 GMT

You're correct that this won't help you pick winning numbers, but then again, nobody was promoting this probability analysis as a system or method to pick lottery numbers.

These math findings are of general interest, and this is the mathematics forum. I like that Todd has provided a place for people to discuss purely mathematical topics without the expectation that everything be in service of answering the question how will this help me pick winning lottery numbers? Some things are interestin... [ More ]

Reply #5

dr san — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 11:13:15 GMT

hello cottoney, great job on the odds percentages,

can you calculate the value of the probabilities of the pick3 positions? example

478 = last draw

726 = next

repeated a digit, but not in the same position,

so the question for pick3, calculate the probability of pick3 of a digit not repeating in the same position as the last draw? please

we could create a filter at the next not repeat the position

Reply #4

lottologix — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 09:17:03 GMT

I see what you're saying. In my backtests I have found these percentages to have

a range but fit the general percents over a range of draws. For example.........

In pick 3 mixed numbers come out about 70ish percent of the time. Doubles around 20

ish percent. Triples in the neighbourhood of 10ish percent. If you look at this at

say over 730 draws you will see the overall percents kinda fit most of the time.

But while the percents do workout.In actual game play you could wind up wai... [ More ]

Reply #3

cottoneyedjoe — Wed, 29 Apr 2020 05:44:46 GMT

Just to be thorough...

Pick 1

0 digits repeating: 90%

1 digit repeating: 10%

avg: 0.1 repeating digits

Pick 2

0 digits repeating: 65.7%

1 digit repeating: 32.4%

2 digits repeating: 1.9%

avg: 0.362 repeating digits

Pick 3

0 digits repeating: 39.249%

1 digit repeating: 47.790%

2 digits repeating: 12.447%

3 digits repeating: 0.514%

avg: 0.74226 repeating digits

Pick 4

0 digits repeating: 19.55025%

1 digit repeating: 45.60840%

2 digits re... [ More ]

Reply #2

KyngeRycharde — Tue, 28 Apr 2020 14:21:28 GMT

Thanks for posting the info. It would appear that this pretty much confirms that one should include one digit from the last draw when selecting a number to play. This would result, I would think, in playing anywhere from 3-9 lines, depending on where the possible repeating digit is placed in a matrix---first, second or third position.

Kynge

Reply #1

cottoneyedjoe — Tue, 28 Apr 2020 04:46:52 GMT

Pretty cool, Kynge Rycharde. I wrote a script to generate the overall percentages for all Pick3 combos, be they singles, doubles, or triples. I got

0 digits repeating: 39.249%

1 digit repeating: 47.79%

2 digits repeating: 12.447%

3 digits repeating: 0.514%

avg: 0.74226 repeating digits

Pick 3 Repeat Probability

KyngeRycharde — Sat, 25 Apr 2020 05:06:33 GMT

Greetings everyone:

Assuming a number that is drawn has three unique digits, the probability that at least one number will repeat is 65.7%, and if the number is a double, the probability is 48.8%.

But, I got to wondering, what is the probability that EXACTLY one number would repeat?

Because of the situation with COVID-19, and with plenty of time to kill, I sat down for a couple of hours, and tried to work it out, just to have something to do. I don't know if this information would be of... [ More ]