Mega million lottery and probability theory

Reply #11

scorpio45 — Mon, 15 Mar 2021 17:49:13 GMT

ok ty,i've been watching balls drawn for 50 yrs,.but they come out at bottom,we cant see if they have 5 balls in back pre planned to come out.11pm drawings ,we have to have our picks by 10:45 so they have time to put out certain balls in areas they choose or people they choose.

Reply #10

comped — Sun, 14 Mar 2021 20:08:43 GMT

I enjoyed reading your observations. Thank you very much.

I agree with some of the comments made and would like to add that the numbers balls do not have memory and set algorithm to follow. Therefore, all the system and/or calculation we propose will only lead to failure (I hope I am wrong). However, it is the feeling that I might win is driving me to guess the next combination(s) and buy another ticket(3). I hired 2 mathematicians and they gave up on me. I do think there are factors I should... [ More ]

Reply #9

KY Floyd — Thu, 25 Feb 2021 00:54:35 GMT

there are numbers that are more and less likely to be chosen, provided that all balls have equal opportunities.

Say what, now? If all of the balls have equal opportunities to be drawn how are some of the numbers (on the balls) more or less likely to be chosen

Reply #8

njlotmak — Fri, 19 Feb 2021 16:10:16 GMT

it is not the balls that win, but the combination of the numbers drawn, but the balls and the coin tossed and the dice all equally obey the laws of probability theory, unless, for example, one face of the dice is made a little heavier, then the probability that the opposite face after the drop of the dice will be visible (the winning one), with balls the same. At each position of the drawn combination of numbers, there are numbers that are more and less likely to be chosen, provided that all bal... [ More ]

Reply #7

KY Floyd — Fri, 19 Feb 2021 05:09:10 GMT

the graph of the probability density of the normal distribution.

You mean that graph that looks a lot like a bell curve? The graph that shows that some random events happen more often than others? Is that the one you're talking about

Reply #6

rcbbuckeye — Fri, 19 Feb 2021 03:35:16 GMT

They don't use RNG for Mega Millions or Powerball. They use numbered balls.

Watch a video of a draw.

Reply #5

cottoneyedjoe — Fri, 19 Feb 2021 02:59:16 GMT

Did you account for the fact that the numbers of white balls and gold balls has changed several times over the past 10+ years?

Starting Date Pick 5 White Balls From Field of Pick 1 Gold (Mega) Ball From Field of Jackpot odds

September 6, 1996 50 25 1: 52,969,000

January 13, 1999 50 36 1: 76,275,360

May 15, 2002 52 52 1: 135,145,920

June 22, 2005 56 46 1: 175,711,536

October 19, 2013 75 15 1: 258,890,850

October 28, 2017 70 25 1: 302,575,350

This is copi... [ More ]

Reply #4

scorpio45 — Thu, 18 Feb 2021 19:11:52 GMT

i dont think it's a random draw nowadays with computers.

Reply #3

njlotmak — Thu, 18 Feb 2021 16:02:24 GMT

This is a bad example, try to get to the heart of the matter. For this it is necessary to apply one of the most important functions of probability theory - the graph of the probability density of the normal distribution.

Reply #2

KY Floyd — Thu, 18 Feb 2021 05:59:19 GMT

perhaps I did not take into account something in my calculations.

Did you account for probability theory not saying that randomly selected numbers will be selected with identical frequency? Or that the numbers to select from haven't remained the same over the last 10 years? Or that what's being selected isn't even numbers, but labeled balls, and that even during periods when the possible labels have remained the same the balls themselves have been changed?

Among other things, that means t... [ More ]

Reply #1

Todd — Wed, 17 Feb 2021 21:13:19 GMT

Mega million lottery and probability theory

njlotmak — Wed, 17 Feb 2021 20:06:44 GMT

I would like to share with the forum participants the results of my observations of the mega million lottery draws.

After analyzing the results of the Mega Million lottery for more than 10 years, a strange tendency was noticed from the point of view of probability theory (Theory of probabilities is a branch of mathematics that studies random events, random variables, their properties and operations on them).

Some numbers appear much less often, as if they ignore the laws of probability the... [ More ]