Happy Days are here again

Reply #23

spencerjames — Mon, 06 Jun 2022 05:52:08 GMT

Thank you Cape. And yes, I agree that 2% is significant. So either I have just been having some bad luck or the lottery has pushed a good bit of the $500s to lower in the pack. But that wouldn't make sense. It's still +EV chasing the $500. I won $630 today. Not the greatest but still decent. First pack of the day was full pack and hit on ticket #028. Best win in a while. Second pack was on #027 when I arrived. It's not a machine I had ever seen chased before so I took a chance on it. #023 was $1... [ More ]

Reply #22

Cape $cratcher — Sun, 05 Jun 2022 07:08:38 GMT

Hmm, I'm no statistical expert but 2% of an entire population of books seems a significant sample to me.

As EV of course must be determined by planning for a median occurrence of wins ($500 and $100) getting significantly less than expected should, as you observe, raise significant questions.

Either way sounds like game will be nearly kaput by the time my cruise from Seattle comes around next month. Either way hope the remaining books you find are of the profit kind

Reply #21

spencerjames — Sun, 05 Jun 2022 04:51:17 GMT

On the other hand, I'm kind of looking forward to the end which is only about 4 weeks away. Once it gets to about 5400 five hundreds left (15%), this game will be over. It generally seems once they come out with a new game, everyone wants it and the retailers will ask for it over the ending game.

This time around has not been as good as round #1. Call it bad luck or whatever but it's been more work and less lucrative. I just can't make myself walk away from a +EV bet. And it is.

Today I ch... [ More ]

Reply #20

spencerjames — Sat, 14 May 2022 04:36:45 GMT

Really hoping they follow this up immediately with another one. This is the $30 cash blowout. Our $10 cash blowout is a continual game. When one ends, another one has already started to take it's place. Give me this game for another consecutive year and I'm seriously contemplating retirement.

Reply #19

spencerjames — Sat, 14 May 2022 04:32:29 GMT

It should by over by July 1st. $500 winners are cashing at about 275 per day consistently. It shows as 19,000 left and there will probably be 5000 left when the game is gone. So another 50 days I'm guessing. I am profiting $300-$700 every day. I am playing a lot more loosely this time and so far so good. Today, I checked a machine that I hadn't checked in a few days. It was on ticket #25 ( 4 tickets gone ). I hit the $500 on ticket #19. When it was out 2 years ago, I completely would not touch a... [ More ]

Reply #18

Cape $cratcher — Sat, 07 May 2022 07:32:09 GMT

Hmm...so if deliberately placed at the bottom of the pack that would upset the Buy paradigm entirely...would seem to mostly have to depend on remaining ticket count, which lucky for you can be had on the machines there.

Still think the game will be through before mid-July

Reply #17

spencerjames — Wed, 04 May 2022 03:21:40 GMT

IMO the lottery has placed the $500 more toward the bottom of the pack likely knowing some people are chasing the entire pack until they hit the $500. I know there are periods of just bad luck but for 3 weeks I barely broke even at this game. This after coming profit of over $10,000 during the first 2 weeks ( no lie ). But I did hit on ticket #29 today so it's getting back to normal.

Reply #16

Cape $cratcher — Wed, 04 May 2022 00:42:31 GMT

Interesting, yeah kind of hard to explain that anomaly as a random occurrence, but I suppose within the range of possibilities, perhaps? At least things are back more on track

Reply #15

spencerjames — Mon, 02 May 2022 00:23:01 GMT

No the pack recipe in the same. Most retailers sell the tickets starting with ticket #029 and last ticket is #000. Some go the other way but most count down. For a good three weeks it seemed like the $500 winner was between ticket 000 to ticket 005 on 90% of packs. I have begun to buy tickets as long as there are at least 20 tickets remaining and that seems to be working out very well. I literally chased down 7 fresh packs 1 day a couple weeks ago. And the $500 was ticket 000, 002, 017, 003, 000... [ More ]

Reply #14

Cape $cratcher — Fri, 22 Apr 2022 22:43:47 GMT

Do tell...did they change the pack recipe or something

Reply #13

spencerjames — Thu, 21 Apr 2022 21:31:06 GMT

Wow the lottery sure seems to be throwing a brutal curveball this time around

Reply #12

Cape $cratcher — Sat, 26 Mar 2022 08:45:07 GMT

So just FYI I don't see an image on your previous post

Reply #11

spencerjames — Fri, 25 Mar 2022 03:29:11 GMT

Reply #10

Cape $cratcher — Sat, 19 Mar 2022 02:11:32 GMT

Ok yes and makes sense...I forget how most states, unlike here in FL, don't order up a year's+ worth of tickets for most higher denomination games. We have 2 current $30 games; a ticket that's been around just over 2 years and now nearly sold out, and another that's been out a year and (surprise, sigh), 50% sold.

So if expected to be gone by early summer then I'll be too late, but that's probably just as well since if it was still going strong mid-summer and the focus of my time there I'm not... [ More ]

Reply #9

spencerjames — Thu, 17 Mar 2022 00:08:14 GMT

No problem. Im getting more than my fair share. Im guessing this game will be over by mid to late May. It only has 1 million tickets where the lions share $30 ticket has almost 4 million. I am just enjoying the blessing of its return while I can. Have done amazingly well this first 2 weeks. The $10 Cash Blowout ticket is a continual game, when one run ends, there is a new one starting. So I am hoping this $30 Cash Blowout game ends of being permanent as well, but that is doubtful. Have fun on yo... [ More ]

Reply #8

Cape $cratcher — Wed, 16 Mar 2022 01:15:56 GMT

That's not overly intuitive so thanks for those details - we're scheduled on a cruise from there this summer so will be good info in case I come across a machine (unless lol you work the port/pikes area...don't want to trample on your turf).

Reply #7

spencerjames — Sun, 13 Mar 2022 07:28:20 GMT

Well they don't display it, but if you click on the game it shows the pay table and there is an I in italics on that page which stands for information I'm pretty sure. You click on that and it shows game rules and some other stuff then down at the bottom of that page it shows tickets remaining available for that pack.

Reply #6

Cape $cratcher — Fri, 11 Mar 2022 22:19:34 GMT

Good times there indeed! Yep I see it listed now too.

For sure sounds like the existing go-to game is better than the $10 one you mention, esp given approx 78% return on the usual one and so much concentrated $ vs 70% on the $10 one and having to chase more winning tickets.

Not sure how things are there, but I find that the best, most consistently available to redeem $500 and up worth of tickets are lotto retailers that also cash checks. I have a couple such places near me with whom I've e... [ More ]

Reply #5

spencerjames — Fri, 11 Mar 2022 05:46:10 GMT

Yes and I am doing very well this first week.

The $10 cash blowout tickets here in WA are 50 tickets per pack and every pack has three $50 and two $100. Every pack. That game isn't too winnable though.

The retailers here pretty much refusing to cash the $500s though. Even Fred Meyer is instituting a $200 cash in limit. You can always buy a $500 Money Order with the ticket and deposit that into your account though.

Reply #4

Cape $cratcher — Thu, 10 Mar 2022 13:25:34 GMT

Wow really?!! Same book recipe and such

Reply #3

spencerjames — Thu, 10 Mar 2022 07:26:26 GMT

The game is back

Reply #2

Cape $cratcher — Thu, 10 Mar 2022 04:01:11 GMT

Unless premium, paid membership pics have to be linked from an image-hosting site and posted via the Insert Image icon (post direct link). I've used postimages.org for years with great results.

Whats your win

Reply #1

spencerjames — Thu, 10 Mar 2022 01:37:47 GMT

Why is it so hard to post images here. Seems images would be very important here.

Happy Days are here again

spencerjames — Thu, 10 Mar 2022 01:24:41 GMT

And what a happy day it's been today.