System performance

Reply #11

adobea78 — Tue, 26 Jul 2022 08:39:28 GMT

Backtesting is the process of recreating the work of your strategies on historical data, essentially all of your past strategic work. Forward testing allows for the recreation of your strategy work in real-time, all while your charts refresh their data.

Backtesting essentially all of your past strategic work(retro fit , subject to bias).

The ideal of backtesting in mutual exclusive event is moot, why? your Prior Probability is unknown(A good read on Bayesian stats will be good)

Forward

Reply #10

lottologix — Tue, 26 Jul 2022 06:23:17 GMT

Y ou missed one thing.... The BEST system is the one YOU understand, and if the system that you do understand is not producing the results you either want or willing to settle for, then you might need to try to understand a different system weather YOU think it will initially work or not the individual might need to play with it to gain perspective of if its a fit for what they think a successful method or system looks like to them.... and wheather it actually makes money or not

Reply #9

db101 — Tue, 26 Jul 2022 03:49:46 GMT

You got it right.

Reply #8

Mr-B 216 — Tue, 26 Jul 2022 00:43:21 GMT

My understanding of db101 system:

last draw ...... 9 70

2nd last draw...3 0 4

3rd last draw...62 8

Playing all 6 of the 908 boxed numbers. Only play 3 numbers on a double digit number (575). If I have it wrong, let me know and I'll edit.

OH C DB 123 07/01/2022 D To 07/24/2022 E

HOD COST STR STR WIN STR P/L STR ROI BOX BOX WIN BOX P/L BOX ROI

30 $93.00 1 $500.00 $407.00 438.0% 6 $501.00 $408.00 439.0%

29 $99.00 1 $500.00 $401.00 405.0% 3 $501.00 $402.00 406.0... [ More ]

Reply #7

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 22:16:02 GMT

Thanks db101. I'll put it together and see how it turns out.

I was going to wait, but I guess now is as good a time as any to show results from a system of mine called Nearby 445. It doesn't offer anything huge over other systems, but it does show one of the patterns or anomalies I look for. The first image is OH , Jan - Jun and then July only, The second image is IN , Jan - Jun and then July only. Notice 3 of the top 5 HOD's in July, 8, 26, 29 are identical in those two states. What does it... [ More ]

Reply #6

db101 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 21:50:58 GMT

Mr. B can test my P3 system. I ain't thin skinned.

Take the first digit of the last drawing, the second digit of the second to last drawing, and the third digit of the third to last drawing. Play these digits box.

Reply #5

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 20:10:04 GMT

You are missing the point here. It doesn't matter what system I analyze. It's about the performance of several systems throughout several states. I am just looking for similarities amongst a random field of systems. If I use only my systems, then that data will have a slight bias towards my coding of the code.

Patience...I'll throw in one or two of mine along the way.

Reply #4

str8ca$hhomie — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 17:58:50 GMT

I'm not a fan of LakeTrout but the reason you got your previous thread LOCKED was because you persisted in back-testing OP's(other people's) systems. Now you're at it again this time evaluating a mysterious (no name) online system. Why not back-test your own system and publish it for all to see or would that reveal too much information like the lottery realm you appear to be in .

Reply #3

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 17:51:56 GMT

Kentucky results.

Reply #2

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 17:51:16 GMT

Here are the results for Indiana from the same system31.

Reply #1

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 16:42:44 GMT

Here is the data for OH. Next post will show results for the state of IN.

The top image shows results from Jan 01, 2022 thru Jun 30, 2022. For no particular reason, I chose six months as a starting point.

The first column, titled HOD, represents the Hit On Draw number. In other words, did the system numbers I played, hit on the very next day (HOD 1), or did they wait until 30 draws (HOD 30) later to hit. I am not concerned with box hits at this time, but I will keep them in play.

The... [ More ]

System performance

Mr-B 216 — Mon, 25 Jul 2022 15:48:10 GMT

With so many systems to choose from, how do you choose the one(s) that will work best for you and your lottery play style. You may ask yourself:

What system will work best in my state?

Do I play Midday to Midday, Eve to Eve, or combined Midday and Eve?

How many numbers will I have to play with a system?

Do I play for a straight or box win?

For how many draws should I play those numbers?

My plan here is show the data and look for patterns and anomalies. The goal is to help sys... [ More ]