classic questions on lottery forums

Reply #54

Stat$talker — Fri, 12 Sep 2025 02:47:37 GMT

Also, more tickets is the only Also, more tickets is the only way to change the only way odds. to change the odds.

Reply #53

Tucker Black — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 14:25:31 GMT

EV is the most important thing I consider, along with price and odds of winning. It's why I almost never play the draw games because the return is just terrible. The scratch offs pay back more (in Colorado).

Reply #52

Tucker Black — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 14:15:02 GMT

Well said

Reply #51

LottoVibes — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 14:07:55 GMT

In this hobby I have made some real coding progress, even though I already know up front it is an impossible problem. Many of the concepts, like reading from and writing to csv files, using data frames instead of long lists, modular coding, revision control with git, etc. are directly applicable in other areas such as retrieving and analyzing data from cryptocurrency blockchains or stock market data. - hypersoniq

Love this

Reply #50

LottoVibes — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 14:04:00 GMT

The expected value cannot be changed by your selection of numbers. The expected value is a function of the paytable , which is set by the lottery, and you have zero control over it. - Tucker Black

Not that you are saying this, but I've noticed something related on this forum often comes up. If we are talking about EV, shouldn't we also be talking about finding the best paytable? This morning someone posted they would choose pick 5 as their lifetime game of choice in another thread, and... [ More ]

Reply #49

hypersoniq — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 12:19:12 GMT

Studying past draws is a waste of time. Each drawing is an independent random event. The only way to increase the probability of winning is to buy more tickets.

It is true that each drawing is an independent random event. Since I mostly play the pick 3, it is also independent by position.

Also, more tickets is the only way to change the odds. But I am frugal so I would rather pick 1 combo than 10 or more, as the draw will still be from 1,000 combinations regardless of how many would be

Reply #48

dr san — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 08:55:56 GMT

hello=

To analyze repetitive patterns in the lottery, it's essential to understand that, despite randomness, the human mind seeks connections and structures. There are different approaches to creating an analysis model, combining mathematical and statistical concepts.

Approach 1: Frequency and Delay Analysis

This is the most straightforward and popular approach, based on simple statistics from previous draws.

Number Frequency: Create a table that tracks how many times each number... [ More ]

Reply #47

Tucker Black — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 06:07:31 GMT

Playing lotteries is about maximizing your probabilities not getting guarantees.

Studying past draws is a waste of time. Each drawing is an independent random event. The only way to increase the probability of winning is to buy more tickets.

That being said, if you buy an enormous number of tickets, you can increase the probability of winning a lower prize by ensuring your picks are spread out over the matrix. The downside is that if you do win a lower prize, it's less likely you'll win... [ More ]

Reply #46

Tucker Black — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 04:27:41 GMT

nonsense

Reply #45

hypersoniq — Thu, 11 Sep 2025 00:45:37 GMT

I have always called my pick for any game using any system a best guess .

Reply #44

Player649 — Wed, 10 Sep 2025 23:54:01 GMT

You made quite a number of correct observations. I would like to add some extras that also matter.

Predicting numbers in lotteries in not only possible but, actually, quite easy.

Predictability depends on 2 principal factors:

1) The number of elements in the pool from which you predict; the smaller the pool the easier to predict.

2) The number of elements you predict at the same time; the larger the number the greater the accuracy.

Randomness does not affect these 2 principles

Reply #43

MG2150 — Wed, 10 Sep 2025 20:06:11 GMT

A valid prediction, from my point of view, is one in which you get the expected result!

You don't need to get 100% of the numbers right, 100% of the time

Reply #42

LottoVibes — Wed, 10 Sep 2025 19:21:33 GMT

@MG2150

That's more in line with how I was using 'holds up'. Clearly, there is a mathematical and statistical way to look at this. For me, I'm playing with the data to identify trends, trying to narrow down possibilities for a more informed pick, not a guarantee.

It does bring me back to a repeating question in my mind, what makes a prediction valid, a certain percentage above random chance over a 100, 200, 500... draws

Reply #41

MG2150 — Wed, 10 Sep 2025 15:06:42 GMT

On what predicting means in lottery contexts

Often, in discussions about lotteries, we see the statement that no method predicts future draws.

While this statement is technically correct, it is only absolutely true if and only if we are talking about predicting the exact numbers that will be drawn,

in quantities and combinations identical to the official result.

However, this view can be limited if we consider other possible objectives of a prediction.

A practical example

Reply #40

Stat$talker — Wed, 10 Sep 2025 12:06:42 GMT

not that it predicts future draws.

There ya gooe..,cauze Only Probability Math can and haz done THAT..

Reply #39

LottoVibes — Tue, 09 Sep 2025 20:13:07 GMT

Youre right. I should clarify, it holds up to past results, not that it predicts future draws.

Reply #38

Stat$talker — Tue, 09 Sep 2025 15:39:32 GMT

and your theory holds up well in many states

Ole Do c izz uzin AI

Reply #37

LottoVibes — Mon, 08 Sep 2025 21:32:57 GMT

@ dr san

I tested this across multiple states and draw times, and your theory holds up well in many states from my data set, and when the pattern occurs, it's very likely to continue to the next drawing.

Thanks for sharing. I'd be curious to hear if your own tracking shows similar results.

state_abbr

draw_name total_draw_pairs any_repetition_count same_position_count different_position_count percent_any_repetition percent_same_position percent_different_position percent_pattern_c... [ More ]

Reply #36

Stat$talker — Mon, 08 Sep 2025 17:56:24 GMT

Any utha Challengerz to Probabilty Math'z riddle

Reply #35

Stat$talker — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 20:50:48 GMT

Moooer than ample proof,.. YOU are Green behind the earzzz

Reply #34

Brock Lee — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 16:15:11 GMT

i think 1. is experiencing a monthly event and 1 is not.

Reply #33

Stat$talker — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 04:08:34 GMT

Nope.... GOD has already programmed it... So, there'z no errorz . Noooo Cigar..

Kuddoz to you for at least engagin dem brain cellz

Reply #32

hypersoniq — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 03:45:43 GMT

1:1 is a ratio of equal proportion, it is standard accepted notaion. 1.:1 (A syntax error in programming languages) is a less used and not standard way of denoting a specific example of a 1 to 1 ratio.

I have never encountered any other usage.

Reply #31

Stat$talker — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 03:16:36 GMT

the only way to prove that you can predict the lottery with donkey math is to actually win the lottery.

THEY WON'T BE STILL, STOPP RUNNIN

Reply #30

Brock Lee — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 03:11:23 GMT

the only way to prove that you can predict the lottery with donkey math is to actually win the lottery.

Reply #29

Stat$talker — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 02:40:25 GMT

But in the lottery, people refer to odds in the same way as probability. So on this board, they are the same for all practical purposes .

Aaaah, there'z that infamous BUT ...an age-old attempt to avoid conceptual accountability... Toooo Daammn lazy to climb Mathematical Mt. Everest ... just like Allen Butthead.. rather shoot my horse and leave it for dead on the Mountain outta frustration..

Probability Math duzzn't care bout whuteva xsclusive Club you might belong to,. that you think w... [ More ]

Reply #28

MzDuffleBaglady — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 01:54:21 GMT

I like the even/odd filter.

Reply #27

Brock Lee — Sun, 24 Aug 2025 01:13:55 GMT

man, that's way over his head. check out this old post of his where he thinks that 1. and 1 are different: https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/341495/7041881

in that thread he keeps on asking people over and over what the difference between 1:1. and 1.:1 is but won't tell anyone what he thinks the difference is. must be some proprietary donkey math.

Reply #26

Tucker Black — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:25:14 GMT

There is a difference in that odds are supposed to be expressed as the ratio of [event A] to [event B], which is equivalent to probability being [event A]/([event A]+[event B]), where A and B are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.

But in the lottery, people refer to odds in the same way as probability. So on this board, they are the same for all practical purposes. Your voodoo math and conspiracy theories are irrelevant to their distinction.

For example, with the Colorado Lottery's $250,... [ More ]

Reply #25

rcbbuckeye — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 21:32:05 GMT

donkey math

Now that's funny

Reply #24

Brock Lee — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 20:44:47 GMT

the lottery loves mentally ill players who are convinced they can predict a random process. these kinds of players buy more tickets than anyone because they are always trying to prove their donkey math works.

Reply #23

Stat$talker — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 19:28:40 GMT

No one knows. It's 100% luck.

Don't listen to Tucker Black ... That'z % Bull ..He'z been walkin round in Darknezz for quite awhile... az mizery luuvz company...

Ole Stat$ haz proven many timez that you can predict 'em ...that'z why LOz halted dat 9/3/21 MM Drawing Dizcontinued dat Ga Jumbo Buckz Lotto Game on Me...All bcuz both are in the Hometown of The Real Deal Holyfield ..

I am STAT$TALKER

Often imitated, but Neeavaah Duplicated

-Stat$talker... [ More ]

Reply #22

hypersoniq — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 15:46:49 GMT

Dr San, I remember it now, I called it LOOPRS (Latent Out Of Position Repeating Sequences). I realized then that there was nothing to this study and dropped the OOP part and what remained, LRS (Latent Repeating Sequences) was what I used to hit a straight in both the pick 3 and pick 4 (the only pick 4 straight I ever had). But there was too many losers between the hits so I dropped it altogether. This was before I ever started writing Python code, all excel (including VBA macros). Now that I can... [ More ]

Reply #21

Stat$talker — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 14:01:37 GMT

The probability math states that in a discrete uniform distribution of digits 0 through 9, each digit has a 10% chance of being drawn in each position.

You're referring to Clinical Probability... which izz akin to xspecting rain , simply cauze you see dark cloudz ... different from Probablity Math ...which warnz you of rain that even fallz in Sunshine ..

YA FEEL ME?

-Stat$talker

Reply #20

Stat$talker — Sat, 23 Aug 2025 12:26:11 GMT

the odds

Oddz pRoBaBiLiTiEz are 2 DIFFERENT thangz.

Reply #19

hypersoniq — Fri, 22 Aug 2025 20:42:18 GMT

The positions are as independent as the previous draws. Where did the 67% come from?

I recall testing something similar using excel and mixed positions, but it led nowhere because it did not happen with enough regularity to take any action on... far less than 67% using the data from Pennsylvania.

One of the changes I made was to output the full distribution of 0-9 in the events I would count. It supported my observation that the most or least of something is in the minority of outcomes.

Reply #18

dr san — Fri, 22 Aug 2025 20:10:07 GMT

hello hipersonic=ok, you can use these factors to improve in pick3 = in which in 67% of the time a digit repeats from the last draw, and that does not repeat in the same position in ascending draw, example = 459 next 930 = the digit 9 repeated from the last but not in the same position, 67% already helps a lot, can you create a spreadsheet with this filter, excel gurus

Reply #17

hypersoniq — Fri, 22 Aug 2025 19:44:37 GMT

Tucker is right... the odds of any 3 digit number combination appearing in 1 draw are always 1,000:1

You can change the odds by buying another ticket, to 1,000:2 no division allowed though, as it represents the ratio of possible outcomes to favorable outcomes.

You can even change your perspective from a 3 digit combo to three consecutive games of 1 in 10, but the odds are still 1,000:1 in getting 3 in a row correct.

The probability math states that in a discrete uniform distribution

Reply #16

Stat$talker — Fri, 22 Aug 2025 18:50:23 GMT

Get your terms right.

The probability of a three digit number hitting straight is a constant.

It's voodoo math that implies the odds keep changing.

Huh, Ole Stat$ got the Termz right... Notice that I didn't play 674 AGAIN, the next day.... It'z proof that itz Probabilty had CHANGED .. , nor did 674 fall the next day...So, It'z NOT CONSTANT ...

https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/340828/7736432

So, if Probabilty Math izz voodoo ?, YOU had betta contact VooDoo Velma, to git... [ More ]

Reply #15

Tucker Black — Fri, 22 Aug 2025 00:13:57 GMT

Get your terms right.

The probability of a three digit number hitting straight is a constant.

It's voodoo math that implies the odds keep changing.

Reply #14

Stat$talker — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 18:26:29 GMT

htf do these people know when to play a number straight?

Probability

Aaand how duzz LOz know,.. when to git outta Dodge?

Probability Math

-Stat$talker

Reply #13

Lotterologist — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 14:17:09 GMT

I posted my list of the best 3 digit numbers for California in the Pick 3 section.

For the next several days, those numbers will win.

Reply #12

Lotterologist — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 08:02:26 GMT

Because you think negative.

The cesspool is in the mind of the beholder, my friend.

Reply #11

grwurston — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 02:42:15 GMT

Pattern recognition. And their own way of tracking.

Reply #10

AllenB — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 02:33:45 GMT

Downer = negative. Have you figured out Why

Reply #9

hypersoniq — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 00:55:59 GMT

People also play multiple numbers. There could have been 50 other combos played along with that 227. Still a good hit, but it depends on how they are playing.

Reply #8

Lotterologist — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 00:54:48 GMT

You have to consider how many times they played 227 and lost ???

If you stay on a number, you will eventually win.

Reply #7

Tucker Black — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 00:54:46 GMT

No one knows. It's 100% luck.

Reply #6

Il2c — Thu, 21 Aug 2025 00:49:46 GMT

i'm not gonna lie, sometimes, like today I be thinking, htf do these people know when to play a number straight ? like.... 227 hit the other day and someone bought 2 or 3 tickets straight. $1500, Like how tf did they know? A part of me thinks they're lying, but some could be winning. Who knows. People do lie.

Reply #5

Lotterologist — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 23:44:10 GMT

You had any luck lately, or is your luck as bad as your jokes

Reply #4

Brock Lee — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 23:34:06 GMT

hope you get some good luck soon

Reply #3

hypersoniq — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 21:32:38 GMT

1. You can apply any, including multiple algorithms, just be prepared for disappointment.

2. If it can be counted, it can be automated. Look for a free e book called Python - Automating the Boring Stuff.

3. The back test... how well did it do in a rolling test across the entire draw history... be careful not to introduce any a priori knowledge, and again, prepare for disappointment.

Reply #2

dr san — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 20:19:59 GMT

hello block lee=Dr. San is fine, he just isn't finding the paths to luck.

Reply #1

Brock Lee — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 20:14:40 GMT

4. what's up with dr san

classic questions on lottery forums

dr san — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 19:49:33 GMT

classic questions on lottery forums=1. Can genetic algorithms be applied to select more balanced combinations?

2. Are there filtering techniques (odd/even, high/low, sum, delay/frequency) that can be integrated into an automated system?

3. What is the most efficient way to validate whether filters actually increase the relative chance of winning (simulations, tests