Curious but skeptical

NumberCruncher2 — Mon, 22 Jun 2026 13:59:04 GMT

Been lurking a while and finally curious enough to ask. With all the machine-learning stuff everywhere now, I've been tinkering with running models against historical draw data just to see what shakes out Monte Carlo, Markov chains, a couple of neural-net experiments.

Upfront: I'm not claiming any of it beats the odds. Draws are independent and I know how that math works. It's more that I find it fun to compare what different methods favor and watch how wildly they disagree with each other o... [ More ]