Coin Toss and Jersey PICK 3 EVEPrev TopicNext Topic

• benmas

  

  Rhode Island
  United States
  Member #56,008
  October 28, 2007
  439 Posts
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  Jan 24, 2008, 10:15 pm

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  IF you toss a coin, how many times in a row do you excpect to get the same result?

  After I see some poll results and responses i will mention a very interesting fact about JERSEY pick 3 evening draw.
• showme3

  

  Toms River, NJ
  United States
  Member #32,599
  February 13, 2006
  205 Posts
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  Jan 25, 2008, 8:09 am

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  In response to benmas

  Quote: Originally posted by benmas on Jan 24, 2008

  IF you toss a coin, how many times in a row do you excpect to get the same result?

  After I see some poll results and responses i will mention a very interesting fact about JERSEY pick 3 evening draw.

  I voted other because I spent all my money playing the NJ pick 3 and lost.  So I don't have any coins to toss, I'll have to wait till payday to give it a try.

   

  I still would like to know the interesting fact about the NJ pick 3 eve. 
• benmas

  

  Rhode Island
  United States
  Member #56,008
  October 28, 2007
  439 Posts
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  Jan 25, 2008, 4:16 pm

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  In an event of odds being 50%, after 10 draws there is a 99.9% confidence that the streak will end.

  The second digit in the jersey pick 3 evening has been drawn odd an amazing 17 times in a row.

  MAthematics say that there is a 99.9992 confidence that the streak will end tonight.

  I would not bet on it tonight since it is very streaky but if it draws odd again tonight that will be 18 in a row. I would try the 19th time since there is a 99.99998 confidence it will stop and draw even.

  But i was amazed when i saw this, never seen such a long streak with 50:50.
• benmas

  

  Rhode Island
  United States
  Member #56,008
  October 28, 2007
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  Jan 25, 2008, 4:31 pm

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  Here are the confidence % for an event 50:50

  Draws  Confidence

  1           50.0

  2           75.0

  3           90.0

  4           95.0

  7           99.0

  10         99.9

  15         99.997

  16         99.998

  17         99.999237

  18         99.999619         <<<tonight         it could be  but its a risky bet 

  19         99.999809        <<<tomorrow      most likely to hit here

  20         99.999905        <<<sunday          i don't think it will reach 20s

  25         99.999976         
• benmas

  

  Rhode Island
  United States
  Member #56,008
  October 28, 2007
  439 Posts
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  Jan 26, 2008, 2:12 am

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  jersey pick 3 eve (2nd digit odd) streak up to 19

  19         99.999809    <<< wow
• benmas

  

  Rhode Island
  United States
  Member #56,008
  October 28, 2007
  439 Posts
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  Jan 26, 2008, 8:18 pm

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  In response to benmas

  Quote: Originally posted by benmas on Jan 26, 2008

  jersey pick 3 eve (2nd digit odd) streak up to 19

  19         99.999809    <<< wow

  the streak is over at 19 odds in a row...165 come up tonight jersey pick 3 eve