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Mega-ThinkTank

Houston
United States
Member #62,317
June 24, 2008
242 Posts
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Jun 24, 2008, 4:04 pm

I'm assuming the members on LP are thoroughbred players of the lottery games and I count myself as one. This is my first post but I've frequent this site for some time now.

I would like to see how far along the major players on LP in their system/method? I'm just putting in the finishing touch of what's been a 10 (plus) years of trail and tribulation in understanding lottery numbers. Not that I'm any expert but I consider myself good -- damn good.

The problems I have is a lack of "hopeful confidence." I can create good number a day or two before the draw. Comes the Draw Day, I end up changing the numbers or having second thoughts or trying to do too much instead of following my own way of picking the number, plain and simple.

There's been times I had numbers that was right all along and shouldn't have change it. When I really analyze my mistakes, I notice most of the time I'm doubting myself and my system way too much on Draw Day -- don't know why that is. If I can just stick with the method (plain and simple), the outcome could be pretty good.

What about you guys?
RJOh

100

mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
20,272 Posts
Offline

Jun 24, 2008, 6:45 pm

Your problems are not unique. When you look all 56 numbers and try to pick a few of the 2.5% of the 176M possible combinations that will win something you're going to be unsuccessful 97.5% of the time same as most MM players. Having a system or work-out just means you're spending a little more time doing it. Most players consider that extra time spent as entertaining, not as extra work to be rewarded.

Doubting yourself is the results of how you've done in the past. I usually keep several files to check after the drawings, one or two have the combinations I was going to play before changing my mind and one has the combinations I actually played. The most I've ever missed out on winning is a match4 and there are the times that I gained a match4 because I changed my mind at the last minute too.

* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
four4me

MD
United States
Member #1,701
June 18, 2003
10,731 Posts
Offline

Jun 24, 2008, 7:08 pm

My guess is lots of people do that.

My mom used to go to the track shed get prepared a couple days in advance pick her horses and jockeys then while standing at the betting window change her plays and low and behold the horses she picked in the first place won. She called it stupidity... i called it fear of winning .

If your sure about something stick with it don't change your picks at the last moment.

Big John says. You don't hit the number. The number hits you!!!!

I'm not Big John, I'm Four4me, Big John's a friend.
Guru101

Indiana
United States
Member #48,723
January 7, 2007
1,961 Posts
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Jun 24, 2008, 11:38 pm

I'd like to point out that it's a lot easier to win a Pick 6 game than it is PB or MM not purely on the reason that the odds are a lot less. It also has to do with the fact that the 6 numbers are all in the same pool. Which is why I switched over to Hoosier Lotto(although I do still get PB quick picks sometimes). Having all 6 numbers in the same pool means my methods will have a much bigger effect on my winnings.

Gonna win.
RJOh

100

mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
20,272 Posts
Offline

Jun 25, 2008, 12:49 pm

possible combos of 6 with 49 numbers are 13983816
MATCH ODDS WINNING COMBOS HITS/ 1 CHANCES
6/6 1 : 13983816 1 0
5/6 1 : 54201 258 0
4/6 1 : 1032 13545 0
3/6 1 : 57 246820 0
______________________________________________________________________________
overall odds are 1 : 53.6 expect 0 prizes with 1 chance
winning combos 260624 = 1.86 % of possible combos

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

possible combos of 5 with 56 numbers and 1 of 46 bonus numbers are 175711536
MATCH ODDS WINNING COMBOS HITS/ 1 CHANCES
5/5+B 1 : 175711536 1 0
5/5 1 : 3904701 45 0
4/5+B 1 : 689065 255 0
4/5 1 : 15313 11475 0
3/5+B 1 : 13781 12750 0
3/5 1 : 306 573750 0
2/5+B 1 : 844 208250 0
1/5+B 1 : 141 1249500 0
0/5+B 1 : 75 2349060 0
______________________________________________________________________________
overall odds are 1 : 39.8 expect 0 prizes with 1 chance
winning combos 4405086 = 2.5 % of possible combos

While the odds of winning the JP in a multi-state are much higher, the overall chance of winning one of the smaller prizes in the multi-state games are much better which may explain why they out sell many of the local games.

* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
apic3wizz

NJ
United States
Member #60,385
April 15, 2008
2 Posts
Offline

Jun 25, 2008, 12:58 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Mega-ThinkTank on Jun 24, 2008
I'm assuming the members on LP are thoroughbred players of the lottery games and I count myself as one. This is my first post but I've frequent this site for some time now.

I would like to see how far along the major players on LP in their system/method? I'm just putting in the finishing touch of what's been a 10 (plus) years of trail and tribulation in understanding lottery numbers. Not that I'm any expert but I consider myself good -- damn good.

The problems I have is a lack of "hopeful confidence." I can create good number a day or two before the draw. Comes the Draw Day, I end up changing the numbers or having second thoughts or trying to do too much instead of following my own way of picking the number, plain and simple.

There's been times I had numbers that was right all along and shouldn't have change it. When I really analyze my mistakes, I notice most of the time I'm doubting myself and my system way too much on Draw Day -- don't know why that is. If I can just stick with the method (plain and simple), the outcome could be pretty good.

What about you guys?

Common problems?? Losing! LOL!
psykomo

United States
Member #4,877
May 30, 2004
5,289 Posts
Offline

Jun 25, 2008, 2:34 pm

G@@D >>POST>>M-TT:

MEGA problem>>>>........................the mega ball!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

POWER problem >>........................the power ball>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

LOL

PSYKOMO
LottoL

Texas
United States
Member #33,718
February 24, 2006
764 Posts
Offline

Jun 25, 2008, 10:36 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Mega-ThinkTank on Jun 24, 2008
I'm assuming the members on LP are thoroughbred players of the lottery games and I count myself as one. This is my first post but I've frequent this site for some time now.

I would like to see how far along the major players on LP in their system/method? I'm just putting in the finishing touch of what's been a 10 (plus) years of trail and tribulation in understanding lottery numbers. Not that I'm any expert but I consider myself good -- damn good.

The problems I have is a lack of "hopeful confidence." I can create good number a day or two before the draw. Comes the Draw Day, I end up changing the numbers or having second thoughts or trying to do too much instead of following my own way of picking the number, plain and simple.

There's been times I had numbers that was right all along and shouldn't have change it. When I really analyze my mistakes, I notice most of the time I'm doubting myself and my system way too much on Draw Day -- don't know why that is. If I can just stick with the method (plain and simple), the outcome could be pretty good.

What about you guys?

The problem I have is similar. Trying to narrow down my general selection of numbers to a halfway decent size. For instance, in the upcoming MM draw on Friday June 27th, I would venture that the following set of twenty-one numbers would capture three winning numbers, hopefully four, but I doubt it. (05 - 06 - 07 - 08 - 09 - 14 - 17 - 18 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 28 - 31 - 36 - 38 - 40 - 46 - 47 - 50 - 51 - 56) Now, trying to narrow down this field to about 10 numbers without eliminating my projected three potential winning numbers is my problem. Any suggestions!

Good Luck!

LottoL
Mega-ThinkTank

Houston
United States
Member #62,317
June 24, 2008
242 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 1:36 pm

Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Jun 24, 2008
Your problems are not unique. When you look all 56 numbers and try to pick a few of the 2.5% of the 176M possible combinations that will win something you're going to be unsuccessful 97.5% of the time same as most MM players. Having a system or work-out just means you're spending a little more time doing it. Most players consider that extra time spent as entertaining, not as extra work to be rewarded.

Doubting yourself is the results of how you've done in the past. I usually keep several files to check after the drawings, one or two have the combinations I was going to play before changing my mind and one has the combinations I actually played. The most I've ever missed out on winning is a match4 and there are the times that I gained a match4 because I changed my mind at the last minute too.

"Having a system or work-out just means you're spending a little more time doing it. Most players consider that extra time spent as entertaining, not as extra work to be rewarded."

I do agree, it's entertaining and I definitely expect to be rewarded. I'm in it to win. That "extra" is actually the difference between a "real" player and a QP player. I'm the first.
RJOh

100

mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
20,272 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 1:55 pm

Quote: Originally posted by LottoL on Jun 25, 2008
The problem I have is similar. Trying to narrow down my general selection of numbers to a halfway decent size. For instance, in the upcoming MM draw on Friday June 27th, I would venture that the following set of twenty-one numbers would capture three winning numbers, hopefully four, but I doubt it. (05 - 06 - 07 - 08 - 09 - 14 - 17 - 18 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 28 - 31 - 36 - 38 - 40 - 46 - 47 - 50 - 51 - 56) Now, trying to narrow down this field to about 10 numbers without eliminating my projected three potential winning numbers is my problem. Any suggestions!

Good Luck!

LottoL

You have participated in the Maddog MM challenge and know most to the time the winners are lucky to get 3 winning numbers in a pool of 12, you've gone and made it even tougher for yourself by trying to do it with a pool of 10. Good luck.

* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
DC81

MI
United States
Member #54,828
August 31, 2007
985 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 2:16 pm

Fighting the urge to buy just one more ticket... Actually I wasn't going to even buy a single MM ticket until this coming Tuesday but I gave in and ended up buying two. My local grocery store's (store where I get a lot of sucky picks with consecutive numbers) machine was down and maybe I should have taken that as a sign but I went ahead and bought a ticket each at two gas stations. If anything I'm getting an idea as to the "quality" of the numbers picked by their machines...

You can't predict random.
tntea

50

United States
Member #5,344
June 30, 2004
23,639 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 2:23 pm

My problems.. Picking the wrong numbers
ThatScaryChick

Idaho
United States
Member #56,504
November 21, 2007
8,002 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 2:28 pm

My problem, not being close enough to a state that offers Mega Millions.

"X - youtube - steam - instagram"

ThatScaryChick
LottoL

Texas
United States
Member #33,718
February 24, 2006
764 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 2:53 pm

Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Jun 26, 2008
You have participated in the Maddog MM challenge and know most to the time the winners are lucky to get 3 winning numbers in a pool of 12, you've gone and made it even tougher for yourself by trying to do it with a pool of 10. Good luck.

Hi RjOh,

Going down to 10 numbers is my personal goal. I haven't been too successful with it, but I'm still trying. After running the previous 21 numbers thru my anaylsis, it looks like I'll be settling on the following numbers for Maddog's MM challange: 07 - 08 - 09 - 17 - 21 - 23 - 24 - 28 - 29 - 34 - 47 - 48. If history is any indicator, I've probably captured just one number - if that many!!

Good Luck!
LottoL
psykomo

United States
Member #4,877
May 30, 2004
5,289 Posts
Offline

Jun 26, 2008, 3:47 pm

Quote: Originally posted by LottoL on Jun 26, 2008
Hi RjOh,

Going down to 10 numbers is my personal goal. I haven't been too successful with it, but I'm still trying. After running the previous 21 numbers thru my anaylsis, it looks like I'll be settling on the following numbers for Maddog's MM challange: 07 - 08 - 09 - 17 - 21 - 23 - 24 - 28 - 29 - 34 - 47 - 48. If history is any indicator, I've probably captured just one number - if that many!!

Good Luck!
LottoL

5-# GAME.............I boil it to................10 '##############

6-# GAME.............I boil it to.................13'##############

THIS work's with most JACKPOT game's for a 3 or 4 PRISE !!!!!!!

MM with a mega ball is not that EZ

PB with a power ball is not that EZ<<<<<<<<<>>>>>>>>>>!!

LOL

PSYKOMO