When I looked at the drawing results for last night's MM jackpot I thought they looked odd. The first indicator was the failure for anyone besides one person to even hit the MB on Maddog's Challenge. A couple others went 2+0.
I looked at my spreadsheet of numbers, the ones I use to pick my pool. Everything boils down to two values that I add up to establish what I believe the optimal parameters for a drawing.
Without getting into it, one value averages 24.3 and the optimal sum range is 22-26. The other value averages 13.7 but populates two extremes of an average of about 8 and 16. The ranges for that value are 8-10 and 14-18, with <8, 11-13 and >18 discarded.
Looking at the drawing, the sums of my assigned values were 27 and 6, respectively. No wonder nobody had any success with the drawing. I'm going to keep an eye on these values and Maddog's Challenge henceforth. It would be interesting if there was a correlation between my established sum parameters and the number of hits on the Challenge. I will keep everyone updated.
