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Quote: Originally posted by cypher on Nov 6, 2009
Handicapping 101 (Part 1)
Horse Racing…The Sport of Kings!
The “punter” learns to pick their spots in a racing card based on the data they have devoured!
When goes to the races one will quickly observe in the clubhouse or grandstands “punters” pouring over the racing program. What are they looking for? With keen eyes they are looking for information hidden in plain sight which may point them towards a profitable play (wager) of the day or within a race. They are looking for owner and trainer moves which indicate that the horse being entered has a very good shot at winning the race. Let’s examine some “moves”.
A. Switching Surfaces: Often called Turf to Dirt or Dirt to Turf. Turf =Grass! Grass is a softer surface than the dirt surfaces of many tracks and is kinder to the horse due to the softness of it’s surface and grass also serves to strengthen the horse. If a horse has been racing on turf and is switched to dirt against competition that has been slaving away on the dirt that horse may have the advantage over the competitors.
The same applies when a horse has been running on dirt and has now been switched to turf as turf may have been the comfort zone of the horse and the stats will reveal what surfaces the horse has run on and may have a preference for.
The owner and trainer have conditioned the horse for the race and they anticipate the horse to enter at better odds as the recent performance may have been off in live race training on a different surface than accustomed to and the result can be a handsome payday for the barn!
Note: if one examines the horse having run over surfaces at least three times it will indicate if the horse likes the surface or not based on performance.
B. Horses for Courses: Oddly many horses prefer certain racetracks! They perform at optimum levels at certain tracks and poorly at others. Why? Various reasons… there may be a muse involved at the preferred track or it could be the surface. Just as humans have preferences for certain areas so do horses for whatever reason.
The alert “punter” watches for the return of a horse back to it’s favorite track. The performance at other tracks may have been poor but now the horse is returning back to a track that it likes and runs well at.
Handicapping 101 (Part 1)
Horse Racing…The Sport of Kings!
The “punter” learns to pick their spots in a racing card based on the data they have devoured! When goes to the races one will quickly observe in the clubhouse or grandstands “punters” pouring over the racing program. What are they looking for? With keen eyes they are looking for information hidden in plain sight which may point them towards a profitable play (wager) of the day or within a race. They are looking for owner and trainer moves which indicate that the horse being entered has a very good shot at winning the race.
Let’s examine some “moves”.
A. Switching Surfaces: Often called Turf to Dirt or Dirt to Turf. Turf =Grass! Grass is a softer surface than the dirt surfaces of many tracks and is kinder to the horse due to the softness of it’s surface and grass also serves to strengthen the horse. If a horse has been racing on turf and is switched to dirt against competition that has been slaving away on the dirt that horse may have the advantage over the competitors.The same applies when a horse has been running on dirt and has now been switched to turf as turf may have been the comfort zone of the horse and the stats will reveal what surfaces the horse has run on and may have a preference for. The owner and trainer have conditioned the horse for the race and they anticipate the horse to enter at better odds as the recent performance may have been off in live race training on a different surface than accustomed to and the result can be a handsome payday for the barn!Note: if one examines the horse having run over surfaces at least three times it will indicate if the horse likes the surface or not based on performance.
B. Horses for Courses: Oddly many horses prefer certain racetracks! They perform at optimum levels at certain tracks and poorly at others. Why? Various reasons… there may be a muse involved at the preferred track or it could be the surface. Just as humans have preferences for certain areas so do horses for whatever reason. The alert “punter” watches for the return of a horse back to it’s favorite track. The performance at other tracks may have been poor but now the horse is returning back to a track that it likes and runs well at.
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race. Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed. Lok for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days. If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Handicapping 101 (Part 2)
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race.
Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed.
Look for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days.
If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Ohio United States
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February 21, 2007
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Quote: Originally posted by cypher on Nov 10, 2009
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race. Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed. Lok for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days. If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Handicapping 101 (Part 2)
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race.
Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed.
Look for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days.
If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Thanks good information, I am going to Copy this too. Trying to get my printer to work. It has Ink. Stay in touch!
Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream go up or down on #'s. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes 0 or 1 for Pick 4 and the P. 5 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P. 4* P. 5* or 0 thur 9 for P. 4 P. 5 from my dreams or hunches good Luck.. Write your Dreams down Play for 3 days. Good Luck All.
Ohio United States
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February 21, 2007
35,549 Posts
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Quote: Originally posted by eddessaknight on Oct 6, 2009
Good call Cypher-
Wondering about applying hedgehog the dutching program, but i am sure you already know this, what do you think about dutching on all four picks ???
Keep up the good work
See you again in the winner's circle
EddessaKnight
PS-
Appreciative and Not looking a gift horse in the mouth, but where do you intend to take this TO >>>
What do you know about Holoowood Park? I was over to one of my friends, yesterday, we were talking about Hollywood Park, the horse that ran in the BreedersCup He won the race, Zen. well He is supposed to run Sunday at Hollywood Park, She thinks he will win, He probably will win. I think it is going to be a favorite too! What do you think?
Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream go up or down on #'s. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes 0 or 1 for Pick 4 and the P. 5 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P. 4* P. 5* or 0 thur 9 for P. 4 P. 5 from my dreams or hunches good Luck.. Write your Dreams down Play for 3 days. Good Luck All.
Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream go up or down on #'s. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes 0 or 1 for Pick 4 and the P. 5 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P. 4* P. 5* or 0 thur 9 for P. 4 P. 5 from my dreams or hunches good Luck.. Write your Dreams down Play for 3 days. Good Luck All.
United States
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September 18, 2009
35 Posts
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Quote: Originally posted by cypher on Nov 10, 2009
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race. Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed. Lok for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days. If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Handicapping 101 (Part 2)
C. Work Outs: Be mindful of workouts a horse engages in. If there is a bullet by the workout it indicates that it was among the faster workouts of the day. Also, take note if the line says "handily or breezing". Handily means that the jock had to coerce the horse to run and breezing means that the horse ran of it's own accord.
First time starters should have at least 12 workouts before running a first race.
Also, be alert for bulleted works for a horse that never showed a fast work out in it's history.
D. Switching Distances: Do not confuse changing distance for switching distance. Examples of switching distance would be a horse in the next to last race was in a sprint race and the last race was a route race and today it is entered into a sprint race...this can be vice versa as well...either sprint-route-sprint (SRS) or route-sprint-route (RSR). In the SRS angle it is designed to increase the stamina of the horse and in the RSR angle it is designed to increase speed.
Look for horses in this combination angle coming back to race within 14 days.
If the return to race is longer than 14 days check that the horse has had recent works to keep them sharp.
Handicapping 101 (Part 3)
E. Speed is spelled BEYER
Beyer speed ratings or figures which appear in the program are not to be ignored! It is not the tell all win all solution but it sure can identify contenders. A quick angle is to search for the triple advantage which is simply to look at the last three figures posted and compare them against the competition. The horse with the best triple ratings will loom large over the competition.
Although it is not absolute because of potential factors such as the race conditions, level of competition, etc plays roles but with speed figures one can eliminate horses which are to slow to win in races with established form.
F. Medication and Blinders
Medication relates to the use of Lasix. Lasix is used when a horse overexerts itself which results in bleeding from tiny ruptures in the lungs. The use of lasix can lead to a dramatic improvement in the horse's performance. One should look for a white L in a black circle in past and current performance(s). Also look out for a soild work out which indicates that the horse is doing well on the medication. First time lasix use can point to a winner but so too can a second time use if the prior performance on the medication did not produce a win. Watch for European horses 2, 3, 4 yr olds first time on Lasix entering a race. Lasix is more favorible with the younger horses than older ones.
Blinders...watch for the addition of blinders in equipment changes on the program of a horse. Horses spook very easily and the addition of blinders can help the horse concentrate on running by eliminating some periferal vision problems.
G. Sleeping Beauties = Lay Off
In this angle one must be aware of horses that are returning to race after an extended lay off and may be ready to put in a winning effort. The punter must look for results of performances of any prior lay off the horse has had. If none present then check the trainers win percentages with horses returning to race after a lay off...should be a 15% win rate or better!
Handicapping 101 (Part 3)
E. Speed is spelled BEYER
Beyer speed ratings or figures which appear in the program are not to be ignored! It is not the tell all win all solution but it sure can identify contenders. A quick angle is to search for the triple advantage which is simply to look at the last three figures posted and compare them against the competition. The horse with the best triple ratings will loom large over the competition. Although it is not absolute because of potential factors such as the race conditions, level of competition; etc plays roles but with speed figures one can eliminate horses which are to slow to win in races with established form.
F. Medication and Blinders
Medication relates to the use of Lasix. Lasix is used when a horse overexerts itself which results in bleeding from tiny ruptures in the lungs. The use of lasix can lead to a dramatic improvement in the horse's performance. One should look for a white L in a black circle in past and current performance(s). Also look out for a soild work out which indicates that the horse is doing well on the medication. First time lasix use can point to a winner but so too can a second time use if the prior performance on the medication did not produce a win.
Watch for European horses 2, 3, 4 yr olds first time on Lasix entering a race. Lasix is more favorible with the younger horses than older ones.
Blinders...watch for the addition of blinders in equipment changes on the program of a horse. Horses spook very easily and the addition of blinders can help the horse concentrate on running by eliminating some periferal vision problems.
G. Sleeping Beauties = Lay Off
In this angle one must be aware of horses that are returning to race after an extended lay off and may be ready to put in a winning effort.
The punter must look for results of performances of any prior lay off the horse has had. If none present then check the trainers win percentages with horses returning to race after a lay off...should be a 15% win rate or better!
Use Mirror #'s Use prs. with your Key* numbers the most Vivid thing in your dream go up or down on #'s. Flip 6=9 `9=6 Bullseyes 0 or 1 for Pick 4 and the P. 5 Play the other part of doubles. Do the Whole nine yards for a P. 4* P. 5* or 0 thur 9 for P. 4 P. 5 from my dreams or hunches good Luck.. Write your Dreams down Play for 3 days. Good Luck All.