Calif SuperLotto vs. MegaMillon -- You Choose!Prev Topic Next Topic

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Redd55

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Sep 23, 2017, 9:36 am

Calif Super Lotto is at $16 million and MegaMillion is at $15 million -- close enough.

While odds for MM are around 259 mil to one and the odds to Superlotto are around 42 mil to one, for the pass 2-3 years, SuperLotto averages a winner only every 6-9 months.

So, if you had a dollar to spend, which one would you choose??
lejardin

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Sep 23, 2017, 12:12 pm

Interesting question. I like the better odds with the CA Super Lotto but the 6-9 months for a win is not good.

Now what would I choose? Lol, I couldnt make that decision, so I would buy both. I know, that isnt the answer you are looking for hahahahahahaha.
ressuccess

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Sep 23, 2017, 1:27 pm

I would choose both for one draw only Redd55 because Mega Millions would roll to 20 million dollars after the next draw!

I hope that one $2 ticket is the only one that matches all 5 numbers plus the PB to win the largest PB jackpot in United States history of over $2 Billion Dollars! I hope that one $2 ticket is the only one that matches all 5 numbers plus the Mega Ball to win the largest Mega Millions jackpot in United States history of over $2 Billion Dollars!
Raven62

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Sep 23, 2017, 1:28 pm

A true lottery player would play both regardless of the odds!

A mind once stretched by a new idea never returns to its original dimensions!

Catch-22: A dilemma or difficult circumstance from which there is no escape because of mutually conflicting or dependent conditions.

Corruptissima re publica plurimae leges: When the republic is at its most corrupt the laws are most numerous.

The best way to learn is to never stop being an Experiential Student!
Redd55

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Sep 25, 2017, 9:07 am

But you only have one dollar. So, which are the better odds?

Bonus question for 0 points: What are the odds on MM for 5 balls & no mega ball?
wander73

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Sep 25, 2017, 9:22 am

Quote: Originally posted by Redd55 on Sep 23, 2017
Calif Super Lotto is at $16 million and MegaMillion is at $15 million -- close enough.

While odds for MM are around 259 mil to one and the odds to Superlotto are around 42 mil to one, for the pass 2-3 years, SuperLotto averages a winner only every 6-9 months.

So, if you had a dollar to spend, which one would you choose??

I don't know the Calif lottery games however I would play the state level. You have better odds and at least the state. As someone once told me the states should all do this and get rid of pb and mm.
Redd55

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Sep 25, 2017, 10:05 am

Quote: Originally posted by wander73 on Sep 25, 2017
I don't know the Calif lottery games however I would play the state level. You have better odds and at least the state. As someone once told me the states should all do this and get rid of pb and mm.

You would think it has better odds but very few people win per year. It didnt use to be this way.
James78

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Sep 25, 2017, 11:08 am

Quote: Originally posted by Redd55 on Sep 25, 2017
You would think it has better odds but very few people win per year. It didnt use to be this way.

Casual players that don't play Powerball (because of the $2 ticket price) might choose to play Mega Millions instead of SuperLotto Plus, just because of the bigger jackpots. They probably don't care about the odds--they just see $200 million jackpots vs $20 million jackpots, and go for the bigger jackpot. That said, SuperLotto Plus might become more popular after Mega Millions changes in October.

I choose SuperLotto Plus over Mega Millions because even a $7 million jackpot is enough for me.
Redd55

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Sep 25, 2017, 11:47 am

Quote: Originally posted by James78 on Sep 25, 2017
Casual players that don't play Powerball (because of the $2 ticket price) might choose to play Mega Millions instead of SuperLotto Plus, just because of the bigger jackpots. They probably don't care about the odds--they just see $200 million jackpots vs $20 million jackpots, and go for the bigger jackpot. That said, SuperLotto Plus might become more popular after Mega Millions changes in October.

I choose SuperLotto Plus over Mega Millions because even a $7 million jackpot is enough for me.

Yes, but it is MM vs SuperLotto -- no Powerball involved. And the jackpots are $15 and $17 now that superlotto rolled so similar in size. Again, you have MM with very high odds and SuperLotto with low odds but no one wins. It goes 5-9 months with no winners. It didnt use to be this way. Started happening about 3 years ago.
James78

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Sep 25, 2017, 1:05 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Redd55 on Sep 25, 2017
Yes, but it is MM vs SuperLotto -- no Powerball involved. And the jackpots are $15 and $17 now that superlotto rolled so similar in size. Again, you have MM with very high odds and SuperLotto with low odds but no one wins. It goes 5-9 months with no winners. It didnt use to be this way. Started happening about 3 years ago.

I think SuperLotto Plus has fewer jackpot hits because players have moved away from it in favor of bigger jackpot lotteries.

I believe the Mega Millions jackpot was hit 12 times in the last 177 draws and the SuperLotto Plus jackpot was hit 7 times in the last 178 draws. That's a MM jackpot hit every 14.75 draws and an SLP jackpot hit every 25.43 draws. Granted, 178 draws is a small sample size, but that's because my SLP statistics only go back to 1/13/16.

One would think an SLP jackpot would be hit more often than a MM jackpot because of the odds, but there are way more MM players. I don't have data about the actual ticket sales or the "combination coverage" of SLP and MM though...
looking4$

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Sep 26, 2017, 6:41 am

The thing is, there are 40+ states in the MEGA draws which comes down to ~0.35 hits / state and Super Lotto has 7 hits per state which is 21 times better with much lower odds. My money goes to Super Lotto
rcbbuckeye

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Sep 26, 2017, 8:21 am

Quote: Originally posted by Raven62 on Sep 23, 2017
A true lottery player would play both regardless of the odds!

I play them all. I don't care about the odds. I even play Pick 4, and almost never win at that game, (I don't play a bunch of numbers, usually just one).

I like to have a ticket in several games, rather than a bunch of tickets in one game, or one ticket in one game.

CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)
Raven62

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Sep 26, 2017, 11:23 am

Quote: Originally posted by Raven62 on Sep 23, 2017
A true lottery player would play both regardless of the odds!

Even if they had to Beg or Borrow another $1.00 to Play Both!

A mind once stretched by a new idea never returns to its original dimensions!

Catch-22: A dilemma or difficult circumstance from which there is no escape because of mutually conflicting or dependent conditions.

Corruptissima re publica plurimae leges: When the republic is at its most corrupt the laws are most numerous.

The best way to learn is to never stop being an Experiential Student!
ressuccess

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Sep 26, 2017, 11:09 pm

I agree with you Raven62 for one draw only!

I hope that one $2 ticket is the only one that matches all 5 numbers plus the PB to win the largest PB jackpot in United States history of over $2 Billion Dollars! I hope that one $2 ticket is the only one that matches all 5 numbers plus the Mega Ball to win the largest Mega Millions jackpot in United States history of over $2 Billion Dollars!

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Calif SuperLotto vs. MegaMillon -- You Choose!Prev TopicNext Topic

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