Welcome Guest
( Log In | Register )
The time is now 12:48 pm
You last visited July 29, 2014, 12:47 pm
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

JADELottery's Blog

  • JADELottery's Blog has 3,247 entries (81 private) and has been viewed 7,305,951 times.
  • Lottery Post members have made 2301 comments in JADELottery's Blog.
  • JADELottery is a Platinum member
JADELottery's Premium Blog:  http://blogs.lotterypost.com/jadelottery/

Yesterday, 8:59 pmProject Quick Pick

Not sure if we released this or not.

Anyway, here are links to the program:

ftp://www.jadexcode.com/Applications/ProjectQuickPick.zip

or

ftp://www.jadexcode.com/Applications/ProjectQuickPick.exe

 

It's related to these posted topics we made a while back.

The Anti-Quick Pick System

Quick Picks can't match the power of Self Picks

Entry #3,247
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

Yesterday, 7:52 pmDows Chaos

1900 to 2014.

Red line is Relativistic Dow, Blue line is Dow Chaos (+ more, - less).

 

click on image to expand.

Entry #3,246
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 2:47 pmRelativistic Market Regression Excel Examination

You can download our Excel sheet with the Relativistic Market Data and Regression measurements at our FTP site.

ftp://www.jadexcode.com/Excel/S&P-NAS-DOW-1971-02-05-to-Present-2.xlsm

If you don't want to run the Macro Enabled file, here are the two functions we added to get the job done.

 

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Function LineSlope(theRange As Range) As Double

    Dim n, y_sum, y_avg, xy_sum, xy_avg As Double
   
    n = theRange.Rows.Count: y_sum = 0: xy_sum = 0
   
    On Error GoTo errorexit
   
    If (n < 2) Or (theRange.Columns.Count > 1) Then
   
        LineSlope = -4.94065645841247E-324
       
    Else
   
        For a = 1 To n
       
            y_sum = y_sum + theRange.Cells(a, 1)
            xy_sum = xy_sum + a * theRange.Cells(a, 1)
           
        Next a
       
        y_avg = y_sum / n: xy_avg = xy_sum / n
       
        LineSlope = (12 * xy_avg - 6 * (n + 1) * y_avg) / ((n - 1) * (n + 1))
       
    End If
   
    Exit Function
   
errorexit:

LineSlope = -4.94065645841247E-324
   
End Function

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Function LineCorr(theRange As Range) As Double

    Dim n, y_sum, y_avg, yy_sum, yy_avg, xy_sum, xy_avg As Double
   
    n = theRange.Rows.Count: y_sum = 0: yy_sum = 0: xy_sum = 0
   
    On Error GoTo errorexit
   
    If (n < 2) Or (theRange.Columns.Count > 1) Then
   
        LineCorr = -4.94065645841247E-324
       
    Else
   
        For a = 1 To n
       
            y_sum = y_sum + theRange.Cells(a, 1)
            yy_sum = yy_sum + theRange.Cells(a, 1) * theRange.Cells(a, 1)
            xy_sum = xy_sum + a * theRange.Cells(a, 1)
           
        Next a
       
        y_avg = y_sum / n: yy_avg = yy_sum / n: xy_avg = xy_sum / n
       
        LineCorr = 3 * (2 * xy_avg - (n + 1) * y_avg) * (2 * xy_avg - (n + 1) * y_avg) / ((n - 1) * (n + 1) * (yy_avg - y_avg * y_avg))
   
    End If
   
    Exit Function
   
errorexit:

LineCorr = -4.94065645841247E-324
   
End Function
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Last Edited: July 26, 2014, 2:47 pm

Entry #3,245
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 2:17 pmCalm Chaos in Market Madness.

Below are the Relativistic Market Data, One Market Year Slope and One Market Year Chaos charts for the S&P 500, NASDAQ and DOW.

One Market Year is about 271 market days and is used to calculate the previous one year of linear regression at each point in time.

As we can see, the slope and chaos tend to move above and below the Zero Line in a fairly regular pattern.

In the 1987 Crash, we see the green slope dove beyond zero and chaos spiked in the positive.

However, after the 1987 Crash, the slope rose and chaos spiked again.

Not a bad thing, it just means growth took over again.

Notice how before the 1987 Crash that chaos was negative throughout 1985, 1986 and most of 1987.

Something similar happened in the 1990 market correction.

The green slope and blue chaos lines work together in showing the one year market state at each point in time.

Now, let's look at where we were at in 2013 and through 2014.

Notice anything strange about the blue chaos reading?

Given the market slope is positive and chaos has been dancing around at low levels for nearly a year, the market is set explode.

It could be for the better, but if you don't even entertain the thought it could be for the worse, then there is an 'I told you so.' in your future.

Keep a Very Close Eye on the Markets.

We are.

 

Last Edited: July 26, 2014, 2:20 pm

Entry #3,244
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 11:51 amRegression a Matter of Chaos

When we talk about R-Squared Correlation, we're really looking at the level of chaos in the system.

How well the data fits a calculated line is important in understanding what's going on with the data.

Below is an example of data that fits very close to the line and will have an R2 value close to 1.

In terms of a chaos reading of 1 - 2R2, this makes it close to 1 - 2 (1)2 or 1 - 2 and is -1.

 

 

When the chaos reading is near +1, then the data can be though of as being very chaotic.

Below is an example of data not very close to the regression line.

 

Last Edited: July 26, 2014, 2:35 pm

Entry #3,243
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 11:19 amRegression Roller Coaster

The way we applied Linear Regression to our Relativistic Market data is kind of like a Roller Coaster ride.

The cars on the ride are connected in sequence and are only on a portion of the roller coaster at one point in time.

Instead of getting a regression reading of the whole ride, we just get the regression reading of the cars on the track.

We can make a running regression measurement of the cars as it moves along the tracks.

This allows us to see what's happening on the tracks for a small section of the ride at a certain point in time.

Below is a simple example.

Entry #3,242
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 10:25 amRendition on Regression

We posted the Linear Regression so we can explain the use on our Relativistic Market data.

The two parts we used are the: Slope and R-Squared Correlation.

These help in understanding the direction and chaos in the data.

The Slope is a measure of how slanted the data is on average.

If the Slope is +, then the overall data is sloping up from left to right, like this:  /

If the Slope is -, then the overall data is sloping down from left to right, like this:  \

Slope values close to 0 are an indication the overall data is flat, like this:  _

Keep in mind, it's on average, because the next measure, R-Squared Correlation, is actually a chaos reading; with a little massage of the value.

R-Squared Correlation tells us how close the data is to the regression line.

The closer the data is to the line, the closer to 1 the R-Squared value is.

Values closer to 0 means chaos.

Since we need a good measure of chaos that is positive and negative, we find a chaos measure with this expression: 1 - 2R2

Now, you'd think chaos would be a bad thing, but that's not the case here.

All this does is tells us how closely the data follows the line.

To get the goodness and badness of the data, you have to use both of these values together and place them in to proper context before making that determination.

In the Relative Market data case, positive slope and positive chaos is market growth.

With negative slope and positive chaos, it could be an indication of market decline.

Relativistic Market data that has a slope near zero and any positive/negative chaos is an indication the market is not going anywhere fast.

We'll see how this works in another post and see why we are concerned about what is happening in the market.

Entry #3,241
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 26, 2014, 1:52 amInside the Eye of the Market Hurricane...

Inside the Eye of the Market Hurricane since about the end of 2012 and clear inside at about 2013 June time frame.

This is a very strange and calmed chaos.

It almost looks like the market is being heavily controlled.

Like there's a delay in the crash or something... weird.

It was a Category 5 when we entered, but it's building up before we hit the Storm Wall again.

Indications are it'll be a Category 10 when it's done with US.

Watch carefully.

It will be quick, sudden; without warning and most of all, by design.

The Linear Regression we posted... ah, yes... there is something... hmm.

Last Edited: July 26, 2014, 2:05 am

Entry #3,240
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 25, 2014, 11:58 pmWe Regress Before the Post

Linear Regression

 

Data

 

Data Averages

 

Linear Equation

 

Slope

 

Intercept

 

 

R-Squared Correlation

 

For Regular Interval Data

 

Slope

 

 

Intercept

 

 

R-Squared Correlation

Entry #3,239
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 22, 2014, 7:31 amSnagged a Hamm's Last Night

Picked up a very nice old Hamm's Beer sign yesterday for my bar.

It's that water ripply one I remember as a kid.

Some photos from the person that sold it to me.

 

Entry #3,238
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 13, 2014, 4:12 pmI Noticed Something on My Forehead Yesterday.

It appears to be a Third EYE.

My Third Eye

Looks more defined in the mirror than in the picture and in better lighting.

Entry #3,237
View and Add Comments  (4 Comments)

July 13, 2014, 12:49 pmRun! The Truth is Coming!

http://www.infowars.com/global-warming-coldest-antarctic-june-ever-recorded/

 

And it's going to get even colder.

Wait till this winter.

We have a chilling surprise in store for you CO2 Bigots.

Entry #3,236
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)

July 3, 2014, 11:32 amPictures from Our Trip to Lac du Flambeau, WI and The Chequamegon National Forest

Pictures from Our Trip to Lac du Flambeau, WI and The Chequamegon National Forest

The Bear River near the Old Indian Village.
On the left, back in the woods, are the Lac du Flambeau Pow-Wow grounds.
Picture taken on what we call 1st Bridge.
It's one of 3 bridges that cross over the Bear River.



















A marshy water area further down the road past 2nd Bridge.

















































The Bear River out at 3rd Bridge.












































A marshy area heading back from 3rd Bridge to Hwy 47.







































Big Thunder Rd. looking E.
On the left side from where I'm standing to a little past our Trailblazer on the road is our property.
It's about 7 acres.




We went to check on the pine tree we planted way back in the forest several years ago.




Some interesting mushrooms grown on a tree nearby.




There's a black bug living on the mushroom.




An old logging trail back on our land.




Some pictures of the forest.









Big Thunder Rd. looking W and property on the right.




On the left side of the road is a large ditch line with patch of wild flowers growing.














Ooo! Purdee!














Some boulders along side the road marks our property line to the left.
Ann likes the colors on the rock.









Covered Bridge in the Chequamegon National Forest on Smith Rapids Rd.
























Covered Walk Bridge in Stone Lake, WI

Entry #3,235
View and Add Comments  (5 Comments)

June 28, 2014, 5:33 pmAt the Casino.

Gonna hit the Blackjack tables soon.

Maybe a little Craps and/or Roulette later.

Entry #3,234
View and Add Comments  (2 Comments)

June 25, 2014, 10:44 pmMore Hokey Balloony from the Gubment

Entry #3,233
View and Add Comments  (0 Comments)
Previous Page  Page  of 212  Next Page