A formal statement of the problem the project aims to address.

Published:

The BLOTBOT project is a thorough attempt to analyze the per digit replacement system of selecting lottery numbers. One such popular variant is the mirror system.

The null hypothesis: there is no statistical advantage to be gained by studying past draws to predict future results using per digit replacement in a pick N lottery game.

The alternative hypothesis is that there IS a statistical advantage to be gained by studying past draws to predict future results using per digit replacement in a pick N lottery game.

Where we are planning to deviate from the scientific method is by exhaustively testing all possible variations rather than sampling.

There is a second hypothesis also being tested.

For this part...

The null hypothesis is that direct follower data will not be the highest performing list in the 10 billion lists possible for each column of each game.

The alternative hypothesis is that direct follower data WILL be the highest performing list in the 10 billion lists possible for each column of each game.

So, with one massive test, we can make an honest attempt at answering both hypotheses.

If the first hypothesis is accepted, then there really is no point in continuing on the current path. That would be the indicator to maybe back away from the daily games for good. Not sure yet. It may be the indicator that I am just not smart enough to beat the lottery at their game, and should employ some other techniques like unsupervised machine learning to help find patterns that I fail to see.

On the other hand, working to get to this point has allowed me the opportunity to put some of the theory I learned in classes like algorithm design and software engineering into direct use. I am not the type to refuse to admit I was wrong, i have been studying the lottery for decades and have spent more time thinking about the problem than actually playing.

It is that burning desire to solve problems that kept the chase alive so far. I want to know, even if it means confirming that the chase is a waste of time and I should move on to something else as a hobby. As always, time will tell.

Entry #289

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