| Posted: December 4, 2005, 11:12 am - IP Logged | |
Hi,
Ocurrence distributions are a reliable and valuable tool for me. The summarries below are from 200 games for Fantasy 5. I'll go over the 1 game stats and leave the rest for you.
The top horizontal row represents each lotto ball picked (1-5)
The vertical columns represent how many times an occurrence value appeared. Note they have been sorted lowest to highest.
So, for 1 GAME you can see:
0-occurences happened 200 times or 100% of the time for postion 1
0-occurences happened 200 times or 100% of the time for postion 2
0-occurences happened 197 times or 98% of the time for postion 3
0-occurences happened 172 times or 86% of the time for postion 4
1-occurence happened 28 times or 14% of the time for postion 4
0-occurences happened 101 times or 50% of the time for postion 5
0-occurences happened 99 times or 50% of the time for postion 5
The result is that your first three sorted picks should be equal to 0
and the last two picks should have a value of 0 or 1.
This effectively reduces combinations, correctly profiles your picks and has about a 1% error associated with it.
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| 1 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 1G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 200 | 200 | 197 | 172 | 101 | | | 0 | 100 | 100 | 98 | 86 | 50 | |
| | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 99 | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 49 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 2G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 200 | 199 | 179 | 130 | 49 | | | 0 | 100 | 99 | 89 | 65 | 24 | |
| | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 70 | 134 | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 67 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 3 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 3G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 198 | 193 | 154 | 95 | 21 | | | 0 | 99 | 96 | 77 | 47 | 10 | |
| | 1 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 103 | 147 | | | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 73 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 4 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 4G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 197 | 180 | 133 | 59 | 10 | | | 0 | 98 | 90 | 66 | 29 | 5 | |
| | 1 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 130 | 117 | | | 1 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 65 | 58 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 66 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 5 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 5G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 194 | 166 | 106 | 36 | 6 | | | 0 | 97 | 83 | 53 | 18 | 3 | |
| | 1 | 6 | 34 | 91 | 140 | 97 | | | 1 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 70 | 48 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 81 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 6 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 6G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 192 | 151 | 77 | 22 | 4 | | | 0 | 96 | 75 | 38 | 11 | 2 | |
| | 1 | 8 | 48 | 118 | 145 | 70 | | | 1 | 4 | 24 | 59 | 72 | 35 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 100 | | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 50 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
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| 7 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 7G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 188 | 136 | 59 | 13 | 3 | | | 0 | 94 | 68 | 29 | 6 | 1 | |
| | 1 | 12 | 62 | 127 | 129 | 55 | | | 1 | 6 | 31 | 63 | 64 | 27 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 102 | | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 51 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 8 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 8G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 182 | 113 | 37 | 8 | 3 | | | 0 | 91 | 56 | 18 | 4 | 1 | |
| | 1 | 18 | 83 | 145 | 118 | 35 | | | 1 | 9 | 41 | 72 | 59 | 17 | |
| | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 71 | 106 | | | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 53 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 42 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 9 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 9G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 174 | 97 | 25 | 6 | 1 | | | 0 | 87 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0 | |
| | 1 | 25 | 96 | 140 | 94 | 16 | | | 1 | 12 | 48 | 70 | 47 | 8 | |
| | 2 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 90 | 111 | | | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 55 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 56 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 10 GAME | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | | 10G % | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
| | 0 | 162 | 72 | 14 | 4 | 0 | | | 0 | 81 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | |
| | 1 | 35 | 115 | 131 | 73 | 12 | | | 1 | 17 | 57 | 65 | 36 | 6 | |
| | 2 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 104 | 85 | | | 2 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 52 | 42 | |
| | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | |
| | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
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All comments are welcome.
The most valuable things in life are not things.
My predictions at the LP are simply a testing ground of my latest hairbrained ideas, please don't take them seriously.