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8 doubles in a row for NY..what are odds?

Topic closed. 7 replies. Last post 7 years ago by BigJer.

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WIN  D's avatar - 3564828 sm.jpg
Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
Member #828
November 2, 2002
9898 Posts
Online
Posted: September 2, 2007, 10:59 am - IP Logged

Some of the biggest news to ever happen in Pick 3 ......draws almost no interest among Pick 3 Hobby Players! 

               

    ?

          New York Evening Draws for 8 Nights in a row! 

The City is asking the Head of the TENN. Lottery for immediate Help!

 

 

Amazing Photos: The Little Things in Life     The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                              Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                              Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                       Win d    

    WIN  D's avatar - 3564828 sm.jpg
    Stone Mountain*Georgia
    United States
    Member #828
    November 2, 2002
    9898 Posts
    Online
    Posted: September 2, 2007, 11:05 am - IP Logged

          I figured for 4 doubles in a row once before.....  but 8 in a row just might be a world record for PICK 3 games world wide.  

             

    December 28, 2004, 2:17 pmWhat's harder than hitting a Triple???

     

        What's harder than hitting a Trip??? 

                       Getting  4  doubles in a row..that's what!

                              The odds of hitting a trip are 1%

          So you can expect to get 3.65 trips a year on a 365 draw game.

          The chance of getting 4 doubles in a row is 1/2 per cent.

              You would be lucky to see more than 1 or 2 times a year !

                                                        or

       You could be unlucky .....and get 4 in a row on Ga Midday today

    Amazing Photos: The Little Things in Life     The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                  Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                  Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                           Win d    

      WIN  D's avatar - 3564828 sm.jpg
      Stone Mountain*Georgia
      United States
      Member #828
      November 2, 2002
      9898 Posts
      Online
      Posted: September 2, 2007, 9:14 pm - IP Logged

        Alrighty then .....             Now,,,,  9 Doubles in a row ............................ so far !

       

                         

      Amazing Photos: The Little Things in Life     The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                    Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                    Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                             Win d    

        paurths's avatar - underground
        Switching between Fairfax, VA and Belgium
        Belgium
        Member #19287
        July 29, 2005
        2254 Posts
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        Posted: September 4, 2007, 10:39 am - IP Logged

        Hi Chaz,

        concerning the 2-digit return in NY eve:
        09/01/2007 : 414
        09/02/2007 : 424

        Both digits in first and third position returned to the draw. Even if they are the same digit, it remains a 2-digit-return.

        cheers
        Ricky

        lasas3

        An onion a day keeps everyone away!!!

          JADELottery's avatar - MeManaga
          The Quantum Master
          West Concord, MN
          United States
          Member #21
          December 7, 2001
          2756 Posts
          Online
          Posted: September 4, 2007, 11:58 am - IP Logged

          Probability of that happening: 1 in 35,407

          Mean draws between occurrences: 35,407 draws

          If drawn daily, this event occurs on average once every 96 years 344 days.

          However, given this event just happened, there is a high probability it will happen again soon.

          Also, given there are many draws during the year in many states, it could happen in another state.

          The average yearly rate drops with that many draws in many states.

          Look for it.

          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
          Use at your own risk.

          Order is a Subset of Chaos.
          Knowledge is Beyond Belief.
          Wisdom is Not Censored.

          The Name Anagram
          name - Douglas Paul Smallish
          amen - US God plus Islam Allah
          mean - Jehocifer

          JADE Quintrains
          JADE at planet.infowars.com

            WIN  D's avatar - 3564828 sm.jpg
            Stone Mountain*Georgia
            United States
            Member #828
            November 2, 2002
            9898 Posts
            Online
            Posted: September 4, 2007, 1:15 pm - IP Logged

            Probability of that happening: 1 in 35,407

            Mean draws between occurrences: 35,407 draws

            If drawn daily, this event occurs on average once every 96 years 344 days.

            However, given this event just happened, there is a high probability it will happen again soon.

            Also, given there are many draws during the year in many states, it could happen in another state.

            The average yearly rate drops with that many draws in many states.

            Look for it.

             I'm sorry Mr. Jade but I'm gonna have to count your answer wrong..........  because you did not show your work.  LOL 

             Remember ....you must show your work. Otherwise, how do we know that you did the actual work?  LOL 

             

             

             

             

             

              but seriously Jade....sure would like to see the how and way of it. Thanks much for the heads up pal. 

                3.7 x3.7 ......etc. ??          x 9  = 129,961.73      x 10 = 480,858.4  ?

            Amazing Photos: The Little Things in Life     The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                          Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                          Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                   Win d    

              JADELottery's avatar - MeManaga
              The Quantum Master
              West Concord, MN
              United States
              Member #21
              December 7, 2001
              2756 Posts
              Online
              Posted: September 4, 2007, 4:59 pm - IP Logged

              Sorry, dog ate my work.

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

               

              Oh, wait... here we go.

              Probability of 8 doubles in a row: (270 / 1000) ^ 8 = 0.0000282429536481

              Probability as a fraction of 1 to the nearest positive integer denominator: 0.0000282429536481 = 1 / (1 / 0.0000282429536481) ≈ 1 / 35,407

              Probability then becomes approximately: 1 in 35,407

              The denominator is also approximately the same as average rate of reoccurrence: 35,407 average units of measure between occurrences 

              Unit of measure is 1 day, 35,407 x 1 day = 35,407 days

              Convert to years and days, 1 year = 365.2425 days, years = days / number of days in a year = 35,407 days / 365.2425 days per year = 96.9410734 years. Take fractional part by subtracting integer value of 96.9410734, 96, then multiply by 365.2425 days per year to get remaining days, 0.9410734 year x 365.2425 days per year ≈ 344 days. Time between occurrences, 96 years 344 days.

              Potential reoccurrence probability is e -(1 / 35407) ≈ .999971757 or 99.9971757%, but keep in mind the potential occurrence probability balances it by 1 - e -(1 / 35407) ≈ 0.000028242602 or 0.0028242602%

              The all states aspect I'll not get into...  just figure total number of draws per year both midday and evening and divide into 35,407 to get a yearly average rate of reoccurrence across the board. It may have happen in recent past, but for which lottery I know not.

              Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
              Use at your own risk.

              Order is a Subset of Chaos.
              Knowledge is Beyond Belief.
              Wisdom is Not Censored.

              The Name Anagram
              name - Douglas Paul Smallish
              amen - US God plus Islam Allah
              mean - Jehocifer

              JADE Quintrains
              JADE at planet.infowars.com

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                Belleville , Illinois
                United States
                Member #1850
                July 15, 2003
                70 Posts
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                Posted: September 5, 2007, 6:50 am - IP Logged

                hi All

                  what should have noted was how few doubles had been in recent past as they are probablely doing some catch up as doubles will hit 27.3 percent of the time, and did this recent string of hits bring it up to the average or did it go over. If over it will correct back down to 27.3

                 

                BigJer