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Combinations & % Error Challenge

Topic locked. Last post 4 months ago by RJOh. 45 replies.

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RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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Posted: June 9, 2008, 11:02 am - IP Logged Bottom

The trouble with filtering is even winning combinations look bad until they win and once they've won they look bad again, in fact some players filter out past winners totally from their list of combinations to play.  Unless you can find some qualities or characteristics that are unique about combinations at the time they win, they're likely to be filtered out when it's their time to win.

These qualities or characteristics are most likely dynamic, constantly changing as the list of recent winners evolves but if 20% or more of the winners have them when they win then filtering could be made effective.

* Trying is the first step toward failure *
homer J. Simpson

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Posted: June 9, 2008, 12:48 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

The best way to avoid filtering out the winning combination is as easy as can be. Just don't filter any combinations that are random.

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Posted: June 10, 2008, 8:37 pm - IP Logged Bottom Top

Hi,

   The Challnge is to reduce the most combinations with the least amount of error. The game type will be 5/39. Obviously, any lessons learned would be applicable to MegaMillions, Powerball, and CA Superlotto.

   To kick things off, consider the following:

   1) There are 575757 combinations in 5/39.

   2) By eliminating 1 number, any number, there is a 1 in 39 percent chance that you are wrong ( 3%).

   3) Assuming the one number you eliminated isn't picked, then you are playing a 5/38 game with 501942 combinations.

   4) Therefore, 73815 combinations can be eliminated with only a 3% error,

   All input, comments, and contributions are welcome.

Thanks.

These threads always seem to get a bit away from the original topic. Big Grin

To go back to the beginning, I find you can eliminate a block (pair or triple) of numbers with more confidence than any individual number ('tho' I follow a cold-numbers-stay-cold rule similar to the one described by GASMETERGUY). But, that may be just my preference. It's a bit more complex code-wise but it still reduces the total combos.

I think it depends on if you start with a blank canvas and try to fill in the winning combo within so many brush strokes -vs- starting with all the combos (like a big block of wood) and trying to chip away the losers to reveal the winner.

Prince of Insufficient Light ~ Ruler of Heck
Bilder-Burgers ~ Only 500 million will be served
RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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Posted: June 14, 2008, 1:54 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

The best way to avoid filtering out the winning combination is as easy as can be. Just don't filter any combinations that are random.

That's like suggesting the best way to avoid the high price of gasoline is to park all your vehicles, even the lawn mower and garden tractor and start walking.

* Trying is the first step toward failure *
homer J. Simpson

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Posted: June 14, 2008, 2:55 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

How many times have you eliminated/filtered a set of numbers; only to have them come in soon after?  Happened with last nights 5/39 draw for me(Thurs. draw).   I chose to delete this  combination I had played on Weds. the night before.    4 of 5 came in.  Not the first time or last.

My method includes putting as many numbers in play that you can..with the least expenditure.  I try to include most or all 39 in my nightly selections.

This is a very informative thread.  Data needs to be combined with other elements of thought regarding number selection.  Sometimes it's the data itself that points you down the wrong path.

You delete (the number 8 for example) to make it a 5/38 games and 8 is gone. It comes in your sunk.  How many times has "that" happened to you?

RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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Posted: June 14, 2008, 4:42 am - IP Logged Bottom Top

Even with all the winning numbers in the mix, it's unlikely most of them will be in the same combination.  When you limit the number of lines you play you either has to eliminate some numbers or some combinations, it's usually after the drawing you wished you had eliminated the other.

* Trying is the first step toward failure *
homer J. Simpson

 
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