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Quote: Originally posted by Boney526 on Jan 5, 2013
It's impossible and random. There's no way to see a streak until after it already occured.
It's like playing any other gambling game, and getting lucky in the short term. Clearly, the house is going to win if you play roulette. But say your bet is "Red." It will be impossible to predict when, but eventually, the croupier will spin 10 reds in a row. You
Then again I don't know why I'm responding to a statement which literally doesn't make sense. It's like asking someone "can I fly your Toyota to work tomorrow? I've got a book report due."
I mean, yeah, I'm fine with anything you do. I'm just telling you you're wrong. But it doesn't matter if I show you 1+1 is 2, if you want to believe that for you it's 2.5, you will.
Kentucky United States
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February 14, 2006
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Jan 5, 2013
Standard Deviation is a measure of dispersion. Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event occuring. Each of these measures is derived from data and are independant calculations.
Consequently, to make a reference to "the effect of standard deviation on probability" is ABSURD!
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Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Jan 5, 2013
I take it you're not trying to beat the odds of only being right only 487/792 (2/3) times.
"Beating" the odds was never the objective. If I can successfully eliminate 12 numbers on a SINGLE draw, I have fulfilled the objective of getting BETTER ODDS on that one single draw. This is not Boney rocket science.
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If good sense and reason were a dictate, Boney would have an interest in this approach as he only plays for extreme jackpots and on the night PB was $588 million my selections would have given him BETTER ODDS.
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Amazing to me that Boney likely has the skill to put those 39 numbers into a computer program RNG and get a group of QP lines to play for a piece of the $588 million, but he would rather selfishly play numbers he thinks no one else is playing so he wont have to share it with anyone. Perhaps Boney had a difficult childhood??
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Next time we get a jackpot like that I will put the 39 numbers in my sack and start pulling them out 5 at a time til I get about 50 or 60 lines to play................
Kentucky United States
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February 14, 2006
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Quote: Originally posted by Boney526 on Jan 5, 2013
It's impossible and random. There's no way to see a streak until after it already occured.
It's like playing any other gambling game, and getting lucky in the short term. Clearly, the house is going to win if you play roulette. But say your bet is "Red." It will be impossible to predict when, but eventually, the croupier will spin 10 reds in a row. You
Then again I don't know why I'm responding to a statement which literally doesn't make sense. It's like asking someone "can I fly your Toyota to work tomorrow? I've got a book report due."
I mean, yeah, I'm fine with anything you do. I'm just telling you you're wrong. But it doesn't matter if I show you 1+1 is 2, if you want to believe that for you it's 2.5, you will.
"There's no way to see a streak until after it already occured."
Are you saying with all your mathematical background you can't determine the probability of having many streaks in a short term with 50/50 outcomes?
"It's like playing any other gambling game, and getting lucky in the short term."
Or very unlucky if you bet a streak will end and it continues. You're talking about streaks of 10 when streaks of 3 will get you 7 to 1 on an even money bet. Betting on streaks is a basic strategy playing Baccarat and the entire betting concept of craps is based on either streaks of passes or not passing.
When you put a five dollar chip on the red you don't "know" the results, but that's why it called gambling. If you win you can either remove your winnings or let the two five dollar chips ride and get a 3 to 1 payoff on your original bet if it's red and 7 to 1 on a streak of three. You're correct, you don't know when the streak will start or end, but you get an advantage when one occures.
On this specific, individual, particular, lone and singular night I was playing with BETTER ODDS. Can anyone deny the reality of this simple truth without convoluting it into a book chapter from a mad scientist?