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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
Ronnie's Retrospectives
Ronnie believes in the power of positive thinking, which definitely doesn't hurt his chances of winning the lottery. When he buys a ticket, he envisions himself winning. When he does actually win, he looks back and declares that he KNEW he was going to win. I don't think he likes to talk much about those RARE cases where he buys a ticket, thinks positive, and LOSES.
Thanks Jammy, but your attempt to explain how things work in my life are feeble at BEST. You betray yourself and prove that you don't know the first thing about positive thinking. Its not something you "believe" Its something you DO or DONT DO. How is the power of NEGATIVE thinking working out for you?
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
"Can you give me one logical reason why any gambler or lottery player would make bet if they believed they would lose?"
If by "believed they would lose" you mean "KNEW they would lose," then, obviously, there would be no reason to bet. However, in games such as the lottery, which are based on random processes, there is no way for anyone to KNOW in advance whether they are going to win, or lose. And that includes YOU!
Your "conditions" are based on a belief in the Gamblers Fallacy. Since I'm pretty sure you will never admit that I'm right, wouldn't it be best for you, at this point, to just declare, "No mas!"?
"However, in games such as the lottery, which are based onrandom processes, there is no way for anyone to KNOW in advance whether they are going to win, or lose."
With the exception of racing and sports betting, the outcomes of all casino games are decided by a random process. Didn't you know they shuffle the cards, the dice are rolled across a felt table, and they spin a roulette wheel?
The bettors determine the payoff odds in horse racing and they either lay or get odds in basketball, baseball, and football. In many horse races there is one horse that is far superior to the competition, but their is no guarantee those horses will race at their potential and even if they do, the bettors usually only gets 10 cents in winnings for every $2.00 they bet.
Unless the fix is in, nobody KNOWS the future outcome of a 400 mile NASCAR race with 30 cars in the race. How many perfect brackets were there this year in either men's or women's NCAA basketball?
"Your "conditions" are based on a belief in the Gamblers Fallacy."
There is a reason why we always see a "1" either in front of or behind a huge number and it's not fallacy to make conditional bets on the "1". Is it really that difficult for you to understand if a bettor KNEW the outcome in advance, their bet would not be conditional?
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The last time I looked there were no pictures on lottery balls of horses, jockeys, or cars. Your last post demonstrates one thing well - your ability to construct a false narrative to distract readers from the real issue under discussion, whether lottery draws are predictable by looking back at previous draws. Dream on.
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Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Apr 14, 2013
"However, in games such as the lottery, which are based onrandom processes, there is no way for anyone to KNOW in advance whether they are going to win, or lose."
With the exception of racing and sports betting, the outcomes of all casino games are decided by a random process. Didn't you know they shuffle the cards, the dice are rolled across a felt table, and they spin a roulette wheel?
The bettors determine the payoff odds in horse racing and they either lay or get odds in basketball, baseball, and football. In many horse races there is one horse that is far superior to the competition, but their is no guarantee those horses will race at their potential and even if they do, the bettors usually only gets 10 cents in winnings for every $2.00 they bet.
Unless the fix is in, nobody KNOWS the future outcome of a 400 mile NASCAR race with 30 cars in the race. How many perfect brackets were there this year in either men's or women's NCAA basketball?
"Your "conditions" are based on a belief in the Gamblers Fallacy."
There is a reason why we always see a "1" either in front of or behind a huge number and it's not fallacy to make conditional bets on the "1". Is it really that difficult for you to understand if a bettor KNEW the outcome in advance, their bet would not be conditional?
if a bettor KNEW the outcome in advance, their bet would not be conditional?
Good one Stack..................
Conditional bets don't guarantee better odds, they just give us a CHANCE at BETTER ODDS on that one specific bet. On the night the PB jackpot was $587.5 million I had posted a set of 39 numbers that turned out (by chance) to hold the winning 5 numbers. Anyone could have used that list, on that single day and had odds of hitting 5 of 5 @ 575757 to 1 INSTEAD of 5,153,632 to 1.
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
The last time I looked there were no pictures on lottery balls of horses, jockeys, or cars. Your last post demonstrates one thing well - your ability to construct a false narrative to distract readers from the real issue under discussion, whether lottery draws are predictable by looking back at previous draws. Dream on.
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
The last time I looked there were no pictures on lottery balls of horses, jockeys, or cars. Your last post demonstrates one thing well - your ability to construct a false narrative to distract readers from the real issue under discussion, whether lottery draws are predictable by looking back at previous draws. Dream on.
Play the lottery someday, you may end your losing streak.
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
The last time I looked there were no pictures on lottery balls of horses, jockeys, or cars. Your last post demonstrates one thing well - your ability to construct a false narrative to distract readers from the real issue under discussion, whether lottery draws are predictable by looking back at previous draws. Dream on.
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Apr 14, 2013
The last time I looked there were no pictures on lottery balls of horses, jockeys, or cars. Your last post demonstrates one thing well - your ability to construct a false narrative to distract readers from the real issue under discussion, whether lottery draws are predictable by looking back at previous draws. Dream on.
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Quote: Originally posted by rcbbuckeye on Apr 14, 2013
ALL bets are conditional to winning. Just playing one line is conditional on those numbers played being drawn.
What jammy is struggling with is that we can create some conditions in picking numbers to better our chances in winning.
"What jammy is struggling with is that we can create some conditions in picking numbers to better our chances in winning."
Ronnie likes to key on only one bonus number and that is setting a condition. The overall odds are then irrelevant because the only useful odds are those against him matching the bonus number. It's really a simple concept because if he doesn't match the bonus number (his condition), he can't win the jackpot and if he does match the bonus number (his condition), his chances of winning the jackpot are multiplied by every ticket he purchases using that bonus number.
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Its funny how anytime a post is RELVELANT to the life of a LOTTERY PLAYER Jammy either crys like a baby, ignores the post all together, or goes offline like a scared puppy wetting himself and tucking tail.
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Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Apr 14, 2013
"What jammy is struggling with is that we can create some conditions in picking numbers to better our chances in winning."
Ronnie likes to key on only one bonus number and that is setting a condition. The overall odds are then irrelevant because the only useful odds are those against him matching the bonus number. It's really a simple concept because if he doesn't match the bonus number (his condition), he can't win the jackpot and if he does match the bonus number (his condition), his chances of winning the jackpot are multiplied by every ticket he purchases using that bonus number.
Right, and the most recurring MM bonus number (36) in the last 815 draws averaged a hit every 29 draws.
Selecting the correct bonus number every 15 draws gives me 3 times BETTER ODDS than Jammy.