So I’m currently testing out various patterns. They treat me better than predicting based on number stats. However, I seem to keep hitting the same wall. There are so many patterns that work well but I keep having trouble with covering the straight. Let me give an example. For no good reason other than it’s the code I currently have up, I’m using Florida’s numbers (Day and Eve) for 2010. Take a simple pattern like doubles. Here’s an example…
In 2010, the first double is on 1/2 Mid: 2-2-5
This easy pattern is to take the double “2” and the other number “5” and look for it to repeat. In this case, it hits on 1/5 Eve 5-1-2. To get a hit, I need to play the 2 and 5 and then cover the last position with all numbers. If I play that boxed, that will give me 10 sets. If I play it straight, that gives me 54 numbers. Either way, I’ll end up losing money. I coded this up so I could see exactly what’s going on. Here’s the breakdown:
In 2010, 214 doubles occur. If you use the above system and played for 5 days, you’d get 112 hits. If you played for 10 days, you would have gotten another 109 hits (211 total). 15 days would get you another 115 hits (324 total). It keeps going out from there, 20 days = 101, 25 = 97, 30 = 120, so on and so forth. So let’s just pick a stopping point for good measure so we can see what the cost/win amounts are. I’ll go with playing 5 days out. So when a double would hit, I’d play the double, the off number, and then 0-9.
The cost of playing boxed for 5 days would be 10 (draws = 5 days) * 10 (sets) * 214 (this is the number of times a double occurred and thus, how many times I would have had numbers to play) = $21,400. As for wins, in Florida, a 6-way win will get you $80. I would’ve had 112 hits using this pattern. So $80 * 112 = $8,960. I may have gotten some 3-way wins in there which pay out $160 but I’m going to go ahead and assume that wouldn’t have made up the difference.
The cost of playing straight for 5 days is where it gets interesting, or rather, possibly interesting. To cover a straight, one needs to play 54 numbers, because we don’t know the order/position they’re going to hit in. So doing the math 54 (sets we play) * 10 (draws = 5 days) * 214 (this is the number of times a double occurred and thus, how many times I would have had numbers to play) = $57,780 (cost to play). Straight winnings would be $500 (what we get in Florida for a straight) * 112 (number of hits the pattern would’ve made) = $56,000. Still a loss… Keep in mind that some years perform better than others so doing anything to tilt the scale toward the net positive may have worked for 2010 but not another year.
To make this actually work, there are two options that I can think of. One could either find a way to put the sets in order (this way, we’d play 10 sets at a time instead of 54) or not play the full ten numbers as the last position (if we knew which number to play in the last position, we could cover it for a straight and only need to play 6 sets). I haven’t found a way to do either in a way that works enough to give me a profit worth playing for.
If anyone is still reading this little novel, I’d love to hear any ideas on how to find the last position and/or ordering the positions. Either way will result in a system that is profitable.