Original Blog Entry: In search of...a Pic 3 journey

LottoAce — Mon, 28 Nov 2016 19:46:50 GMT

This is the Blog that I have been dreading for two months to write.

I have a basic concept of what information to present, no idea of how to present it.

I guess I should start from the beginning. it started with an idea.

what if I could offset lottery losses from Higher odds/Lower Tier payout

ratios games like MegaMillions with games that have much lower odds

and greater payout ratios? Pic 3 for example.

the ability to consistently win in Pic 3 would produce a fund that

would allow me to run wheels with a higher win gaurantee.

increasing my chances of winning a jackpot in a game like

Powerball, or Megamillions.

any prize ratio below 101% accomplishes nothing.

the following are questions that I set out to answer

when I went off on my Pic3 quest.

1)?Are some players better at certain games/states than others?

yes

2)is thier winning just a simple application of statistics?

no

3)The wins that one obtains in one state, are they merley offsets

from the losses of another state?

not always.

4)If the lottery was truly random and systems can not lower

our chances of winning. then why even bother with systems?

nothing is truly random. the systems point out the lack of

randomness in each and every game. it is these very critical

points where we can use our systems to capitalize and gain

an advantage.

I decided to really give the Pic 3 a good look over for the first time.

I began an in depth study of the game. I used the forums, I spoke

with quite a few Pic 3 players, online and offline. I learned a few

different systems from different players and applied them to real

time drawings. I tracked its progress and statistics and dove deep

for patterns and trends.

First I needed to understand the odds.

you can find my conclusion in my 9th entry of this very

blog entitled Understanding and Overcoming the statistical odds

I began with the prediction statistics. Predictions/Top Predictors.

I needed to know who are the players in my targeted state

with the highest winning percentages.

I discovered a few frustrating flaws with this approach.

1) the top predictors page gives you the option of viewing

the top 50 most sucessful players of any states Pic 3,4,5,6 or

other games.

problem: you may see a players stats really high for your state.

you think to yourself, he's Kicken Ace! problem is you have selected

the correct state, but have the selection on all game types.

you have to be specific. further investigation shows that, this player

has made a small amount of wagers. he has won very little. the winnings

that this person has in one type of game, have offset the losses in

all of the other states games. State Statistics are figured on average

of all the games offered by that particular state. turns out this players

winnings weren't even in the game that you were trying to research.

2) you will often see a player with $10 in wagers and $40

in winnings ranked #1 with a 400.00% lifetime prize ratio.

you think to yourself, that person knows his/her stuff, and

probably has a system that will produce.

problem: the person published a single set of predictions

which in this case hit only once. the player has yet to

produce another set of predictions for the given state.

there is only one reason why someone would do that.

I won't get into it here.

However this, hit it and quit it players tactic gives you nothing

to work with, when you are trying to perfect your system.

3) to the left you will see the hot predictors. these

are the top players that have hit within the last 30 days.

the ones that are on the streak

problem: this is only a streak, and most of the time

the players were not even targeting the states that

they find themselves at the top of the page of.

for example...

they will often make predictions based on Texas

past drawing history. play the numbers in all states

pic 3 games, and luckly find thier names among

the top predictors of the Lousiana Pic 3.

Hey, I tip my hat to there accomplishment.

they made the page.

unfortunately they can be very little help when

you are trying to perfect your system.

4) there are players who consistantely post predictions and

win in given states over the course of a long period

of time. these are the players in the highest lifetime prize

ratio list with say 2,000-5,000 in wagers and 6,000 to 12,000 in winnings.

problem: some cater to your desired state, some don't.

however, if you know this in advance you can watch for thier

predictions and cross reference thier pics with your own.

problem: prize ratio's don't tell enough of the story for you to

get a clear picture.

5) the Hit Ratio lists are designed to tell you who hits more often.

it can be a useful tool when properly interpreted.

problem: the list is full of one hit wonders.

you have to keep scrolling down the list.

nothing against these players, but they are not the

type that I knew could help me master the Pic 3.

6) Hit Ratio list can tell you who's hot, and who's not.

like the Prize ratio it features the Hot predictors, those

who have the highest hit ratio in the past 30 days.

and those who have consistantely maintained one

over a lifetime.

problem: did they make that list by catering to that state?

by carefully choosing numbers from the states past history?

or did they make it by pure chance?

are they consistant hitters? or one hit wonders?

these are the questions I asked myself while viewing

the page in search of the players to educate me on

the Pic 3.

tbc..

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